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TonyK and 3G-Sports Vegas Handicapper
Tony Karpinski is the leading sports handicapper in the world. During his professional 22 year run, Tony continues his consistent returns to his clients by stressing two major principles to sports gambling: research and discipline. He analyzes matchups with emphasizes game-specific detail, trends and current odds. He is currently an expert handicapper and the director of operations at VegasTopDogs.com. At VegasTopDogs you will have exclusive access to the selections of one of the top sports gamblers in the world.
TonyK (3G-Sports) has won several handicapping contests especially in football and basketball, as he finished in the top 10 in the renowned NFL Las Vegas Westgate Super Book Contest. TonyK is the former odds-maker at PicksPal and has won several Handicapping Contests Wins and at the Sports Monitor, which have made him a sought-after expert
The Nation's most well known Handicapper
Handicapping sporting events successfully requires a huge time commitment
and unwavering dedication. I determine the viability of teams by studying
game action, box scores, personnel, coaches, stats, trends, past history,
game conditions and current strengths and weaknesses to create the most
comprehensive picture of likely outcomes.<.
If you're looking for a consistent winner
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PREVIOUS FIVE DAYS' PICKS
Monday, September 25, 2017
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - 8:15 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-105 Under Pick Title: 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Cardinals starter Luke Weaver is 7-0 with a 1.61 ERA since losing his only game of the season, and Cubs starter Jon
Lester is coming off what was described as an awkward start as he struggled with his command against the Rays. He says he's fine physically and ready to go tonight. This will be the lefty's fifth start against the Cardinals this season and so far, he's 1-1 with a 3.28 ERA.
Look for a low scoring game here and I am backing the UNDER as your Monday MLB 5* BEST BET.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals (NFL) - 8:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/-113 Dallas Cowboys Pick Title: 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Cowboys were knocked around in Denver last week, but here this is certainly a nice chance to bounce back in all aspects here on MNF. Look for Dak and Elliott to come up big tonight. With Arizona's David Johnson going down, they are really scrambling to figure things out in the backfield.
The Cardinals do not play well on Monday Night Football.
The Cards are coming off an overtime victory over the Colts in which Arizona's secondary led the way. Dallas struggled against a similarly strong secondary. The difference is that I don’t think the Cards have the ability to run the ball like the Broncos did and Carson Palmer is washed up.
Take the DALLAS COWBOYS to bounce back big on MNF.
Sunday, September 24, 2017
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Green Bay Packers (NFL) - 4:25 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-110 Cincinnati Bengals Pick Title: 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Packers have seven players listed as doubtful for this game, several of them key contributors on offense (Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, David Bakhtiari) or defense (Mike Daniels, Nick Perry, Jake Ryan, Davon House). The Bengals won't have Tyler Eifert, but Tyler Kroft has done a solid job filling in for him in the past. With a new OC on the sidelines for the Bengals, the Packers won't know exactly what to gameplan to take away and their HC ripped the team and Andy Dalton is coming off a few terrible games. Aaron Rodgers is still going to win this game at home, but it'll be closer than people expect.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Tennessee Titans (NFL) - 4:05 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.0/-120 Seattle Seahawks Pick Title: 10* NFL Game of the Week
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Seattle OL was ripped all week by Pete Carroll. So look for a much-improved performance this week.
Russell Wilson has a solid ball-carrier in RB, Chris Carson to keep the Tennessee defense honest as he will get the passing game going and take advantage of a Titans secondary without Safety, Jonathan Cyprien.
The Seahawks defense is still very tough and Seattle has a defense that is yielding just 13.0 PPG. The 'dog in this series is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS the L7 games played in Week 3 while the Titans are 7-22-2 ATS their L31 games played at home and just dont matchup well. We'll go against the public and take this Seattle team plus the pts on Sunday afternoon.
