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Jeff's 2022-23 NFL Spotlight Team (AFC)

By: Jeff Hochman
Date: Jul 4, 2022
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The 2022-23 NFL season will be here before you know it. It's now time to start thinking about what handicapper or service you will be investing in. Here are my documented NFL records for the regular season and playoffs since 2008. As you can see, just three non-winning seasons which happened to be in 2010, 2011, and 2021. You can view my past records at The Sports Monitor of OK for verification.

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2021 Regular Season: 12-16-1 (-$2670) 2021 Playoffs: 2-1 (+$910)

2020 Regular Season: 13-6-1 (+$4124) 2020 Playoffs: 3-0 (+$1,320)

2019 Regular Season: 18-11 (+$2841) 2019 Playoffs: 1-1-1 (-$40)

2018 Regular Season: 23-13-1 (+$5599) 2018 Playoffs: 2-2 (+$595)

2017 Regular Season: 25-15-1 (+$2599) 2017 Playoffs: 4-0-1 (+$1900)

2016 Regular Season: 21-12-1 (+3040) 2016 Playoffs: 2-1 (+$465)

2015 Regular Season: 23-24 (+$370) 2015 Playoffs: 3-1 (+$1100)

2014 Regular Season: 27-12 (+$5500) 2014 Playoffs: 4-1 (+$1250)

2013 Regular Season: 21-16 (+$1080) 2013 Playoffs: 3-2 (+$1100)

2012 Regular Season: 27-22 (+$860) 2012 Playoffs: 4-4 (-$200)

2011 Regular Season: 20-20 (-$240) 2011 Playoffs: 3-4 (-$680)

2010 Regular Season: 28-24 (+$1600) 2010 Playoffs: 2-6 (-$1970)

2009 Regular Season: 33-27 (+$3170) 2009 Playoffs: 6-3 (+$1850)

2008 Regular Season: 33-23 (+$5720) 2008 Playoffs: 6-2 (+$1650)

Jeff's 2022-23 American Football Conference Spotlight Team

Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7-1 last season)

Jeff's 2022-23 outlook: My projections/models average 9.2 wins! I am way higher on the Steelers than Las Vegas.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off an up-and-down season, where they made the playoffs after having to win their final two games. There were many issues with this team last year, including ranking dead last in rushing yards allowed per game (146.1). You just know Tomlin and company won't accept having the worst run defense two years in a row. They hired Teryl Austin as defensive coordinator. He's very familiar with the Steelers, having been with the team since 2019 and has 18 years of coaching experience. Pittsburgh led the league in QB sacks (55) while blitzing just 24.9% (17th) of the time. The Steelers allowed 398 points which is the most in the Mike Tomlin era. They scored just 343 and still managed a winning record. I like QB Kenny Pickett more than most. I think Kenny's mobility and familiarity with the stadium/surroundings will make his transition smoother than normal.

The Steelers went 0-2 against the Cincinnati Bengals and 4-0 vs. the rest of the division. They are always competitive in division games. What I really like about this team going forward has nothing to do with personnel or coaching. It's all about the schedule. Pittsburgh won't leave the Eastern time zone! The Steelers will travel just 6,512 miles this season, which is the fewest of any NFL team. It's the fourth time since 2014 Pittsburgh will travel the fewest miles, and it's worth noting in each of the previous three years they won the AFC North. Also, teams that travel the fewest miles have averaged 9.6 wins over the past eight seasons. Thanks to CBS Sports for that nugget on the schedule.

How to Bet the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2022?

The big difference between professionals and the public is simple. Professional bettors bet numbers, while the public bets on teams. I will be looking for advantages throughout the season depending on the number. I am very interested when the Steelers come up as road dogs of 3.5 to 8 points. I think the Steelers will have success ATS early in the year as teams get more and more tape on Kenny. You can't convince me that KP won't be the starter from day one, unless he's injured of course. I like the experience of backup Mich Trubisky should things go sideways for Pickett. I don't see that happening!

Steelers Best Bet

OVER 7 wins -125

Steelers Preferred Bet

Make Playoffs +275 (Yes)

Follow Jeff on Twitter:@jhsportsline

  Jeff Hochman
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