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PREVIOUS FIVE DAYS' PICKS
Wednesday, April 17, 2019
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox (MLB) - 2:10 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -101 Chicago White Sox Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
As I've said, I don't really have too many systems when it comes to betting baseball. I like to fade pitchers coming off their career high or a really high pitch start and that's what we are getting with Brad Keller. He's relatively young still and is coming off an outing where he tossed a career high 118 pitches. Keller beat the White Sox at home back on March 28th holding them to two hits and one walk in seven innings. He's won three straight against them which is concerning, but KC's bullpen is hideous. The group has seven losses and six blown saves already. Chicago's offense isn't great, but they are putting up over 4.5 runs per game. Lucas Giolito beat the Royals in KC back on March 31st holding them to two runs and three hits in just over six innings. The KC Royals are hitting around .213 on the road where they are 0-5 as a team. Not that it matters in the grand scheme of things, but Giolito has not lost to the Royals in seven career starts with Chicago being 6-0 overall. Take the Chicago White Sox here on Wednesday afternoon.
Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets (NBA) - 9:35 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-110 Utah Jazz Rating: 4* 4*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Jazz were embarrassed in game 1 and they shot the ball poorly. Utah takes pride in their defense and coaching and I look for a close game tonight in game 2. Take the Utah Jazz with the points here.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) - 1:05 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 9/-105 Over Rating: 4* 4*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
It’s not secret that both of these teams are on an absolute Over tear. Combined they have cashed the Over in 17 of their last 21 games. A total that if that steak was the opposite would be no higher than eight runs. Good news is Arrieta is giving up a ton of hits and runs and he is on the decline.
In this day game we are going OVER THE TOTAL!
Tuesday, April 16, 2019
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (NHL) - 7:08 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -135 Tampa Bay Lightning Rating: 5* 5* NHL Game of the Week
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Tampa Bay Lightning tied an NHL record with 62 regular-season victories.
They're going to need to match another mark to remain in the playoffs.
The Lightning find themselves in that position following a 3-1 defeat Sunday night at the Columbus Blue Jackets, who will play host to Game 4 on Tuesday night. Teams that have been up 3-0 have gone on to post a 186-4 record when it comes to winning the series.
No team that won the Presidents' Trophy has ever been swept in the first round of the playoffs and we look for TAMPA to come out strong here on Tuesday night and get a win.
The Lightning played Game 3 without Nikita Kucherov, who led the league with 128 points in the regular season. Kucherov was suspended one game by the NHL Department of Player Safety for boarding Columbus defenseman Markus Nutivaara late in the third period of Game 2. HIs return will help the Lightning tonight for sure!
San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets (NBA) - 9:05 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-110 Denver Nuggets Rating: 10* 10* NBA Playoffs Game of the Month
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
I expect Denver to come out with a lot of energy and jump out to an early lead. Denver's down 0-1 and will come out strong and want to establish Jokic early who didn't play well in game 1. Jamal
Murray also didn't make a 3-pointer in the game either.
The Nuggets shot poorly from the perimeter as well. Just 21% from 3-pt land and just 66% from the FT. Both will be much improved tonight.
Denver has the strongest home court in the NBA not getting any respect as the #2 seed. The Spurs are also 2-12 their last 14 games vs playoff teams. I look for a bounce-back blowout win from Denver at home here in game 2.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT
Free Pick
Pick: Money Line: -175 Los Angeles Dodgers Rating: 1* FREE MLB Tuesday Action
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Tuesday MLB schedule today features a nice-looking matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. In the last match-up for the Cincinnati Reds, they played the Los Angeles Dodgers and the final score was 4-3. Dodgers got 2 in the bottom of the 9th to get us the victory.
The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Kenta Maeda. He has been okay this season with a 2-1 record and 4.76 ERA over 3 appearances. He is 1-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his last 3 appearances facing the Cincinnati Reds. Eugenio Suarez is 1 for 7 with 3 strikeouts and 0 walks in his career facing Kenta Maeda. Matt Kemp has gone 2 for 9 against him. Scott Schebler has 0 hits and 3 strikeouts in 7 at-bats.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-4 when playing at home this season. The Cincinnati Reds have gone 2-9 when playing NL-West opponents this season. LA Dodgers are 7-3 when taking on losing teams. Take the Dodgers here.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers (MLB) - 6:40 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 100 Detroit Tigers Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Look for the Tigers to stop their 3-game win streak.
We believe that Detroit starter Boyd is undervalued here as a pitcher similar to Marquez when we took him to beat the Giants as the Rockies won 4-0 as he nearly pitched a no hitter.
Boyd is 1-1 with a 2.60 era and he held the Indians to just 4 hits and 1 run, the Yankees on the road to 5 hits in 6 innings and 1 run and even when he didn't pitch well against the Bluejays, he still struck out 10 batters in that game in 5 innings. This is actually the best year he has pitched so far this year and it seems that he has figured things out after several years as a starter. He has always been talented but it seems to have come together a bit this year. The Pirates starter Musgrove has a 4 ERA in Interleague play and I think at the end of the day, the better AL pitcher at home and lineup get it done.
