Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks (NBA) - 9:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 4.5/-110 Phoenix Suns Rating: 9* Mike's NBA Attention Grabber (WIN off the BUY)
Game 3 to me was a psychological low for the Suns as in they just didn't get up for it. It showed up in their shooting, having a low amount of shots in the paint & settling for mid-range contested shots instead of searching for the higher percentage better look. That's what adjustments are for. The Bucks played the aggressor & shot their way into a 2-1 NBA Finals' deficit. My bottom line says Phoenix is the healthier team & responds well after a SU loss. In fact, their last 26 SU losses have seen them come back to go 20-6 ATS. That's a good reflection on their HC Monty Williams who rates the EDGE over Mike Budenholzer. The Suns are a super 30-15 SU on the road this season. There's also the matter of all 3 games of these finals have been won SU by double-digits. These teams aren't that far apart & EXPECT more games to turn out like their 2 regular season meeting which went to the Suns @ home 125-124 in February & again to Phoenix in a 128-127 OT win @ Milwaukee in April. I'm not buying Devin Booker going 3-13 from the field (1-7 from 3-pt land) or the team going 9-31 from downtown again. If the Bucks were healthy enough for a long series, I'd be all over them. However, adjustments tell me Giannis Antetokounmpo ( with a hyperextended left knee) won't being seeing a 40-pt night 3 consecutive times in a row. The Suns are well-balanced as witnessed by a top 7 offense & defense on the season. The Bucks' defense came in ranked 22nd! Let's play this @ the number I had it at before the Game 4 lines came out. We go to the Fiserv Forum to play 9 Charles Barkley's on the PHOENIX SUNS (buying to +8) as my NBA Attention Grabber!
Mike Handzelek's Official 2020-21 NBA Overall Record: 13-10 for 57%
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