Washington Nationals vs. LA Dodgers (Tuesday, May 30th)
This upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals is bound to be a showdown to remember, with many eyes on J.D. Martinez, the Dodgers' power designated hitter. Martinez has been putting up some impressive numbers this month, and if you're looking for a solid bet, the Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at -155 seems like a solid choice.
Let's delve into the details and see why Martinez is a force to be reckoned with in this game. First, let's take a look at his overall batting stats. Martinez is averaging 1.54 hits + runs + RBI this season. While that might not seem like earth-shattering numbers, it's essential to consider the context. At home, he's averaging 1.33 HRR, while on the road he's been raking in a slightly better 1.71 HRR average per game.
The last 10 games have seen Martinez heat up even more, averaging 2.5 hits + runs + RBI per game, and he's cashed the over 1.5 in nine of his last 10 games. Books have been getting pounded on HRR player props this season. The lines are way off and my model has done a great job of identifying where the value is using a plethora of algorithms.
When it comes to trends, J.D. Martinez is undoubtedly on the rise. Over the last 10 games, he's trending up, and over the last 5 games, he's still trending up. That's some serious consistency right there, folks. My model seems to like Martinez and the rest of the Dodgers probability of success on Tuesday night. The Dodgers' lineup is stacked and owns a + 55 run differential, which ranks No. 4 in all of baseball.
Now, let's take a look at his performance against the Washington Nationals. J.D. Martinez hit a 3-run HR in last night's victory and now has a .309 average with 7 HR, 21 RBI, and 11 runs scored this month. His 1.000 OPS (on base + slugging) is eye-catching! It's also worth noting, the Nationals rank No. 26 in defensive runs saved (-13), which could give the Dodgers even more opportunities to rack up offensive stats.
My Selection: J.D. Martinez Over 1.5 (-155) Hits + Runs + RBI
Twitter: @JHSPORTSLINE
Jeff Hochman | |
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