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TonyK and 3G-Sports Vegas Handicapper
Tony Karpinski is the leading sports handicapper in the world. During his professional 22 year run, Tony continues his consistent returns to his clients by stressing two major principles to sports gambling: research and discipline. He analyzes matchups with emphasizes game-specific detail, trends and current odds. He is currently an expert handicapper and the director of operations at VegasTopDogs.com. At VegasTopDogs you will have exclusive access to the selections of one of the top sports gamblers in the world.
TonyK (3G-Sports) has won several handicapping contests especially in football and basketball, as he finished in the top 10 in the renowned NFL Las Vegas Westgate Super Book Contest. TonyK is the former odds-maker at PicksPal and has won several Handicapping Contests Wins and at the Sports Monitor, which have made him a sought-after expert
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Handicapping sporting events successfully requires a huge time commitment
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PREVIOUS FIVE DAYS' PICKS
Monday, August 20, 2018
Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts (NFL) - 8:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.0/-115 Baltimore Ravens Rating: 5* 5*
Push
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Baltimore has won 10 straight preseason games and nine of those were ATS. This is a good spot for the Ravens here tonight.
John Harbaugh is all about winning in the regular season and the preseason. The Colts need to see Phillip Walker and Brad Kaaya at QB and that it’s a downgrade especially against a solid Balt defenseI think we'll see a lot of rookie QB Lamar Jackson and RG III tonight.
I'm playing the Ravens on MNF.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT
Pirates starter Chris Archer gave up 4 runs at Minnesota in his last start (the most in over 10 starts) and gave up just 2 to Colorado on the road at Coors Field. So, you have a pitcher that is on a massive bounce-back and did really well in his start before against the red hot Rockies. Pittsburgh is 14-6 in their last 20 games following a win and the Braves are 3-7 on the road when facing a team with a winning record.
Lets go with the Pirates here at home.
Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT
I think we have a nice edge here with the Cleveland Indians and Corey Kluber as he faces off against Boston's Rick Porcello in a matchup of division leaders. Kluber has fanned 21 and walked three over his last three starts, and Cleveland has won 22 of his last 30 road starts. Porcello has been far more inconsistent this season and I see the Indians bats getting to him. It's a good spot tonight with Kluber and the Indians as he is15-1 L16 team-starts during August.
Sunday, August 19, 2018
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 1:35 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -125 Atlanta Braves Rating: 10* 10* NL Game of the Week
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
ATL blew a 3-0 lead with 2 outs in the 9th inning last night. Going for the BRaves on Sunday is Anibal Sanchez and surrendered J.T. Realmuto's 2-run homer and hurt himself with a throwing error on a sacrifice-bunt attempt that led to three more runs in Tuesday’s start against Miami. But he has been Atlanta's most consistent starter throughout the season and does very well when the team is coming off a loss. Look for ATL to avoid the 4-game sweep here at home on Sunday afternoon and get us the WIN.
Saturday, August 18, 2018
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys (NFL) - 7:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 41.0/-115 Over Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Dallas has several offensive players fighting for position which means they'll see some quality playing time here at home on Saturday night.
The Cowboys showed they could score with ease against the 49ers but wound up on the losing end. We expect more of the same from the Cowboys here tonight and this game to go over the total in a battle.
The Bengals were able to put 30 points on the board in their first preseason game, which is what we like to see out of the second and third string players. They have solid QB depth with Driskel and Barkley who will get most of the action here in week 2.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT
The Pirates Joe Musgrove has completed seven innings in five of his last seven starts while posting a 2.70 ERA during that stretch. Musgrove held the Cubs to just one run over 7 innings when he faced them here at PNC Park back in late May. Look for Pittsburgh to bounce back with a win here at home on Saturday evening after getting shutout and committing 3 errors.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - 7:15 PM EDT
4* Brewers and Wade Miley.
Miley has rewarded the Brewers’ patience while he recovered from groin and oblique injuries. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in seven of his eight starts, and three earned runs in the other. The Brewers bats have been hot the past few weeks and we'll grab them here as a nice underdog.
We also have a 5* on the Pitt Pirates on Saturday night as well.
