Sunday, October 13, 2024
Arizona Cardinals vs. Green Bay Packers (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-110 Green Bay Packers Rating: 9* Mike's NFL Up & Comer (WIN)
Analysis: Kudos to the Arizona Cardinals for their brutal upset of their divisional rivals, the San Francisco 49ers 24-23 as 7 1/2-point dogs @ Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. However, to immediately go on the road against another NFC playoff team in back-to-back weeks will be a tough task. When you play the 49ers in a divisional game, you more than your normal share on the field. Remember, this is the same Jonathan Gannon-coached squad that got pummeled by a CLICKING offense the week before, 42-14 by the rookie upstart QB Jayden Daniels & the Washington Commanders. Even though these same Cards have done well on the road thus far with covers @ Buffalo & San Francisco, those games were played in ideal conditions. They'll being going from their comfy weather the last 2 weeks they enjoyed in Arizona & California to the cold (under 50 degrees), windy & rainy forecast of Cheesehead Country- a venue where Zona' QB Kyler Murray has NEVER played. My bottom line rests on the arm of a now-acclimated QB Jordan Love (now in his 3rd game back from a knee injury. He gets to face a weak Arizona defense that ranks 27th in scoring "D", allows 73% completions & are @ the bottom in 3rd-down efficiency. Let's crunch some numbers! It definitely hasn't been "In The Cards" when they're off a SU win the last 2 years as they've come back the next week to post a weak 2-6 ATS mark. The Green Bay run defense has been good & should be waiting for the Cards' strength in their run game (knowing they rank 24th in passing offense playing in adverse weather). The Pack "D" is very opportunistic as they lead the NFL with 14 takeaways. It all adds up to us going to legendary Lambeau Field to play the GREEN BAY PACKERS as my NFL Up & Comer Play! Here's the Sunday card! Since this season's dust hasn't cleared yet, we'll play a HEAVY dose of prop & teaser starred plays which is where the extreme values have been found the past few weeks.
1) Take the Green Bay Packers buying to - 2 1/2 @ -195 for 9 Stars (WIN) +900 2)Combine the Packers - 2 1/2 with the Eagles ML @ -114 for 8 Stars (WIN) +800 3) Play a 2 Teamer on Josh Jacobs OVER 49 1/2 Rushing Yards with Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 44 1/2 Rushing Yards @ -143 odds for 9 Stars (WIN) +900 4) Play Younghoe Koo/Atlanta Falcons to have OVER 1 1/2 Successful FG's @ -136 odds for 10 Stars (BEST BET) (WIN) +1,000 5) Hi-Payout Parlay -- Play a 6-Teamer on Detroit + 4 1/2 with Philadelphia - 2 1/2 with Tennessee +10 with Denver + 14 1/2 with Tampa Bay + 7 1/2 with Pittsburgh + 7 1/2 @ +184 odds for 5 Stars (WIN) + 920
MNF 2-Team Parlay: Take the NEW YORK JETS @ +7 with OVER 31 @ -186 odds for 7 Stars (WIN) +700
Mike Handzelek's 2024-25 NFL Overall Record: 21-14 for 60% +1,878 Net Units
Mike Handzeleks' 2024-25 CFB & NFL Overall Records Combined: 37-19 for 66% + 7,943 Net Units
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