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Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona D-Backs MLB Wednesday Player Prop

By: Jeff Hochman
Date: May 31, 2023
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If you've been paying attention to the world of MLB, you've probably noticed that Arizona Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll has been on fire lately. The rookie outfielder is proving he's a force to be reckoned with, and is a strong favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year. Let's dive into the stats and see why Corbin Carroll is my player to watch (bet) against the Colorado Rockies. I like his Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at -145 odds in Wednesday night's game.

First of all, Carroll's season averages are already impressive. He's currently hitting .285, with a 1.04 average for hits + runs + RBI per game. His OPS (on base + slugging) ranks No. 9 in the NL at .894 so far this season. But it's not just his overall performance that's turning heads; it's his recent surge that really has me excited. Corbin Carroll has exceeded 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 7 of his last 10 games.

Furthermore, Carroll's performance against the Rockies specifically is another reason to feel confident about the over. In the four games played against Colorado this season, he's averaged 1.5 hits + runs + RBI. With the Rockies' struggling pitching staff, it's reasonable to expect Carroll to continue his success against this team. Colorado is ranked No. 23 in bullpen ERA, while the D-Backs are ranked No. 6 in runs scored.

But wait, there's more! Arizona's ballpark, Chase Field, is widely considered a hitter's haven. The hitters love the backdrop and see the ball really well. With Carroll's already stellar performance, the favorable conditions of Chase Field only add fuel to the fire, making it even more likely for him to hit the over 1.5 on Wednesday night. Chase Field ranks No. 10 in ESPN Park factors (runs scored) this season.

In addition to the statistical support for Carroll's over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI, it's essential to consider the context of the game itself. The Arizona Diamondbacks are currently sitting in second place in the NL West, with a 32-23 record, while the Colorado Rockies are struggling in fifth place with a 24-32 record. Arizona owns a +17 run differential, while Colorado is at -55 this season.

Taking all these factors into account, it's clear that Corbin Carroll is primed for a big game against the Colorado Rockies. His recent surge in performance, proven success at home, and previous domination of the Rockies all point towards a strong likelihood of hitting the over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in this matchup. Add in the hitter-friendly environment of Chase Field, and you've got a recipe for a betting opportunity that's too enticing to pass up. Trust the numbers, trust the trends, and most importantly, trust in the undeniable talent of Corbin Carroll.

My Selection: Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-145)


  Jeff Hochman
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