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John Ryan's Weekly Recap of Released Plays


By: John Ryan
Date: Oct 5, 2016
   
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John Ryan Sports Weekend Recap 25* Connecticut +30 @ Houston W 14-42 25* Toledo + 3 1\2 @ BYU W 53-55 25* Appalachian State -19 vs Georgia State L 17-3 25* Vanderbilt +11 vs Florida W 6-13 10* Air Force -7 vs Navy W 28-14 25* Texas +3 1\2 @ Oklahoma State L 31-49 25* Iowa State +17 vs Baylor W 42-45 25* Oklahoma -3 1\2 @ TCY W 52-46 50* Clemson +1 vs Louisville W 42-36 25* Oakland +3 1\2 @ Baltimore W 28-27 25* Tampa Bay +3 vs Denver L 7-27 25* Atlanta+3 vs Carolina W 48-33 25* San Francisco +1 vs Dallas L 17-24 25* Minnesota -4 vs NY Giants W 24-10 JR Sports started the week off right, as UConn stayed within the big number at Houston. The stat line would be what you would expect as Houston almost doubled up the Huskies, but UConn was able to get a big play early for a score and get another one in the 4th Quarter to get keep within the 30 range. Pretty much what one would hope and expect for when getting this many points. Final Analysis Cashed the ticket The second game on the board was the Toledo Rockets getting the points at BYU. In a wild game at Provo with the score tied at the half both teams went back and forth in the second half with the Rockets scoring late and going for 2 points to take the lead and then were able to hold the Cougars out of the end-zone, and to a late field goal to win the game, but punching the ticket for Toledo. BYU dominated the ground game with a number of big runs and Toledo dominated the air game by a 2:1 margin. Toledo had 106 more total yards and overcame 2 turnovers to win this game. Final Analysis: Solid Call Next up was Appalachian State -19 versus Georgia State, as expected the Appalachian State Defense showed up holding241 total yards with 88 coming on the ground. The Defense had 4 picks but the offense had too many penalties and stalled most of the day. Appalachian State dominated the time of possession and had an 11 minute advantage in time of possession, but the Georgia State Defense never ran out of gas and held tight all day. Final Analysis: Good CALL Wrong Result Next game up was the Vanderbilt Commodores hosting the Florida Gators. This game John called for a little let down for Florida and Vanderbilt to hang around all day and that is basically what happened. Vanderbilt held the time of possession advantage, had more total yards and first downs, but lost the turnover battle. The only Turnover Vandy came up was late in the game which may have prevented Florida from covering. Final Analysis: Great Call Next up was Air Force giving a touchdown to Navy. The call was for the Air Force Defense to be the better unit today and be able to shut down the Navy offense. The Falcon Defense held the Navy rushing attack to 57 yards on the ground, and that is probably all you need to know in this one. Air Force had a slight advantage in time of possession, won the ground game by a 116 yards and held Navy in check all day until late game. This game went right as predicted. Final Analysis: GREAT CALL The sixth game on the board was Texas taking three and a hook from the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The analysis on this game was that Texas would pound away on the ground and control this game which from that standpoint happened as the Longhorns doubled up the Cowboys on the ground 329 yards to 163 yards. The Longhorn Defense still has a long way to go and this game was similar to the California and Notre Dame games earlier this year as Receivers were running free most of the day and Oklahoma State had several long touchdown passes. This proved to be too much for Texas Offense to overcome. Final Analysis: Bad Call for this matchup on the road The next game was the Iowa State Cyclones getting 17 points against the Baylor Bears. I would be the first to say, I bet not many handicappers were putting this play on the board. That is why Computers compute and the mathematical formulas are used. Iowa State basically got out early and almost pulled the upset losing a close game at home. Baylor close to a 200 yard advantage in the game, Iowa State won the time of possession and played turnover free ball. The Cyclone defense held Seth Russell to 178 yards of passing which was probably part of the plan and what allowed Baylor to dominate the ground game. Iowa State held a 14 point lead going in to the final Quarter, but allowed 17 unanswered points to Baylor but easily cashed the ticket today. Final Analysis: Great Call Next game was the