This is a nice matchup for an Over around 154.5, as Arkansas State plays with pace and scores points while South Alabama’s offensive trademarks (efficiency, free throws) can provide floor coverage during potential droughts. Arkansas State scores 83.3 points per game while ALSO allowing 78.0 points per game per their opponents, which is exactly the defensive profile you look for when conference games turn into shootouts with both squads hitting shots. South Alabama scores right at 74 points per game while shooting 46.9% from the field, so they don’t have to grind down the shot clock to find buckets. Another strong “Over” indicator in this game is free throws. Arkansas State makes 18.6 free throws per game (and South Alabama is good at drawing fouls too) which can help elevate the total late with “clock-stop” points even in the event of one team struggling from beyond the arc. Throw in South Alabama’s defense allows plenty of three-point attempts (teams shoot 35.2%) and Arkansas State makes threes at a high volume (8.6 made per game), and you’ve got a game with the potential for quick scores. With the total sitting in the mid-150s and recent meetings providing at least SOME shootout ability (one game went OVER 95 points last season at 95-78), I feel like the safest way to the Over is Arkansas State playing with pace and South Alabama responding with enough efficiency to keep both teams in the 80s/70s. Jim's Play: 815. Arkansas State/ S0.Alabama OVER