Monday, April 15, 2019
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT
Free Pick
Pick: Money Line: -158 Los Angeles Dodgers Rating: 2* FREE Action
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Clayton Kershaw Monday ight as he makes his debut start. He hurled some gems last year with a 9-4 record and a 2.57 ERA. He is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his last 4 appearances facing the Cincinnati Reds. Eugenio Suarez, Matt Kemp have combined to go 3 for 14 when taking on Clayton Kershaw.
The Cincinnati Reds turn to right-hander Luis Castillo on Monday. . Joc Pederson has accumulated 2 hits in 6 at-bats. Cody Bellinger has gone 1 for 6 against him.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 6-4 when playing at home this season. The Los Angeles Dodgers have gone 1-6 when playing NL-Central opponents this season. The Cincinnati Reds have gone 2-9 when playing NL-West opponents this season. The Los Angeles Dodgers are 6-3 when taking on a team with a record below .500. The Cincinnati Reds are 1-5 when playing a team with a winning record.
Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes (NHL) - 7:00 PM EDT
The Caps took care of business at home, winning both games. Now I look for the Hurricanes to get back in it in Game 3.
Carolina got hot over the second half of the season and managed to work its way into the Eastern Conference playoff mix. Home ice will be huge tonight as the Hurricanes mentally getting back into this series. Look for the Hurricanes to grab a win here on Monday night.
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -135 Chicago Cubs Rating: 5* 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
A trip to a great pitching environment is exactly what Yu Darvish needs to get his 2019 campaign on track. This is a nice matchup with the Marlins who have a team wOBA of just .275 against right-handed pitching. Marlins Park will help Darvish avoid early trouble and the Cubs offense will provide enough run support to pick up the win. Take the CUBS here on Monday night.
Cleveland Indians vs. Seattle Mariners (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -109 Cleveland Indians Rating: 10* 10* AL Game of the Week
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Indians just got swept on the road by the Royals over the weekend. They should be playing with a chip on their shoulder tonight in Seattle. The Indians will send what has been their best starter over the past two seasons to the rubber tonight in Trevor Bauer. He is 1-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three starts this season for the Indians, picking up where he left off last year.
The Indians just got swept by the Royals and one has to think they bounce-back here.
He had only given up 1 hit in 14 innings before that. Going to be honest with you, we are not high on Kikuchi. He is an incredibly hard worker, but look at the box scores closely, he has given up 16 hits, 2 walks and 4 homeruns in 17 innings. Put it all together with the Indians needing a win, Bauer needing a bounce-back and Kikuchi likely going to get hit hard at some point and it might be here. Play the CLEVELAND INDIANS in a big win tonight!
Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers (NBA) - 8:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -8/-110 Philadelphia 76ers Rating: 4* 4*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Philly's back is against the wall as it can't afford to go down 0-2. The Nets deserved to win Game 1, but they also had a lot of things go their way. The 76ers shot poorly from the perimeter and Embiid was limited, Simmons was awful, and the Sixers missed 13 free throws while the Nets -- one of the worst FT shooting teams in the league -- went 24/26. I expect things to flip Monday night and the 76ers win big.
Sunday, April 14, 2019
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks (NBA) - 7:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -12.5/-115 Milwaukee Bucks Rating: 5* 5* BEST BET
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The dogs dominated the opening day of the NBA Playoffs but I like a favorite here on Sunday.
Detroit struggled mightily down the stretch; notching only four wins in their final eleven games. They didn’t cover a point-spread in any of the four regular season meetings with the Bucks by an average of 15 points Blake Griffin is nowhere near 100% with his knee injury, even though he is expected to play.
Milwaukee’s extremely deep bench is a huge factor here – despite a handful of key injuries, Mike Budenholzer’s squad still enjoys a depth edge here, especially with Giannis expected to be fully healthy for Game 1. The Bucks shoot the ball very well at home and I look for a blowout here in game 1.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers (NBA) - 3:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-105 Oklahoma City Thunder Rating: 4* 4*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Thunder swept four games against Portland this season, which is one of the reasons why this number is so low.
The Thunder finished out the season strong winning five in a row but ended up in the 6 seed thanks to a very disappointing post All-Star break stretch. Westbrook has been pretty solid against the Blazers and Damian Lillard and this is going to be the real test of which guard is dominant. Paul George has played great all season long and if he can look like the MVP candidate he was all season long this OKC team should be in a great spot. The X factor for the Thunder in these playoffs are going to be Jerami Grant and Steven Adams.
Portland will be without Nurkic and that is going to be a tough absence to overcome.
Take the Thunder and the points in this one as I believe they are the better team and fully capable of taking down the Blazers.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB) - 4:05 PM EDT
The Colorado Rockies will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday when they take on the San Francisco Giants. The Rockies have lost eight straight and just 1 win in their last 13 games. They do not want to get swept here by the SF Giants in this 4-game meet.
German Marquez is coming off a huge second half last year and so far this year he is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in three starts including 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in two road starts.
