BIG TEN ACTION!! FRIDAY IL/Wis (ESPN TV) 8-2 RUN. Bob has an OUTSTANDING CUT-ABOVE NCAA-B Big Ten Conference Tournament pick here, Illinois vs. Wisconsin. He is 8-2 ATS (80%) last 10 overall Basketball picks
Bob Wingerter's philosophy of handicapping is serious, no-nonsense, he specializes in NFL / NCAA Football...NBA / NCAA Basketball...Major League Baseball. After a 5 year retirement from offering winning selections to clients, with his vast knowledge of Football.. Basketball..Baseball..Hockey. He returned in 2006, and became a DOCUMENTED award winning champion from Pro Football Weekly's National Handicappers Bowl.
Bob's GAME INSIGHT FORCASTER is not a machine or system... it is a method of handicapping that involves hard work and time. Selections are based on modern technology, long experience, discipline, an accumulation of winning edges and feel for the game. With his experience in every facet of handicapping, he knows about winning and has been doing so for over 30 years. Bob will make you a winner!
The betting line is made to create two-way action and they do a very good job, but public perception is also considered. This opens holes and opportunities and Bob exploits them. Selections will only be among the games meeting his criteria. There won’t be a bunch of statistics, trivial information, speculation and opinions that are contained in the line anyway. With the increasing infomation available from the computer, since it's inception into sports handicapping, analysis like statistics, trends, etc. have become less relevant .Let experience and insight speak for itself.
The most important part of handicapping is discipline and money management. Discipline will be reflected in the selections. Money management you must learn yourself.
Winning is directly related to your knowledge of the opposition. About 60% of all games are determined by luck or happenstance. Its the other 40% or so that separates the men from the boys.
His analogy of handicapping is that of a carpenter going to work without a hammer. A handicapper must have a bankroll.
Bob told us about a question he's been asked over the years, "should I seek help handicapping?" The answer is YES! Don't let your ego get in the way when you are risking an investment. He will be working hard along with all handicappers on this site to ensure your success.
Quote of the week
The only thing to do with good advice is to pass it on. It is never of any use to oneself.
... Oscar Wilde
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YESTERDAY'S PICKS
Friday, March 12, 2010
Illinois vs. Wisconsin (NCAAB) - 2:25 PM EST
Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 8/-105 Illinois
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Neither Illinois nor Wisconsin had to play a first round game so they both see their first Big Ten Tournament action in round two. Last time we saw Wisconsin in action it was against this same Illinois team and the Badgers took over in the second half and dealt the Illini a 15 point loss. The badgers have been among the ranked all season long and are currently 18th in the nation though they seem to stumble in games they should win as opposed to stepping up against tougher opponents. Wisconsin scores 67.9 points per game as they shoot 45.1 percent from the floor but they are 289th in offensive rebounding. Defensively Wisconsin keeps opponents to a third best in the nation 56.1 points per game as teams shoot 41.5 percent against them and they are 11t in defensive rebounding. Wisconsin is a veteran team who still have plenty to prove. Illinois lost five of their last six games this season to play their way out of the NCAA Tournament. The Illini finished fifth in the conference with a 10-8 record and while the Illini have some impressive wins under their belt against these same Badgers and Michigan State they have some tough losses as well. The Illini average 70.5 points per game and the shoot 44.9 percent from the field. Defensively Illinois allows 66.5 points per game as teams shoot just 39.9 percent from the floor. Illinois has shown that when they are focused and playing their game they can play with anyone. Wisconsin is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 Big Ten games and just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games as a favorite in neutral site games. Illinois is 0-6 against the spread in their last six neutral site games but they are 5-1 against the spread as an underdog of seven to 12 1/2 points. The favorite is 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two. These two teams split the season series and just as the short break can hurt momentum, it can also help teams that are struggling. We think it helps the Illini here enough to get a cover. TAKE ILINOIS PLUS HERE.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Bobcats (NBA) - 7:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -10/-109 Charlotte Bobcats
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Charlotte Bobcats aim to maintain their recent winning ways and further solidify their postseason hopes in tonight's clash with a Los Angeles Clippers team that'll be seeking to end a five-game slide when it pays a visit to Time Warner Cable Arena.
