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Friday, April 24, 2015
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Rangers (NHL) - 7:05 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 168 Pittsburgh Penguins
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The Rangers are squarely in the driver's seat in this series with a 3-1 lead and they have a chance to close it out tonight. The puck is going their way right now and this series has been so close that the Penguins could feasibly have a 3-1 game lead heading into tonight or at the very worst, a 2-2 split. Because every game has been decided by just one goal, the 3-1 lead is a little skewed but the moneyline is still based on that record and the Rangers are laying the highest number not only in this series but the highest number against Pittsburgh in years. I don't think it is warranted at all as the Penguins have a excellent chance to steal another game at MSG. And Pittsburgh knows first hand that winning this series is not out of the question. Of the 275 teams in league history facing a 3-1 deficit, the Rangers were the 27th and most recent to rally, knocking off the Penguins in seven games in last season's second round. The Penguins are 4-1 in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and going back further, they are 98-48 in their last 146 after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. 10* (81) Pittsburgh Penguins
Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards (NBA) - 8:05 PM EDT
Pick: Point Spread: 4.5/-107 Toronto Raptors
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The Raptors have put themselves into a big hole, losing both games at home to open the series and are now forced to win one road game to stay within reach and forced to win two road games to claim home court back. This is one of seven of the eight playoff series where one team has at least a 2-0 edge which has made for some of the worst postseason basketball we have seen in years. Making it even worse it the bounce angle has fallen flat this season with San Antonio being the first team to cover following a cover loss the previous game. That Spurs cover could signal a turnaround after the angle opened the playoffs a dismal 0-8 ATS. The big issue for Toronto in the first two games was the play, or lack thereof, from Kyle Lowry. He scored just seven points in Game One and then put up only six points in Game Two prior to leaving the game with a shin injury. Even though he did not return, the injury is not considered serious and he will be back tonight but it is imperative for him to produce like he did during the regular season, averaging 17.8 ppg. Despite the cover last time out, the Wizards are 4-23-2 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. A change of atmosphere could help the Raptors which have covered five of their last six trips here. 10* (741) Toronto Raptors
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) - 9:40 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 129 Arizona Diamondbacks
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This line doesn't make a whole lot of sense if you ask me. Arizona is a game over .500 on the season and comes in as a healthy home underdog and we will take advantage. Looking at a comparison, the last time Josh Collmenter started at home, he was an underdog against the Dodgers and Zack Greinke which shows this line is inflated with no disrespect to Gerrit Cole. The Pirates got off to a horribly bad start but have been better with wins in five of their last seven games and they closed their roadtrip with a 6-4 record. Pittsburgh hits the road for the first time since April 12th where it is just 2-4 through six games on the highway. Cole has been very solid as he followed up a non-quality outing at Cincinnati with a pair of quality efforts against the Tigers and Brewers. Both of those were at home however where the Pirates are 11-2 over his last 13 starts. The road has been a different story as the Pirates are just 6-6 in his last 12 roadies while going 2-5 in Cole's last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. As for Collmenter, he pitched decent in that games against the Dodgers, missing a quality start by an inning and he followed that up with a four-hit shutout last time out. Arizona went 10-6 in his 16 home starts last year and the Diamondbacks are 9-3 in his last 12 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (912) Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels (MLB) - 10:05 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 180 Texas Rangers
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As mentioned yesterday with the Royals/White Sox writeup, starting pitching dictates the moneylines in baseball and that is the case here along with name recognition. Name recognition being the Angels known publicly as a strong team and one that is dominant but that is hardly the case this season as they come in with a 7-9 record and by no means should be laying this kind of lumber which is by far the largest of the season. Going back, the Angels are 0-6 in their last six games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Texas is hanging around with a 6-9 record which obviously is not great but in the dismal American League West, they are right in the thick of the division, just two games out. The Rangers are 4-5 on the road but because of the big underdog factor, they are up money and they are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a loss. Wandy Rodriguez makes his Rangers debut tonight and he is making his first MLB start since last May. Rodriguez has performed well in two minor league outings with the Round Rock Express, totaling seven innings while allowing two runs and recording ten strikeouts. Garrett Richards counter for the Angels looking to repeat last year's start. He tore the patella tendon in his left knee last August and did not pitch in spring training so it is going to take him a while to regain his form. This is definitely the time to go against him, especially at this price. 10* (923) Texas Rangers
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