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LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Saturday Night Player Prop

By: Jeff Hochman
Date: Aug 5, 2023
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"Freeman's Field Day: Why the Dodgers' First Baseman is Set to Sizzle Against San Diego"

The dog days of summer are here, and in the MLB, that means it's crunch time. This is when the greats elevate their game, and that's exactly what we're witnessing with LA Dodgers' first baseman, Freddie Freeman.

Let's not beat around the bush: Freeman is a beast. His performance this season has been nothing short of spectacular. He's batting .338, smashed 22 homers, and nailed 40 doubles. His OPS is a mind-boggling 1.100 against southpaws, dwarfing his still impressive .967 against right-handers. This guy has been crushing it on all fronts.

Now, the LA Dodgers are set for a showdown against San Diego, and we're looking at Freeman to go big. Why? Well, the dude's got history. In his career against San Diego's pitcher, Snell, Freeman has a batting average of .357 over 14 at-bats. That's no fluke—it's the mark of a player who's got the measure of his opponent.

Sure, Freeman went 0-4 on Friday, but that's precisely why we're backing him to come back strong. Great players don't stay down for long, and Freeman is undoubtedly one of the best. The guy's a machine, and we're backing him to recalibrate and come out swinging.

Let's talk numbers because they tell a compelling story. This season, Freeman is averaging 2.38 total bases per game. At home, he's averaging 2.31, and on the road, he's averaging 2.44. Yes, you read that right. Freeman is actually more productive on the road than at home.

Diving deeper, the stats show that Freeman has had more than 1.5 total bases in 56 games this season, compared to 52 games where he's had less. And if you're thinking that's a pretty even split, check this out: Over his last 20 games, Freeman's averaged a whopping 3.2 total bases. In fact, he's had more than 1.5 total bases in 13 of those 20 games.

But wait, there's more. Over his last 10 games, where he's averaged 2.8 total bases, Freeman has exceeded 1.5 total bases in 6 games. And in his last five games? He's been on fire, averaging 4.0 total bases and surpassing 1.5 total bases in 4 games. This isn't a hot streak; it's a consistent, sustained performance from an elite player.

Sure, in his 7 games against San Diego, Freeman's average is a bit lower at 1.86 total bases. But given his current form and the fact that he's bouncing back from a rare off day, we're backing him to step up.

So there you have it. The data doesn't lie, and all signs point to Freeman smashing the over 1.5 total bases at +125 in tonight's game. Freeman is a proven performer against lefties, has a strong track record against Snell, and is in sterling form. Buckle up, folks. We're in for a treat.

My Selection: Freddie Freeman OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+125)


  Jeff Hochman
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