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Bryan Leonard
NBA run now stands at 17-8. Afternoon Baseball has been loaded with evening action on the way.
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| Bryan Leonard is in his 25th season as a Professional Handicapper. Bryan Leonard Sports is a one man business built on honesty and customer satisfaction. He is a sought after guest for numerous handicapping radio shows, as well as acclaimed contests including The Stardust Invitational, the Sunset Station Invitational and the Leroy's Money Talks contest in Las Vegas. Bryan has numerous #1 finishes in all sports as documented by The Sports Monitor. In addition to being a sports bettor, Bryan was a linesmaker for an offshore sportsbook.
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| Sunday, May 11, 2008 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (MLB) - 4:10 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Pick: Total: 8.5/-107 Under |
Loss |
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Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Chicago at Seattle Under
Two struggling offenses broke out of prolonged slumps yesterday but we can't see the scoring outburst continuing. Neither team is built to grind out runs as they both seem better fits in a home run derby contest. This ballpark is a pitchers best friend and will play like that more than it's share with teams not able to manufacture runs.
Chicago sends Gavin Floyd to the mound fresh off his second attempt at no-hitter history. He has five quality starts of his six this year for Chicago. Three of those quality starts have come on the road and this ballpark seems to be a perfect fit for Floyd.
Seattle counters with Miguel Batista who has struggled here this season with a 12.54 ERA on the year. But we expect him to round into form today against this struggling Chicago lineup. The White Sox are averaging just 3.97 runs on the road vs righties while hitting .230.
Before last night's offensive breakout for both these teams Chicago had averaged 2.89 runs per game their previous nine, while Seattle averaged 1.78 runs per game in the same time frame. Chicago has gone under the total in 10 of 11 games vs right-handed starters. With both teams catching planes after today's game we can look for quick at bats.
PLAY UNDER
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| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Pick: Money Line: -114 Boston Red Sox |
Loss |
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Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Boston over Minnesota
Tim Wakefield takes the mound for the Red Sox and he simply loves to pitch in domes. The knuckleballer is at his best when wind isn't a factor, and domes create the perfect storm for his pitches. Maybe that's why he has a 13-4 career record against the Twins. Last year in the Metrodome he held the Twins to a .130 batting average and .174 slugging percentage in his only start. The veteran righty owns a 2.77 ERA on the road this season.
Minnesota counters with young Nick Blackburn who has managed just three quality starts in his last six games. Blackburn's problem with this lineup is that he's not a strikeout pitcher and the Red Sox have the most patient offense in baseball. Without a go to strikeout pitch the Sox can just wait him out and get a good pitch to hit.
Boston has scored five or more runs in nine straight games. During this recent offensive explosion they are averaging 6.89 runs per game. Look for the Sox to continue their offensive success as they figure out the young righty.
PLAY BOSTON
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| New Orleans Hornets vs. San Antonio Spurs (NBA) - 8:05 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Pick: Point Spread: 5.5/-104 New Orleans Hornets |
Loss |
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Click Here to View Pick Analysis
New Orleans (+) over San Antonio
Despite the Spur's success on the scoreboard in the last game they are still struggling to slow down the Hornets. New Orleans shot 49.4% from the field and were able to get just about any shot they wanted. The defensive change putting Bowen on Stojakovic helped slow down the veteran but it didn't slow down Chris Paul who had 35 points and nine assists. New Orleans fans would much rather see their best player taking 25 shots than an outside shooter putting up just seven which is what Stojakovic did in the previous game. New Orleans also held their own on the glass losing the rebounding battle by just two 43 to 41. What is a telling sign for this series is that despite San Antonio being the defending champions playing at home New Orleans matched them from the free throw line at 21 shots apiece.
The Hornets have won four of the last six meetings in this series and despite San Antonio's history most experts feel New Orleans is the better team. The Hornets are 38-13 ATS off a loss and they are extremely confident right now. This is a team that has won outright in 27 of 44 road games this season. We look for this game to go down to the wire with New Orleans giving the champs all they can handle.
PLAY NEW ORLEANS
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| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians (MLB) - 1:05 PM EDT |
Premium Play |
| Pick: Money Line: -132 Cleveland Indians Pick Title: Afternoon Delight (3-0 Sweep Yesterday) |
Push |
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Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Cleveland over Toronto
The Indians continued their home domination of the Blue Jays the first two games of this series outscoring the birds 18-1 in the process. Fausto Carmona takes the hill for the host looking to regain his 2007 form off a rocky start to the season. But Carmona continues to pitch well at home. In four home starts he has allowed just six earned runs in 23.2 innings of work. His familiarity with this mound has been a bonus because he has been horrible on the road. He owns a 2.28 ERA at home and a 7.20 ERA on the road. He will be helped by the strike zone of umpire Andrew Fletcher who has gone 11-3-2 to the under his last 16 games behind the plate.
Toronto has lost three key members to injury this week and their offense is in shambles. In the last 10 games they have scored just 29 runs. AJ Burnett brings a career ERA of 8.46 against the Tribe into today's game. He has been as inconsistent as Carmona thus far this season. The big righty can be dominating at times and yet his inconsistency has been his downfall, that and injuries which have plagued his career.
Cleveland is breaking out of their offensive funk while the Jays are missing their best offensive weapon. The Tribe has dominated Toronto here winning eight straight at home in this series. We simply can't see Toronto scoring enough to reverse the historic trend.
PLAY CLEVELAND
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| Monday Afternoon Delight
With three games being rained out on Sunday we now have two doubleheaders on tap for Monday. In the American League the Blue Jays and Indians play the first of two this afternoon and we have the afternoon winner. Off a tough day yesterday with two losses by a combined 1 1/2 runs we bounce back big today.
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| Baseball Package
Every selection we release for the entire Baseball Season. Up to 5 Best Bets per day for one low seasonal price.
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NBA Playoff Roar: A Different Animal |
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May 6, 2008 |
Yes, that NBA playoff roar you're hearing is a different animal from the one you saw and heard during the regular season. The games are different. One, they mean more. Two, teams see each other 4 to 7 times in the span of a week or two. This makes adjustments a huge factor by the coaching staffs. Just as important are moves NOT made by coaches, usually because some coaches aren't good enough to r ...
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Baseball Road Treks |
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May 2, 2008 |
It’s essential for sports handicappers to understand the significance of home and road play. Teams in all sports usually play significantly better at home than on the road for a variety of reasons. Think about all the inconveniences when you travel on the road: Time spent driving to the airport, parking, luggage, a plane ride through different time zones, red-eye flights means having your sleep i ...
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