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Mike Handzelek's NFL Championship Round Analysis/Review


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Jan 24, 2019
   
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Sunday, January 20, 2019 New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs (NFL) - 6:40 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -155 Kansas City Chiefs Rating: 10* Mike's NFL Playoffs Game Of The Year (LOSS) This matchup certainly has that Jon Q Public & even some sharps look ALL over Brady & the Patriots based on experience & performance. Well men, let them go! For those with short memories, HC Andy "The Walrus" Reid KNOWS New England. If you don't think he's been waiting for this game a long time, you'll be mistaken. Do you remember the 2015 playoffs? His offense has put up 82 points on them in 2 games in back-to-back seasons! Am I suggestinThis matchup certainly has that Jon Q Public & even some sharps look ALL over Brady & the Patriots based on experience & performance. Well men, let them go! For those with short memories, HC Andy "The Walrus" Reid KNOWS New England. If you don't think he's been waiting for this game a long time, you'll be mistaken. Do you remember the 2015 playoffs? Do I think his offense average of 41 points will be scored by the Chiefs today? Hell no! But they ARE ready to take control of this game late by doing it with defense. Motivated or not, Brady has still lost his last 3 away playoff games going back to 2007 AND has a very pedestrian 8/8 TD/INT ratio in all road playoff games. Tom Terrific has struggled with the blitz on the road. New England has visited Arrowhead Stadium 6 times the past 26 years & have come away victors just once. The home squad has turned the corner shaking off that playoff jinx in their win last week versus the Colts. Look for them to be super-motivated as well playing for the trophy named after their founder Lamar Hunt. For this one, a BIG difference on "D" has to be OLB Justin Houston present since he was out of the lineup (hamstring injury) in the Week 6 meeting in Foxborough. There's no hiding how DC Bob Sutton has come on with his defense. Overall records don't impress. However, playing @ home this season the Chiefs have MORE than inspired giving up 17.4 PPG (Tied for 3rd), registered 34 sacks (1st in NFL) & have had a +11 turnover ratio (1st in NFL). My bottom line says playing that kind of "D" combined with an offense that can milk the clock (they held the ball for 39:49 of 60 minutes versus Indianapolis), I think that's a MAJOR advantage for an up & coming team that hasn't looked like it feels pressure. Teams with a possession advantage have won SU 22 of 30 & covered 25 of 30 in conference championships. There's also some numbers NOT to be denied. The past 10 NFC/AFC championships has seen the home team go 10-0 SU/8-2 ATS & also 11-1 SU the past 12 AFC title games! The past 38, #1 seeds in this round have also gone 27-11 SU. If the home team was in the playoffs last season, they've come back the next season (in this round) to go a lights-out 17-3 SU. The X-Factor for KC (QB Patrick Mahomes) should be the 1st rookie EVER to start a Super Bowl. His age gap with Brady (23 to 41) is the largest ever between any QB's in the playoffs. This game WON'T have that shootout quality of Week 6. The Chiefs proved that last week when the total only landed on 28 (21-7). That's excellent news for us considering road teams that don't score 20 or more have gone 2-22 SU in the championship round. There you have it! Get ready as we get head to below zero (with wind chill) temperatures @ Arrowhead Stadium to play the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS as my NFL Playoffs Game Of The Year! Mike Handzelek's 2018-19 NFL Overall Record: 31-17 for 65% Still ranked #1 in Winning Percentage @ VegasTopDogs.com Mike Handzelek's 2018-19 NFL Record Since December 2nd: 10-4 for 71% Mike Handzelek's 2018-19 CBB Overall Record: 3-1 for 75% NOTES FORTHCOMING
 


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