Cleveland Browns vs. Indianapolis Colts (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.0/-110 Cleveland Browns Pick Title: 4*
Loss
No Analysis
Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) - 9:30 AM EDT
Free Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-120 Jacksonville Jaguars Pick Title: FREE EARLY WINNER
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Ravens are drawing a lot of buzz after starting 2-0, but let's hold off on the coronation after beating two teams with major issues. Baltimore is a different team on the road and this is their first trip across the pond. This is Jacksonville's 5th trip so they are used to the travel patterns and I like this team.
The Ravens O-line is decimated, and their offensive skill players haven't really impressed, just taking what their defense gives them. If the Jaguars can protect the ball -- a big if with Blake Bortles under center, I know -- their run game should dictate this matchup, especially with Ravens DT Brandon Williams out, and put them in a position to win.
Take Jax PLUS THE PTS in this early Sunday morning kickoff.
Saturday, September 23, 2017
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.0/-115 Arkansas Pick Title: 10* College Game of the Month
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Arkansas has to try finding more better plays for their top WR, Jonathan Nance. Arkansas has had a steady decline in their offensive output from last season, when they were putting up over 30/game but they'll get back on track here Saturday afternoon.
I don't think that Arkansas is going to miss out on a chance to pull a key SEC upset here. Bret Bielema has lost to A&M five straight years, including a 21-point rout last season after back-to-back overtime heartbreakers in 2014 and 2015. Well, it is time for the Razorbacks to snap the streak. This A&M team has issues. Kevin Sumlin has fans and alumni openly campaigning for his firing. The Aggies still have that unreal choke against UCLA hanging over them. They were also unimpressive in a 10-point win over Nicholls State and the Aggies were actually down 21-14 at halftime last week against Louisiana-Lafayette. Arkansas has had two weeks to prepare for this game and lick its wounds after falling to TCU. But that 28-7 loss was a bit misleading, as it was 14-7 with less than three minutes left to play and Arkansas had two missed field goals. I think Arkansas is extremely motivated in this game and I think that they are more focused than the Aggies.
There's no way you can trust the Aggies' offense, as its been a mess. The biggest issue is at QB. I like how the Razorbacks are built on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Look for them to bounce back and control the offensive and defensive lines in this one.
I like the Razorbacks to get this win here.
Penn State vs. Iowa (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 12.5/-110 Iowa Pick Title: 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Both teams are undefeated coming into this game, although I have been more impressed with Iowa’s resume, which includes a double-digit win over Wyoming and a road victory at Iowa State. Penn St has played a very weak cupcake schedule so far.
The Hawkeyes are averaging 33.0 points and 398 total yards per game at 5.3 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.2 yards per play to a mediocre attack to they are just slightly above average offensively.
However, Iowa possesses an outstanding defense especially at home where the Hawkeyes have yielded just 8.5 points and 269 total yards per game at 4.6 yards per play and 31.6 yards per point.
Iowa’s defensive backfield has been spectacular this season as well and their linebackers are always tough.
Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz is a profitable 9-2 ATS as a conference home underdog of more than seven points, including 7-1 ATS with revenge and 4-0 ATS at home with triple-revenge. Ferentz is also an incredible 19-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge with the Hawkeyes, including 10-0-1 ATS over the last eleven circumstances.
Look for Iowa to keep this one close throughout so we are backing the home underdog on Saturday night.
Florida vs. Kentucky (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-110 Kentucky Pick Title: 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Fifth-year head coach Mark Stoops finally got the message that in order to compete in the SEC, you have to value the football, run the football, and play solid defense. Through three games, UK is +4 in turnover margin, owns a 121-70 run/pass ratio, and is allowing only 346.7 ypg.
For seven of the eight quarters it has played, Florida's offense has been nothing short of abysmal. The Gators managed 11 rushing yards vs. Michigan and if you eliminate their Hail Mary toss at the end of last week's win over Tennessee, they would have been outgained by 125 yards to the Vols.
For casual bettors, Kentucky's 30-game losing streak to Florida is going to make this a "Gators or pass" game. But in those 30 games, how many times could you confidently say Kentucky had the ability to win the line of scrimmage battle? I feel they'll do so in Saturday's matchup which is why I'm on the short home underdog to pull the upset at home.
