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| Release Times |
| During Baseball season, I usually have two release times, 2 p.m. for the 4 p.m. games and 6:00 for the late games. I live and Las Vegas and have contacts at all the major sports book in town and have the most up to date information available. I have found over my ten year in the sports handicapping business that the most important commodity is “INFORMATION” and I have it!!! |
| Money Management |
| One of your first steps in analyzing your money line wagers should be about your break even percentage. I can’t stress this enough!!!! I think it’s important to look at the financial side of sports betting with “realistic expectations” The chart below is based upon the percentage of wins required to break-even for any moneyline. Use the following formula: Required Win % = Amount Risked / (Amount Risked + Amount of Win) I.E.: a line of –110 implies a risk of $110 to win $100 so. Required win % = 110 / (110 + 100) = 110/210 = 52.38%. This number is the win percentage needed to reach the break-even point when betting spreads and totals in football and basketball but were in baseball season and we have to look for value in the moneyline.
Moneyline Loss Win Win % Required ============================================= -200 -200 100 66.67% -180 -180 100 64.29% -170 -170 100 62.96% -160 -160 100 61.54% -150 -150 100 60.00%
-140 -140 100 58.33%
-130 -130 100 56.52%
-120 -120 100 53.86%
-110 -110 100 52.38%
-105 -105 100 51.22%
-100 -100 100 50.00%
105 -100 105 48.78%
110 -100 110 47.62%
120 -100 120 45.45%
130 -100 130 43.48%
140 -100 140 41.67%
150 -100 150 40.00%
160 -100 160 38.46%
170 -100 170 37.04%
180 -100 180 35.71%
200 -100 200 33.33%
210 -100 210 32.26%
220 -100 220 31.25%
230 -100 230 30.30%
240 -100 240 29.41%
250 -100 250 28.57%
260 -100 260 27.78%
270 -100 270 27.03%
280 -100 280 26.32%
290 -100 290 25.64%
300 -100 300 25.00%
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