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Dodgers vs. Rangers MLB Friday Player Prop

By: Jeff Hochman
Date: Jul 21, 2023
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"Freddie Freeman The Machine Set to Smash at Global Life Stadium"

If you're in the know about Major League Baseball, you're well aware of the name Freddie Freeman. The Dodgers' beast of a batter has been tearing it up this season, and there's no sign of him slowing down anytime soon. His stats speak for themselves - a stellar .323 average, 34 doubles, 17 dingers, and 64 RBI.

But let's forget the basic stats and delve into the nitty-gritty because this guy is an absolute unit for producing runs and RBI. Freeman has been clocking an average of 1.49 hits - runs, and RBI this season. Even more impressively, he's been upping his game on the road, averaging 1.6 HRR. The guy's a certified road warrior, and that's precisely what we want to see heading into this match-up against the Rangers at the hitter-friendly Global Life Stadium. This season, Freeman has a higher OPS against left-handed pitchers (.992) than righties (.941).

This Texas venue ranks No. 6 in runs scored and No. 5 in hits at Baseball Savant, making it an ideal playground for Freeman's bat. The over 1.5 looks enticing, and this isn't just me shooting from the hip - even my advanced model back up this prediction.

But let's not stop at the seasonal and venue stats. Let's look at the recent performances because that's where Freeman has been turning heads. Over the last 20 games, he's been averaging 1.75 hits - runs and RBI; this figure has skyrocketed to 2.2 in the previous ten games. The man's on a heater, and even though he's been slightly trending down over the last five games, averaging 1.4 HRR, he's still well above that over 1.5 line. Most of his HRR props recently have been priced at 2.5 shaded to the under.

Now, let's talk about the line. It's set at -125 for Freeman's hits - runs, and RBI. Given his current form and the hitter-friendly nature of Global Life Stadium, the over is a logical choice. Examining the data and trends, Freeman's performance makes the over a compelling option all the way up to -140.

So, if you're gearing up for the Texas Rangers vs. LA Dodgers match-up and looking for an exciting pick, keep an eye on Freddie Freeman. The man's a hitting machine, and we could be in for a treat in a stadium that loves its hits and runs.

My Selection: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-125)

Follow Jeff on Twitter @JHSPORTSLINE

  Jeff Hochman
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