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8 College Hoops Sleepers from 8 Different Conferences
Erik Scheponik Nov 23, 2009  

Looking for teams that should be improved from last season, appear ready to take the next stop, and seem to be flying under the radar in preseason publications.

Atlantic 10 St. Bonaventure- 15 wins in the second year of Mark Schmidt's regime were the most the Bonnies' have had in 6 years. Covered 7 out of 9 to close out the regular season last season, with one of the non-cove ...  read more

 
Some Undervalued '09 CFB Football Teams
Erik Scheponik Aug 30, 2009  

Here we are going to take a look at some CFB teams that appear to me to be headed in the right direction. I look for an improvement from last year or even recent years. I'm not focused on what bowl these teams can make or how many games they will win, I'm simply looking for teams that I think are "under the radar" and can be better that what the media and the betting public are expecting. Th ...  read more

 
NBA 1st Round Playoff Preview
Erik Scheponik Apr 18, 2009  

Here are some tidbits on each of the opening round series matchups. Be sure to check out my NBA Playoff Package, as I've hit a documented 60% in this league over the last two seasons. The Game 1 free play at the end is an actual phone service selection!

Pistons vs. Cavaliers- Pistons played better ball down the stretch without Iverson, and their young guards Stuckey and By ...  read more

 
ESI 2009 Big Dance Preview
Erik Scheponik Mar 19, 2009  

Here is a preview of the 6 teams that ESI sees having a realistic chance to cut down the nets this season. Last season in this article, we correctly predicted Kansas as the national champion, but this year things truly are a little more wide open, as no team appears to be as complete a team as Kansas was. UConn may have been that team, but they lost not only a great player in Jerom Dyson a fe ...  read more

 
Handicapping The Bowls
Erik Scheponik Dec 14, 2008  

Here are some important factors to remember when handicapping the College Football Bowl Season. Enjoy, Good Luck, and Happy Holidays!

1. MOTIVATION- What teams truly do or do not want to be in that particular bowl game? Stay away from teams that may have expected to be in a much better bowl, especially if the loss occurred in their last 2 games. It is hard for a team to get ...  read more

 
NFL: A Game of Mistakes
Erik Scheponik Aug 26, 2008  

Last season in the NFL, teams that committed less (forced more) turnovers than their opponent logged an impressive 162-39 (81%) mark on the field, and a 155-41-5 record ATS (79%) (against the pointspread). Very impressive yes, but actually down from the '06 season where the teams went 173-38 SU (straight up) (82%), and 166-40-5 ATS (81%). In 2005, the numbers were 124-44 (74%) SU, and a 131- ...  read more

 
Some Handicapping 101 Truisms
Erik Scheponik Aug 26, 2008  

Sports Handicappers such as myself spend countless hours sifting through information, crunching numbers, and searching for line value. The best of us go all out in hopes for a 55-60% season ( 52.38% is the breakeven point assuming a 10% vigorish or juice), with very few of us actually able to achieve the higher end of that range. Sports Handicapping is the ultimate GRIND, there is no magic, and ...  read more

 
Erik Scheponik's NCAA Tourney Preview
Erik Scheponik Mar 20, 2008  

Okay, so now its my turn to play Dick Vitale and Jay Bilas real quick. I really can’t fathom South Alabama making this tournament. Sure they have the nice win over Mississippi St., but shouldn’t they have at least made the finals of a conference tournament played on their home court? Especially when that conference is the lowly Sun Belt (RPI 15). I definitely would have given that spot to I ...  read more

 
West Bracket (Phoenix Region) Breakdown
Erik Scheponik Mar 19, 2008  

Analysis for top half of the bracket is by Erik Scheponik (ESI) and Matty Baiungo (Matty B Sports). Analysis on bottom half, and future rounds is entirely Erik Scheponik's (ESI). Enjoy and realize that line movement and further analysis can change/strenghten our opinion by game day.

