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Reds vs. Orioles MLB Wednesday Night Player Prop

By: Jeff Hochman
Date: Jun 28, 2023
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Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI is a Smart Play on Wednesday Night

Analyzing player props in sports betting can prove to be a profitable strategy. Let's discuss the reasons why betting on Elly De La Cruz achieving over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI in Wednesday night's game is a wise choice for bettors looking to maximize their potential winnings.

Right-hander Kyle Gibson has been going through a mini-slump recently, giving up eight runs across nine innings in his last two starts. This slump has resulted in losses for him and the Orioles, including defeats against the Chicago Cubs on June 17 and more recently, the Seattle Mariners.

With Elly De La Cruz's dynamic playing style posing a challenge for the opposing teams, there is an opportunity to take advantage of Gibson's recent struggles. By analyzing De La Cruz's statistics, along with the entire Reds offense and past performances, we can evaluate the likelihood of him achieving more than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI in this particular game.

In seven of his past ten games, he has recorded Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs, including a 0-3 performance in his last three games. Over his past 20 games, De La Cruz has gone over 1.5 H+R+R 63.1% of the time. It is interesting to note that the last time Elly had a three-game Under 1.5 H+R+R streak, De La Cruz went on a 7-game OVER streak.

While individual player performance can fluctuate, De La Cruz has consistently shown the ability to contribute offensively. By examining his season statistics and recent form, we can gain more confidence in his ability to achieve this player prop. The Reds are ranked No. 12 in hits per game (8.63), No. 9 in Runs per game (4.89), and No. 10 in RBI per game (4.71). Cincinnati also ranks No. 2 in stolen bases per game (1.09).

In terms of odds, taking Elly De La Cruz OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI player prop at -135 represents a favorable wager. My model suggests a higher probability of De La Cruz achieving these numbers, making it a potentially lucrative bet. According to my model, this support goes up to -145!

My Selection: Elly De La Cruz OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-135)


  Jeff Hochman
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