THe game was not posted on the site so I am adding the writeup here:
The Pirates Joe Musgrove has completed seven innings in five of his last seven starts while posting a 2.70 ERA during that stretch. Musgrove held the Cubs to just one run over 7 innings when he faced them here at PNC Park back in late May.
Look for Pittsburgh to bounce back with a win here at home on Saturday evening after getting shutout and committing 3 errors.
Friday, August 17, 2018
Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns (NFL) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-115 Buffalo Bills Rating: 10* 10* Game of the Week
Win
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I think the line is too high here. I will take the underdog Buffalo Bills behind, Peterman, Josh Allen and AJ McCarron.
Buffalo seemed to be nowhere near able to cover the air vs the Panthers last game, and the focus this week was pass coverage and defense and I expect to see a different Bills defense tonight.
They are hungry and fired up team will be a bit much. A lot of big time changes to watch for here, with an aggressive frontline and getting the outright win on the road.
Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers (NFL) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.0/-105 Miami Dolphins Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Miami Dolphins will play QB's Brock Osweiler and David Fales tonight and they both will want to prove to the team they can perform well and give the Dolphins a solid backup options. In a battle of backups, the Dolphins have the better signal callers which is why we are rolling with them as 3 pt underdogs tonight.
Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints (NFL) - 8:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-107 Arizona Cardinals Rating: 5* 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Cardinals are supposed to be one of the weaker NFC teams this year and I don't see them doing much in the regular season, but that doesn't mean they can't go undefeated in the preseason.
The Cards have a QB battle on their hands with Rosen going up against Bradford and even Mike Glennon will get some work. Because of this QB battle, we expect the Cards to continue playing well in the preseason and stay within the number as they plan on giving the starters more time with the QB rotations. For the Saints, its all Drew Brees, and he wont get more than a few series, then they'll goto Taysom Hill and Tom Savage which don't scare me.
I'm on another underdog with the ARZ Cards on Friday night.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics (MLB) - 10:05 PM EDT
After a nice winning run, I expect Oakland to come back to earth.
The Astros know its now or never if they want to hold on to their division lead and we think the energy in the clubhouse will be immensely different today especially after they come off putting up 12 runs on the board in their last game. This is a playoff game of sorts and the Astros thrive in these situations Houston's Charlie Morton did not win his last game, but has put together 4 straight quality starts, and he has revenge,
Morton has a 2.73 road era and there are at least 5 players on Houston's team that have multiple hits against Oakland's Jackson and have over a .333 batting average against him.
Thursday, August 16, 2018
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 118 San Diego Padres Rating: 5* 5* Underdog Best Bet
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Jacob Nix the Padres rookie right-hander starter tonight became the seventh Padre to work at least six scoreless frames in his debut when he blanked Philadelphia for six innings on Friday. Between Double-A, Triple-A and the Majors this season, Nix has a 1.67 ERA and has been lights out with 48 strikeouts and just 11 walks in 64.2 innings.
Clay Buchholz has struggled with SD as the Padres have a .314 average against Buchholz and the D’backs are just 3-4 in his road starts.
The Padres are hitting .284 this month and I'll back them at home tonight.
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 7:35 PM EDT
Colorado is good at night with a 48-31 record while the Braves have struggled versus the NL West division going just 9-14.
The Rockies just got shelled 12-1 last night and prior to that game the Rockies had won four straight on the back of quality pitching. Now they get Jon Gray on the mound who was roughed up his last start. Prior to that, Gray surrendered just 1, 2, 1 and 1 runs respectively four starts. The Rockies are 7-0 in Gray's last 7 starts and 19-7 in the last 26 meetings overall.
The Braves will counter with Julio Teheran who owns a 4.33 ERA and has been very inconsistent and gives up a ton of hits.
Lastly, the Braves may also be without their hottest bat in Ronald Acuna JR. who was hit on the elbow with a pitch in last night's ball game.
Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - 7:15 PM EDT
Free Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-102 Under Rating: 2*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Tonight we look for Tanner Roark and Luke Weaver to have great outings. Remember, Roark is a guy that has an ERA that is a bit deceiving at this point. He has a 4.12 ERA, but his last 4 starts have been fantastic and you are getting a sub-3.00 ERA pitcher at this point of the year. He gave up just 2 runs to the Cubs on the road, 1 to hard-hitting Reds squad, 1 to the Mets on 4 hits, and 0 to Milwaukee on the road in a 3-hit game where he went 8 innings and had 11 strikeouts. On Thursday night I look for both pitchers to pitch well as this game likely goes under the total.
Play the LOW!
New York Jets vs. Washington Redskins (NFL) - 8:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.0/-107 Washington Redskins Rating: 4* 4*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
I like the veteran QB rotation tonight for the Redskins at home.
Look for the Washington Redskins to get on track with a win at home over the New York Jets as they are expected to play their starters and 2nd team a lot more tonight.
Pick'em situation and I'll back Colt McCoy and Kevin Hogan to take care of business with Washington here at home
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) - 7:35 PM EDT
Free Pick
Pick: Money Line: -157 Philadelphia Phillies Rating: 3* FREE PLAY
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Look for Zach Eflin was sent to Triple-A to make room for Justin Bour, not for any lack of success to have a big outing tonight. The righty has a 4.91 ERA since the All-Star break and held the Padres to two runs over six innings last time out.
He is a very good pitcher and should keep the Mets lineup in check.
Take the PHILLIES here in game 2 of the doubleheader on Thursday night.
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Unlike last year's top-heavy race, the 143rd Kentucky Derby is wide open. Classic Empire, Always Dreaming, McCraken, Irish War Cry, Gunnevera, Irap and Thunder Snow are just some of the horses mentioned as potential winners. Before you wager, you'll want to know who Tony Karpinski likes as a Sports & Horses Expert and who pegged the WINNER in 6 of the last 8 races.
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Fantasy Football is crawling into your veins again - with expectations of raising the digital championship title above your head, in your living room. In a league where the QB is the reigning champion - things are a bit different in the world of fantasy football. WRs seem to be the top cheese that every drafter wants to go in the direction of.
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Free Picks
Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers (MLB) - Aug 21, 2018 7:10 PM EDT
Detroit starter Jordan Zimmermann was shelled in his last start by the White Sox, allowing six earned runs in five innings. He'll oppose Kyle Hendricks (9-9, 4.11 ERA) who has been adequate and should give us a good 5-6 innings in Detroit.
Look for the Cubs to get the win over a deflated Tigers team.
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Posting times are normally Monday-Friday at 1pm ET unless early games in MLB and weekends no later than 11am ET.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Rating System
TonyK rates his picks 4* 5*, and TOP RATED 10*'s selections in all the major sports. The Original Iceman Hockey is rated as a 3,4, and 5*'s. For example if $1000 is your top play you put that on my 10*'s, $500 on my 5*'s and $400 on my 4*'s.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Money Management
Only 2 to 3% of the people who wager on sports are actual long term winners. For the most part it's not because the losers are bad handicappers, or using poor handicapping sources. It's because they have no concept of what a bankroll is, any respect for it, or how to use it.
There are 3 components to successful sports investing:
(1) Handicapping the games proficiently using historically proven methods.
(2) "Shopping for Lines" to get the best value(Extremely Important).
(3) Employing a disciplined money management system and NOT risking your entire bankroll on a game or in a week.
*** One of the toughest things to do in life is to follow instructions. Everyone looks for a shortcut. But if you are able to achieve the patience and discipline to follow these rules you will be more financially successful than you ever imagined.
# 1 - Define your bankroll. This is a sum which, if you were to lose the entire amount, would not alter your current chosen lifestyle. Use a separate bankroll for each sport (for example, College & NBA Basketball use separate bankrolls.) Don't be embarrassed if this amount is small. with discipline it will grow large!
# 2 - Wager a constant predetermined percentage of your bankroll on each game in the handicapping period. For example, I have regular picks for 1 unit and TOP picks for 2 units.
#3 - Never wager more than 10 games in a day or at a given time. I usually have 2 reports on weekends during the football season and some weekends in college basketball and actually break it down and look at it as 2 days.
These are basic guidelines.
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There you have it.
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