UCLA (1) vs. Mississippi Valley St. (16)

Ben Howland has taken the Bruins to back- ...  read more

 
Bracket Buster Scorecard
Erik Scheponik Feb 27, 2008  

Another Bracket Buster Weekend has come and gone, and handicappers should use what they learned this weekend as an aid for the postseason handicapping that lies just around the corner. Of course, as is the case with handicapping any other basketball game, the key is not just in charting the results, but interpreting why those results happened from a situational and fundamental point of view. ...  read more

 
Peaking at the Right Time
Erik Scheponik Feb 23, 2008  

To quote Lou Brown from the movie Major League “It’s all starting to come together” for the 3 NCAA and 1 NBA teams that Erik has circled to make some major noise down the stretch and into the postseason.

Louisville- Sometimes you can take coach’s interviews as mere coachspeak and other times there’s something to be learned. All you had to do is watch Rick Piti ...  read more

 
3 Major Conference Sleeper/Value Teams
Erik Scheponik Aug 24, 2007  

Northwestern- (Big 10) This team went through some growing pains last season after the tragic loss of HC Randy Walker, and some bad luck with the injury bug. However, I believe that new HC Pat Fitzgerald made the best of a bad situation in his first year at the helm at only 34 years of age. I think Fitzgerald has the makings of a very good head coach, and improvement was apparent o ...  read more

 
The NFL: A Game of Mistakes
Erik Scheponik Aug 18, 2007  

Last season in the NFL, teams that committed less (forced more) turnovers than their opponent logged an impressive 173-38 (82%)record on the field (SU), going 166-40-4 (81%) against the pointspread (ATS). Very impressive yes, but only slightly above the norm. In 2005, the numbers were 124-44 (74%) SU, and a 131-33 mark (80%) against the pointspread (ATS). In '04 these turnover winners logged ...  read more

 
Detroit/Cleveland Series Play w/analysis
Erik Scheponik May 21, 2007  

Cleveland at Detroit Play CLEVELAND +285 or better

From a value standpoint there is only one way to bet this series as the Pistons were just -180 against Chicago, and now are laying nearly double that against a team that is better than the Bulls. Last year's series went a hard fought 7 games, and although if I had to make a play at even money, or a cold prediction, it would ...  read more

 
Game 1 Box Score Analysis
Erik Scheponik Apr 23, 2007  
A few anomalies jump off the page when analyzing Game 1 NBA boxscores, giving us a better idea of why the results occured as well as predicting what will or needs to happen the rest of the series, for the Game 1 losers to bounce back. The key is deciding whether or not a Regression back to the Mean will take place.

New Jersey/Toronto:

New Jersey pulled the upset despite a combin ...  read more
 
NBA Eastern Conference Opening Round Preview
Erik Scheponik Apr 21, 2007  

Miami at Chicago- Rematch from last year's opening round series won by Miami in 6. The Heat are almost impossible to handicap from a statistical sense because Shaq and Wade have only played 18 games together THE ENTIRE SEASON! The rest of the key pieces are back in place from last year's championship run, and Eddie Jones has also been added and is playing well at both e ...  read more

 
Final 4 Preview: Florida vs. UCLA
Erik Scheponik Mar 30, 2007  

Florida vs. UCLA: The Rematch

The Bruins have finally gotten their wish and that is a chance at redemption against these Florida Gators, the team that outclassed them 73-57 in last year's NCAA championship. Both teams have handled the BULL'S EYE placed on their backs in very tough conferences this season. The Pac 10's other Elite 8 contestant (only conference with more than 1 ...  read more

 
Big Dance Preview: East Rutherford Region
Erik Scheponik Mar 15, 2007  

Going to Atlanta- I could be wrong, but I don't rate the North Carolina Tar Heels as one of the top 6 teams that can win this tournament. Now that's not saying I don't think they are one most talented because I do, and in all honesty...They are probably #7 on my list. I'm just not sure that the Tar Heels can win a knock down, drag-out, low scoring slugfest that a Georgetown or ...  read more

 
Big Dance Preview: St. Louis Region
Erik Scheponik Mar 14, 2007  

BIG DANCE PREVIEW: St. Louis Region

Atlanta Bound- I'm going to go with the chalk here and pick Florida as I really think that this is the weakest bracket at least in terms of the top seeds. The Gators seem to have regained their edge after 3 straight double digit road losses in February, and statistically this team is almost a mirror of last year: truly dominant ...  read more

 


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