Oklahoma Sooners getting points against the TCU Horned Frogs. This game called for the Sooners to get back on track and come out strong in their Big 12 Opener, basically started slow then followed the script taking a 14 point lead into the locker room and then led by 25 points at the end of the third quarter. Then the wheels fell off the Schooner, TCU scored on a couple of long Touchdowns and closed the gap to 3 points with a little over 5 minutes left. Oklahoma got a late field goal and held TCU to close out the game and cover. The Sooner Defense held TCU to 65 yards on the ground and had a good day running the football for v260 yards and 5 touchdowns. The pass defense struggled late allowing 2 long touchdown passes and giving up 449 yards through the air on the day. Final Analysis: Good Call Good Result The last College game on the board was the big 50 unit play on Clemson Tigers getting 1 at home against Louisvile. I’m not going to do this game any injustice and try to write about it, which may be a disappointment to any of our readers. Watch the instant classic on ESPN. This game was fun to watch and I can only hope to see a rematch on a neutral field. For my analysis on this call, in a big game like this with two pretty even and similar teams, it should come as no surprise as to why the home team usually takes home the prize in these type of contests for that high percentage winner and that was probably the reason this was a big play on the ticket and why the mathematical formulas work. Final Analysis: Great Call The first game on the senior circuit was the Oakland Raiders getting 3 and half at Baltimore. If you look at the stats in this game and did not know the score you probably would have thought Baltimore won the game. The Ravens dominated the ground game by a 2:1 margin had close to the same margin in first downs had more passing yards. Early in the game the Ravens had to settle for field goals and this was probably the difference as the Ravens took a lead late in the game and Derek Carr answered with 23 yard TD pass in the final 2 minutes and the Raider Defense closed out the game. Final Analysis: Good Call The second game was Tampa Bay getting a field goal at home against the defending Super Bowl Champion Denver Broncos. Denver scored early, Tampa tied the game at seven and then it was all the Broncos Defense from that point on. The Broncos Defense forced 3 turnovers and took complete control of the game. The Broncos dominated the statistics and this game actually took the outcome with Denver easily winning the game. Final Analysis: Bad Call Next up was the Atlanta Falcons getting a field goal at home against the defending NFC Conference Champion Carolina Panthers. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones had a day for the Falcons who jumped out early and never looked back in this one. The Falcons dominated all the statistical categories in this one and pulled out the easy win in this one. Final Analysis: Great Call Last game on the board for Sunday was the San Francisco 49’ers getting points at home against Dallas. San Francisco got out the gates early going up 14-0, but then could only manage a field goal the rest of the afternoon. Dallas dominated the time of possession, First downs, yardage and you name it. Statistically you would have thought Dallas won by more. San Francisco went away from what worked early and went back to their check down offense and the normal result eventually took place in this game. Final Analysis Wrong Call The last game was the money making Minnesota Vikings laying 4 at home against the NY Giaints. Minnesota did win the stat battle, but that is not what you look at in Viking Games. You look at how the defense forces you to change your game plan. The Giants used quick release on their passes in this game with all short routes, and that save Eli Manning from punishment but was slow destruction of the Giants. Vikings controlled the game from early on and the outcome never seemed in doubt. Final Analysis: Very Good Call Final Recap: This was a great week for JR Sports showing plus 160 units on the weekend with a lot of good solid calls, for those of you who were able to get in the money lines 3 of the games would have also cashed the ticket, paying off a little more. Being in this a long time, it seems when the ball bounces your way early it leads to good things throughout (the opposite is also true). JR Sports was on the right side early and the algorithms were working this weekend. JR Sports followers should be carrying a fat wallet this week.
 


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