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Home / Articles / Mike Handzelek's Super Bowl Side & Winning Props Analysis/Review/Notes

Mike Handzelek's Super Bowl Side & Winning Props Analysis/Review/Notes

By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Feb 14, 2022
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Sunday, February 13, 2022 Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals (NFL) - 6:30 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -185 Los Angeles Rams Rating: 8* Mike's SB Public Missed Perception Play With Winning Props (WIN) Don't be fooled (like the mushes have) by Cinderella Cincinnati! Queen City Joe (Burrow) & Co. caught Kansas City after they just played a OT thriller in a win over Buffalo. Remember, the Rams' "D" has had 2 weeks to gauge the Bengals' flaws & dissect when to use man-to-man coverage & when to utilize their Cover 2, 3 & 4 zone defenses. Yes, this is the same Cincy squad that lost to the Jets AND the Bears! All 5 L.A. losses have come against quality & winning competition like SF twice, Tennessee, Arizona & Green Bay. The Rams had big leads & have beaten Tom Brady & Tampa Bay twice this season. In reality, this is the easiest team that Los Angeles will play in the past month. Most Super Bowls are won & lost in the trenches. As far as getting to the QB, the Rams have 50 sacks compared to the Bengals 42. Protecting the QB has been a whole different story. The Cincinnati offensive line has allowed 55 sacks while the Los Angeles' O-Line has given up 31. I feel the Rams offense is settled in now with WR Odell Beckham Jr. locked into the offense. This L.A. team doesn't rely heavily on play-action (like they did in Super Bowl 53 or LIII to New England--oddly enough Cincinnati HC Zac Taylor was the Rams' QB coach in that game) & has been more solid since RB Cam Akers came back & a had a few games in. One key area looks bigger to me now that it did before the playoffs. Cincinnati has been consistently out-rushed (a key metric you need in a Super Bowl) in their 3 AFC playoff games. But on the flip side, the Rams have badly out-rushed their 3 NFC playoff opponents 283 to 142! Teams that have rushed for more yards in the Super Bowl have gone an electrifying 41-14 SU. My bottom line looks @ how HC Sean McVay was embarrassed by NE in L.A.'s last Super Bowl. It won't happen again since GM Les Snead has clearly put all his chips in to "Win Now" by acquiring CB Jalen Ramsey, QB Matt Stafford, OLB Von Miller & WR Beckham the past 2 seasons. Another key stat that stands out & speaks for itself as 45 of the 55 Super Bowl winners were the team owning the BETTER defense. In the battle of BEST WR, I further feel Cooper Kupp's stats of 145 receptions for 1,947 yards & 16 TD's is much more impressive than Ja'Marr Chase's 81 catches for 1,455 yards & 13 TD's because it came against much more solid defenses overall. Don't forget its the L.A. secondary that gave up the 2nd-fewest TD passes with 17 AND registered 19 INT's (3rd in the NFL). A bigger problem for Burrow's O'Line is finding how many ways Rams' sack-leader & DT Aaron Donald (12.5 sacks) will be coming @ them. Before we get into some BIG winning props, the Super Bowl has seen the team who wins the coin toss lose 7 consecutive years SU. Random streaks like could be near their end. (PRE-GAME NOTES: Please stay consistent on money bet per star on game & all propositions--Buy back the Rams if Stafford, Kupp, Beckham, Ramsey or Donald are scratched before game) At SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, my game selection is on the LOS ANGELES RAMS-ML as my 8 Star Public Missed Perception Play! My winning props are as follows: 1) Play 10 Stars on UNDER 22 as Cincinnati's Team Total. 2) Play 9 Stars on Cincinnati or Evan McPherson to make the Longest FG Made. 3) Play 9 Stars on the L.A. Rams for More 1st Downs Made. 4) Play 8 Stars on UNDER 280 1/2 Passing Yards for Joe Burrow. 5) Strongest Prop Of The Game (12 Stars) is on NO for a Missed PAT (Kick). Make sure this does not include 2-Pt. conversions just kicks. Enjoy the Super Bowl & always stay disciplined along the way with hitting key & select spots only. Be back for CBB when we heat up when its closer to Championship Week & March Madness! Mike's 2022 NFL Playoff Record: 7-2 for 78% L2 Super Bowls: 13-3 for 81% Mike Handzelek's 2021-22 NFL Overall Record (all plays): 38-12 for a career best 76%

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