Let's talk about the young Rangers phenom, Josh Jung, who's been turning heads in the MLB world. Josh has been on a tear lately, and his recent stats make him a prime candidate to go over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in the Rangers' upcoming game against the Seattle Mariners on Friday night. The best part is that the line is plus money (+125).
Firstly, let's look at Jung's overall performance this season. He's averaging 1.48 HRR per game, and that number jumps to 1.62 when playing at home. These numbers might not seem too far off from the 1.5 line, but there's more to the story.
Jung has gone over 1.5 HRR in 18 games this season, while staying under in 34 games. But, if we dig a little deeper and look at his recent performance, we can see a trend emerging. In his last 20 games, Jung has averaged 1.45 HRR, with 6 games over the 1.5 mark. However, if we narrow it down further to his last 10 games, that average shoots up to 2.2, with 5 games over 1.5 at mostly plus odds.
So, what's the point of all these numbers? They show that Jung is trending upwards, especially in his last 10 games. He's gone Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 8 of those 10 games. That's an 80% success rate!
Now, it's true that Jung hasn't performed exceptionally well against Seattle this season, averaging only 0.33 HRR in 3 games. But, let's not forget that he's a top prospect who's finally healthy and starting to realize his potential. With an average exit velocity of 92.2 mph and a 12.4% barrel rate, Jung is no joke at the plate. Josh is batting .295 with 12 HR, 37 RBI, and a robust .872 OPS in 52 games this season.
Another factor to consider is the Texas Rangers' team performance. They currently have the No. 1 run differential (131) in the league and are 13-6 after a loss this season. The Rangers' offense is no slouch, and Jung is a crucial part of that machine. Luis Castillo is a stud for Seattle, but has an ERA of 5.06 on the road this season.
The bottom line is that Josh Jung has been on fire lately, and there's a solid chance he'll continue his hot streak against the Seattle Mariners. His recent performance and the Rangers' impressive run differential make the Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at +125 odds quite attractive. Don't accept anything other than +120 or better!
My Selection: Josh Jung Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+125)
Twitter: @JHSPORTSLINE
| Jeff Hochman | |
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