Akron vs. Troy (NCAAF) - 6:00 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -15.0/-110 Troy Pick Title: 4*
Loss
No Analysis
UCLA vs. Stanford (NCAAF) - 10:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -7.0/-105 Stanford Pick Title: 4*
Win
No Analysis
Friday, September 22, 2017
Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics (MLB) - 10:05 PM EDT
Oakland is 11-3 their last 14 games and their offense is red hot.
Graveman's last start was cut short due to a long rain delay in Philadelphia. He had allowed just one hit in two innings before the delay. He is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in three starts vs. Texas this season and he is well rested.
Texas starts Nick Martinez who is 3-6 with a 5.47 ERA in 16 starts this season and 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two starts vs. the A's. The A's are coming off a rest day and I like them to get this win here on Friday night.
Thursday, September 21, 2017
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers (NFL) - 8:25 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3.0/-111 San Francisco 49ers Pick Title: 4*
Win
No Analysis
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 121 San Diego Padres Pick Title: 5*
Win
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
SD is playing with revenge after losing last week 16-0 with this same pitching matchup.
San Diego has found a knack for beating playoff-contending teams.
I'll take a shot with the home underdog who have won three of four, catching money from a Rockies team that has lost three straight.
5* PADRES
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Unlike last year's top-heavy race, the 143rd Kentucky Derby is wide open. Classic Empire, Always Dreaming, McCraken, Irish War Cry, Gunnevera, Irap and Thunder Snow are just some of the horses mentioned as potential winners. Before you wager, you'll want to know who Tony Karpinski likes as a Sports & Horses Expert and who pegged the WINNER in 6 of the last 8 races.
With his knowledge and contacts ... read more
Fantasy Football is crawling into your veins again - with expectations of raising the digital championship title above your head, in your living room. In a league where the QB is the reigning champion - things are a bit different in the world of fantasy football. WRs seem to be the top cheese that every drafter wants to go in the direction of.
The draft strategies we hear about, the zero ... read more
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Posting times are normally Monday-Friday at 1pm ET unless early games in MLB and weekends no later than 11am ET.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Rating System
TonyK rates his picks 4* 5*, and TOP RATED 10*'s selections in all the major sports. The Original Iceman Hockey is rated as a 3,4, and 5*'s. For example if $1000 is your top play you put that on my 10*'s, $500 on my 5*'s and $400 on my 4*'s.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Money Management
Only 2 to 3% of the people who wager on sports are actual long term winners. For the most part it's not because the losers are bad handicappers, or using poor handicapping sources. It's because they have no concept of what a bankroll is, any respect for it, or how to use it.
There are 3 components to successful sports investing:
(1) Handicapping the games proficiently using historically proven methods.
(2) "Shopping for Lines" to get the best value(Extremely Important).
(3) Employing a disciplined money management system and NOT risking your entire bankroll on a game or in a week.
*** One of the toughest things to do in life is to follow instructions. Everyone looks for a shortcut. But if you are able to achieve the patience and discipline to follow these rules you will be more financially successful than you ever imagined.
# 1 - Define your bankroll. This is a sum which, if you were to lose the entire amount, would not alter your current chosen lifestyle. Use a separate bankroll for each sport (for example, College & NBA Basketball use separate bankrolls.) Don't be embarrassed if this amount is small. with discipline it will grow large!
# 2 - Wager a constant predetermined percentage of your bankroll on each game in the handicapping period. For example, I have regular picks for 1 unit and TOP picks for 2 units.
#3 - Never wager more than 10 games in a day or at a given time. I usually have 2 reports on weekends during the football season and some weekends in college basketball and actually break it down and look at it as 2 days.
These are basic guidelines.
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There you have it.
By having the discipline to follow these directions you'll find yourself multiplying your wealth in winning seasons and saving losses in tough times. My only advice is to shop for the best numbers. What you save is what you earn. As always Good Luck and BE A WINNER!
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