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Mike Handzelek's NFL Week 4 Analysis/Review


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Oct 1, 2024
   
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Sunday, September 29, 2024 Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -8/-110 New York Jets Rating: 9* Mike's Strongest Play On The Board + High Payout Props/Parlays (LOSS) -3,150 Don't think for a second Jets QB Aaron Rodgers won't be holding a grudge against Denver who gave his current OC Nathaniel Hackett the heave ho a short time ago. Remember, this is the same Broncos whom the Jets traveled to the PAST 2 YEARS & won with Zach Wilson as QB. Ironically enough, the 4-yr man out of BYU - Wilson sits on the Denver sidelines as a one of the backups to Bo Nix. But has the Broncos' staying over in West Virginia this week give them any type of edge against a team with added rest (Jets played the Patriots last Thursday) & home? I think not! It's tough to back a Sean Payton-coached squad that are a one-dimensional offense (no running game) that a have a rookie-on-the-road QB for the 2nd consecutive week. They beat a Buccaneers' "D" last week that was decimated with injuries. The stats still DON'T LIE as Nix has an 0/4 TD/INT ratio & LEADS the team in rushing with 107 yards. They now travel for the 3rd week in 4, take on an elite defense that already has 14 sacks & play an offense that's FIRST in 3rd-down conversion percentage. Let's go to MetLife Stadium to play the NEW YORK JETS (buying to -2 1/2 @ -350 as my 9 STAR Strongest Play On The Board! In addition, we'll grab a 4-Teamer on the NY Jets -1 with the Vikings + 4 1/2 with the Eagles + 7 1/2 with the Steelers + 10 1/2 @ +204 odds for 3 Stars. (LOSS) -300 ALSO a 2-Teamer on Jags' Brian Thomas Jr Over 34 1/2 receiving yards with Nico Collins Over 59 1/2 receiving yards @ -129 for 10 Stars. (WIN) + 1,000 ALSO Jets Breece Hall to Score An ANTIME TD -162 for 5 Stars. LOSS -500 ALSO a 6-Teamer on the Steelers/Colts Under 51 1/2 with the Steelers + 10 1/2 with the Lions + 7 1/2 with the Jets to score in Both Halves with the Chiefs to score in Both halves & the Texans to score in Both Halves @ -14 8 odds for 8 stars. (WIN) +800 Finally a 6- teamer on Jets Breece Hall Over 19.5 receiving yards with Texans Nico Collins to Score A TD with Vikings Aaron Jones Over 39 1/2 Rushing Yards with Steelers George Pickens Over 34 1/2 receiving yards with Ravens Zay Flowers Under 74 1/2 receiving yards & Chiefs Patrick Mahomes Over 209 1/2 passing yards @ +490 odds for 7 stars! (LOSS) -700 ALSO a 2nd Side Play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ +4 1/2 @ -155 for 8 Stars. Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers (NFL) - 1:00 PM Premium Pick Pick: Minnesota Vikings Rating 8* Mike's Public Missed Perception Play (WIN ) +800 There's not much to handicap in terms of numbers here. But what stands above all is how fast Jordan Love can get acclimated & find some type of a groove. For me, that's a few too many ifs. Remember, when Love was intact, he still brings a failing 1-2 SU & ATS mark in home divisional contests. Plus, whatever concoction OC Wes Phillips is giving QB Sam Darnold to drink, I'll take a hit of that too! Sudden Sam has already thrown a league high 8 TD passes (an 8/2 TD/INT ratio, 68% completions) in just 3 weeks. My bottom line has to take HEAVILY into account a Purple People Eaters' "D" dialed up by DC guru Brian Flores. His aggressive-style, 3-4 defensive scheme has paid big dividends these first 3 weeks. His defense has recorded 16 sacks & climbing. I'm not sure if a fresh-off-the-bench Love can sustain even 1 solid hit. He'll be getting rid of the ball prematurely that'll aid our cause. The Vikes' have shown up BIG as road pups going a super-solid 7-1-2 versus the number. Totally dominating C.J. Stroud & Co. was NOT an easy task last week. This defense will be up against someone much less mobile & threatening here. Let's go to legendary Lambeau Field in Wisconsin to play the MINNESOTA VIKINGS (buying to + 4 1/2 @ -155) for 8 Stars. In addition, Play a prop bet on the Steelers Justin Fields to score an Anytime TD @ -143 odds for 9 Stars (WIN) +900. Mike Handzelek's 2024-25 NFL Overall Record: 8-12 for 40% - 10,238 Net Units
 

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