Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 8:09 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-210 Houston Astros Rating: 9* Mike's World Series Game 4 Winning Edges (WIN)
There's a few systems that come into play for Game 4 of the World Series. The first one takes a look @ how teams have struggled mightily in trying to put together back-to-back wins. Yes, teams win 2 in a row. But as of late, that's been a lose the house type proposition. The past 17 games won in the WS has seen the previous game-winner go an unheard of 3-14 or 17.6% winners. For those who follow MLB, it's tough to find systems hitting 82.4% even over the short haul. The 2nd analytical advantage looks @ road teams for Game 4 of the WS. These Game 4 roadies are USUALLY (not always etched in stone) facing the home team's 4th starter (almost always their weakest) in their rotation. In the past 16 years, the road teams have gone a very profitable 12-4 or 75% winners. Now let's reiterate what I used for Game 2. This system states to play WS teams that's scored 2 or less runs in their previous game. If both teams did, then we concentrate on the loser. The past 7 fall classics have shown these non-productive squads have gone 18-5 or an incredible 78.2% on the moneyline. The last system I'd like to mention is one that could be trending the other way. Coming into 2021, the home team has gone a ticket-ripping 9-17 or 34.6%. This year that's a losing proposition with home-filed advantage showing a profit @ 2-1 for 67%. Here's where we're going with this. The Braves' pen has been pretty solid for the most part. This usually means games will be closer in the end than usual if starters are equal. After checking Atlanta's 2021 pre-WS, post-season numbers thus far (they've had 4 out of 7 one-run games), they tell me Game 4 has a very high percentage of ending in a 1-run outcome. Taking into account the above systems AND the probability of 1-run games for Atlanta, let's go to Truist Park in Georgia to play the HOUSTON ASTROS (playing them @ + 1 1/2 runs on the RL) as my World Series Game 4 Winning Edges Play!
Mike Handzelek's 2021 MLB Post-Season Record: 4-1 for 80%
Mike Handzelek's 2021 MLB End Of Season Overall Record: 57-38 for 60%
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