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Home / Articles / Montgomery's Strikeout Surge: Why I'm Betting the Over on 4.5 Tonight

Montgomery's Strikeout Surge: Why I'm Betting the Over on 4.5 Tonight


By: Jeff Hochman
Date: Jul 18, 2023
   
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When it comes to baseball, the strikeout is the pitcher's ultimate weapon. It's the perfect blend of power and precision, the swing and miss that leaves the batter walking back to the dugout with nothing to show for his effort. And if you're in the business of predicting who's going to be racking up those strikeouts tonight, look no further than Jordan Montgomery.


Montgomery, the Southpaw with a knack for the K, has been impressive this season, consistently delivering on the mound. I know what you think: the line is set at 4.5 strikeouts. That's a decent number. Could he surpass it? But here's the thing: the stats are speaking loud and clear, and they're saying that betting the Over is the intelligent move tonight.


Just take a look at this season's averages. Montgomery is clocking in with 5.33 strikeouts per game. Whether on home turf or the road, his number stays consistent. This consistency showcases his ability to adapt and perform regardless of the environment's change. And let's not overlook that he's had more than 4.5 strikeouts in 13 games this season. That's more than double the times he's had fewer than 4.5 K's.


But it's not just about the season-long average here. It's about the recent form, the momentum, the hot hand. And Montgomery is trending up. Over the last 20 games, he's averaged 5.33 strikeouts, which has increased to 5.5 in the previous ten games. Even more impressive? Over the last five games, he's been averaging 6.0 strikeouts. That's right, six strikeouts per game in the most recent stretch. This kind of upward trend is precisely what you want to see when you're considering betting the over.


And here's the kicker: My projections for tonight's game have Montgomery with almost eight strikeouts, nearly double the line of 4.5, which seems too low.


I'm not here to tell you this is a 'sure thing.' This is sports, after all, and anything can happen. But when you're making your betting decisions, you want to go with the numbers, the trends, the projections. And all of these are pointing toward Montgomery surpassing that 4.5 line tonight.


So, if you're looking for a wager with potential solid upside, consider betting the OVER on Jordan Montgomery's 4.5 strikeouts. With a killer slider and an upward trend in his recent performances, Montgomery looks like a strong pick for racking up the K's tonight.


My Selection: Jordan Montgomery Over 4.5 strikeouts (-115)


Twitter:@JHSPORTSLINE
 


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