The big bats of the Rockies have been quiet but they have too many good players to stay quiet.
SF starter Derek Holland has been terrible for years, and he is being overvalued due to his decent start to the season. But Holland is 1-2 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.615 WHIP In four career starts against the Rockies.
Colorado is 11-2 after batting .175 or worse over a 3-game span over the last two seasons. The Rockies should get their bats going finally today and we'll back them on Sunday.
Saturday, April 13, 2019
Orlando Magic vs. Toronto Raptors (NBA) - 5:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -8.5/-110 Toronto Raptors Rating: 10* 10* NBA Game of the Week
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
When it comes to the NBA Playoffs I've always been fond of home favorites in Game 1 of a series that have plenty of rest, and the Raptors fit that description. Toronto has not only been off since Tuesday, but it's been in a position where it's been preparing for the playoffs for a while. They are a very good team with great defense and playoff experience.
Pascal Siakam should win the most improved player award as he has become a go to scorer and is one of the best defensive players in the entire league. The Raptors have a +6.1-scoring differential this season and can get it done on both ends of the floor.
Look for Kyle Lowry and Kawhi Leonard to come up big and the Raptors to cruise to a double digit win on Saturday evening.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins (NHL) - 8:08 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -140 Boston Bruins Rating: 4* 4*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Boston Bruins must turn over the page instead turning over the puck Saturday night if they are to square their first-round playoff series against the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs.
Boston played very sloppy and cannot afford to go down 0-2 in this series and then head on the road.
The Bruins must play tougher and limit their turnovers here on Saturday night. Take the Boston Bruins tonight.
Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - 7:15 PM EDT
I'm not sure how Homer Bailey manages to stay in the big leagues. He must have gay nude photos of the commissioner or something. Bailey has thrown two no-hitters. The other 99 percent of his starts have been terrible.
His record since 2015 is 9-28 and he is 1-20 his last 21 starts.
Kansas City also has one of the weakest relief corps in baseball. The Royals have been outscored by 21 runs during the final four innings this season.
The Indians are going with righthander Jefry Rodriguez, who made eight starts as a rookie with the Nationals going 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA.
Rodriguez will be called up to make a spot start in place of the injured Mike Clevinger. In one start with Triple-A Columbus this season, Rodriguez earned the win with three runs allowed in 5 2/3 innings.
I'll still gladly take Rodriguez and a superior Indians bullpen at this short price. Kansas City is 1-7 the past eight times facing a righy starter.
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Unlike last year's top-heavy race, the 143rd Kentucky Derby is wide open. Classic Empire, Always Dreaming, McCraken, Irish War Cry, Gunnevera, Irap and Thunder Snow are just some of the horses mentioned as potential winners. Before you wager, you'll want to know who Tony Karpinski likes as a Sports & Horses Expert and who pegged the WINNER in 6 of the last 8 races.
With his knowledge and contacts ... read more
Fantasy Football is crawling into your veins again - with expectations of raising the digital championship title above your head, in your living room. In a league where the QB is the reigning champion - things are a bit different in the world of fantasy football. WRs seem to be the top cheese that every drafter wants to go in the direction of.
The draft strategies we hear about, the zero ... read more
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(TonyK) 3G-Sports Rating System
TonyK rates his picks 4* 5*, and TOP RATED 10*'s selections in all the major sports. The Original Iceman Hockey is rated as a 3,4, and 5*'s. For example if $1000 is your top play you put that on my 10*'s, $500 on my 5*'s and $400 on my 4*'s.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Money Management
Only 2 to 3% of the people who wager on sports are actual long term winners. For the most part it's not because the losers are bad handicappers, or using poor handicapping sources. It's because they have no concept of what a bankroll is, any respect for it, or how to use it.
There are 3 components to successful sports investing:
(1) Handicapping the games proficiently using historically proven methods.
(2) "Shopping for Lines" to get the best value(Extremely Important).
(3) Employing a disciplined money management system and NOT risking your entire bankroll on a game or in a week.
*** One of the toughest things to do in life is to follow instructions. Everyone looks for a shortcut. But if you are able to achieve the patience and discipline to follow these rules you will be more financially successful than you ever imagined.
# 1 - Define your bankroll. This is a sum which, if you were to lose the entire amount, would not alter your current chosen lifestyle. Use a separate bankroll for each sport (for example, College & NBA Basketball use separate bankrolls.) Don't be embarrassed if this amount is small. with discipline it will grow large!
# 2 - Wager a constant predetermined percentage of your bankroll on each game in the handicapping period. For example, I have regular picks for 1 unit and TOP picks for 2 units.
#3 - Never wager more than 10 games in a day or at a given time. I usually have 2 reports on weekends during the football season and some weekends in college basketball and actually break it down and look at it as 2 days.
These are basic guidelines.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There you have it.
By having the discipline to follow these directions you'll find yourself multiplying your wealth in winning seasons and saving losses in tough times. My only advice is to shop for the best numbers. What you save is what you earn. As always Good Luck and BE A WINNER!
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