Charlotte has never reached the playoffs or had a winning season since entering the NBA in 2004-05, but a current stretch of four straight victories has put the club at 32-31 and into a tie with Toronto and Miami for sixth place in the Eastern Conference. Three of those wins have come at home, where the Bobcats have amassed an excellent 23-8 record this season.
The team's latest win occurred on the road, however, a 102-87 triumph over sagging Philadelphia on Wednesday. Charlotte built a comfortable 62-44 lead at intermission and was up by as much as 29 points in the second half.
Los Angeles, now 7-26 on the road this season and losers of eight straight as the visitor, received 16 points from Chris Kaman and 12 out of Steve Blake in Wednesday's setback. The Clippers haven't prevailed in an enemy arena since a 90-82 win over Chicago on February 2. TAKE CHARLOTTE MINUS HERE.
Georgetown vs. Marquette (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/100 Marquette
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
It's two surprise participants in the first Big East Tournament semi-final of the night as Georgetown faces Marquette.
Marquette makes it to the Big East semi Final by winning a thriller against Villanova in a game that will define the college career of Lazar Hayward and place him along with Dwayne Wade and others as some of the top players to ever wear the Marquette uniform. Hayward scored 20 points but it was his clutch play and seemingly always being in the right place at the right time that stifled the Cats. The four point win was actually a little more breathing room than what the Golden Eagles are accustomed to as they seem to involved in more tight games and overtime games than anyone. Marquette is 11-2 in their last 13 games and they did defeat Georgetown in their only meeting this year. The Golden eagles average 73.4 points per game as they shoot 45.6 percent from the field but they are 300th in offensive rebounding. Defensively teams shoot 44.4 percent from the field which is but Marquette gets away with it by pounding the defensive boards and they hold teams to just 63.7 points per game. This a very gritty team that can hang with anyone.
Georgetown got to this game by upsetting number one seed and conference champion Syracuse avenging two losses to the Orange during the season. The Hoyas never wavered down the stretch and win by seven. Georgetown had played the toughest schedule in the country and it has come in handy in tournament play. The Hoyas have averaged 73.5 points per game as they are 4th in the country in shooting percentage at 49.9percent from te floor. Defesnivley the Hoyas pound the boards as they are 24th in the country in defensive rebounding and they allow just 65.5 points a game. Georgetown obviously doesn't back down from anyone.
Marquette is 11-3-1 against the spread in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 against the spread following a straight up win. Georgetown is 4-0 against the spread in their last four neutral site games but 9-25-1 in their last 35 games following a cover.
TAKE MARQUETTE PLUS HERE.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -6/-108 San Antonio Spurs
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The San Antonio Spurs will try to continue their mastery of the Minnesota Timberwolves when the two Western Conference inhabitants get together tonight at the Target Center.
San Antonio has won 10 straight and 15 of the past 16 meetings with the Timberwolves, who have lost five in a row as the host in this series. Minnesota's last win over the Spurs was a 103-101 overtime triumph back on January 3, 2007 in the Twin Cities.
The Spurs have won five of their last six games overall, including Wednesday's 97-87 triumph versus the New York Knicks in the Alamo City. Manu Ginobili scored a game-high 28 points, grabbed six rebounds and dished out five assists to lead the way. Ginobili has scored in double figures 10 times and has posted 20-plus points on six different occasions in 11 games since the All-Star break, averaging 20.9 ppg in that period.
The Timberwolves have seen better days and are playing out the string this evening. They have lost seven straight and 13 of their last 14 games, and are coming off Wednesday's 110-102 loss versus the Denver Nuggets. Nuggets forward J.R. Smith put the game away with a trio of threes late in the game. TAKE SAN ANTONIO MINUS HERE.
Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat (NBA) - 7:35 PM EST
Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -11.5/-104 Miami Heat
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
A pair of teams battling for playoff spots in the Eastern Conference square off tonight at Miami's AmericanAirlines Arena, where the surging Heat continue an important homestand by taking on the slumping Chicago Bulls.
Although only 1 1/2 games separate these clubs in the East standings, the Heat and Bulls have been going in opposite directions as of late. Miami posted its fourth win in its last five outings with Wednesday's 108-97 verdict over the Los Angeles Clippers, while Chicago's current losing streak reached a season- worst six games in last night's 111-82 defeat at Orlando.
The Bulls' slide has dropped them into ninth place in the conference race, with the Heat tied with Toronto and Charlotte for the final three postseason berths at the moment.
The Bulls have also lost in four straight visits to Miami, including a 95-87 decision on November 1. Chicago did get a measure of revenge with a 95-91 win over the Heat in the Windy City on February 6, in which Deng scored 25 points and Rose netted 24.
Miami has an opportunity to enhance its playoff chances with a six-game home stretch that began with Wednesday's victory over the Clippers. The Heat have won their last four tilts as the host, improving to 18-14 at AmericanAirlines Arena for the season. TAKE MIAMI MINUS HERE.
Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Hornets (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -5/-111 Denver Nuggets
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
One slip at the controls and the Denver Nuggets will have some company atop the Northwest Division standings. They'll try to prevent that from happening tonight, when they resume a four-game road trip against the New Orleans Hornets in the Big Easy.
Denver has won four in row and sits just one game ahead of Utah in the division. The Jazz have also won four straight and will play Milwaukee Friday night at the Bradley Center.
The Nuggets are one game behind Dallas for the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference and opened the trek with Wednesday's 110-102 triumph at Minnesota thanks to 25 points from Chauncey Billups. It was the 19th time in the past 28 games in which Billups has scored 20-plus points. He is averaging 22.9 ppg over that stretch.
Meanwhile, the Hornets are running out of time on a possible postseason spot and sit six games off the eighth and final playoff berth in the West. They have dropped five of the last six games, including Wednesday's 98-83 setback at Oklahoma City. TAKE DENVER MINUS HERE.
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Note: John Wall was excluded from this list because like Oklahoma's Blake Griffin last year he's clearly the premier player in college basketball. It goes without saying that he's a must-watch player as the top prospect the 2010 draft has to offer.
Evan Turner (Ohio State)
There are a lot of players who hurt their draft stock by opting to pass on the 2009 draft, but Evan Turne ... read more
Sports bettors don’t go broke because they can’t pick winners, and they don’t go broke because of vigorish… they go broke because they use bad money management.
I’ve listed below the top ten tested, guaranteed, sure-fire ways to lose. Follow one or more of these ten rules and you will positively lose betting sports. These aren’t the only ways to be a loser… there are plenty of others. ... read more
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Bob Wingerter Release Times
NFL / NCAA College Football picks will be released throughout the week, up to the day of the game. NBA / NCAA basketball and Major League Baseball selections will be available overnight or the morning of the game .
Bob Wingerter Rating System
He doesn't believe in rating the selections. They are all of merit. Doubling up or chasing can be counterproductive in the long run. Okay, some plays handicap out stronger than others, but without records over thousands of plays, it's hard to have relative values of plays....unless you are psychic.This is not saying that it cannot be helpful to increase your plays when going good (not one winning week) and decrease them when going bad. That is part of good money management. (SEE MONEY MANAGEMENT BELOW)
Bob Wingerter Money Management
Poor money management is the reason 90-95% of all sport bettors lose.
A good rule of thumb is to bet 2% of your bankroll on each play until it goes up 50%. Then increase your plays 50%. Do the reverse if your bankroll goes down.
Try not to risk more than 20% of your bankroll at any one time and over this amount only if you are making 10 or more plays simultaneously.
We wouldn't risk more than 18% while making 5-6 plays at a time.
If you make 1-3 plays a day, risking 10% of your gross bankroll at any one time might be safe.
If you go broke it won't be because you didn't pick winners, it will most likely be due to poor money management.
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