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Tony Karpinski is the leading sports handicapper in the world. During his professional 22 year run, Tony continues his consistent returns to his clients by stressing two major principles to sports gambling: research and discipline. He analyzes matchups with emphasizes game-specific detail, trends and current odds. He is currently an expert handicapper and the director of operations at VegasTopDogs.com. At VegasTopDogs you will have exclusive access to the selections of one of the top sports gamblers in the world.
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YESTERDAY'S PICKS
Saturday, November 17, 2018
Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 7.0/-115 Wake Forest Rating: 4* 4*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Pitt and Wake Forest are going to be playing against each other in this game. However, the Panthers and the Demon Deacons are fairly evenly matched compared to what some of the other games have been on the year for these two teams.
The defense for the Panthers is not the best as they are giving up 245 yards a game in the air, but have allowed 173 yards a game on the ground.
Wake Forest is a team that has been balanced quite a bit as Matt Colburn II has rushed for 739 yards on the year. The throwing game has been led by Sam Hartman who threw for 1984 yards, but he has mainly hit Greg Dortch who has 9 scores and 921 yards. On the season the Wake squad has managed to get 234 yards a game in the air and 219 yards a game on the ground. This has allowed the Demon Deacons to get 32 points a game.
When it comes to the defense the Demon Deacons have struggled with 281 yards a game in the air allowed. The rushing defense is giving up 203 yards a game, but what is even worse is the defense is giving up 36 points a game.
Wake Forest is playing some decent games on the year, when the defense decides to show up on the day. However, the Demon Deacon are a squad that could see some improvement in this game as the Panthers have had some struggles on the year moving the ball at times. I like the home dog WF in this spot on Saturday.
Michigan State vs. Nebraska (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-109 Nebraska Rating: 10* 10* College Football Game of the Week
Win
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It has been a tale of two seasons for the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They were expected to struggle early in Scott Frost’s first season, and they did, but they have rebounded nicely here of late by going 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall getting great play from their offensive line and QB. I like that they are playing at home here on Saturday afternoon.
With the Cornhuskers the offense has started to wake up and so has the defense as well. That is going to really help the team here.
The Spartans are scoring just 19.3 PPG in conference play and their offense seems out of sinc. The Huskers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State. Take Nebraska here as our 10* College Football Game of the Week.
Middle Tenn St vs. Kentucky (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -16.0/-106 Kentucky Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Kentucky is coming off a few bad games and I look for them to take Middle Tenn St to the woodshed on Saturday afternoon and kick some ass!
Remember, MTSU is 96th in rush defense and what does Kentucky like to do? That's right, pound the ball on the ground. The Wildcats also have an elite top 20 defense. As they come off scoring 7 points against Tennessee, their worst output of the year, and this game being Senior Day as well, look for Kentucky to come out very focused and get a huge win in front of the home fans.
UNLV vs. Hawaii (NCAAF) - 11:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -6.5/-109 Hawaii Rating: 10* 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play
Win
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The Rebels have only managed to pick up 3 wins on the season and they have struggled quite a bit to do anything really productive. Now have have to travel to Hawaii and their strong passing game.
The Warriors on the other hand have been playing great ball on the year so far and should be able to continue to play well on the season.
The Rebels have not had a lot to be proud of this season when it comes to the offensive production despite come off a rare good game and they have their rival Nevada on deck next week. Trust me the UNLV players are just happy to be on the island relaxing this week.
Hawaii has not been considered a major threat for a lot of reasons. However, one thing that you will find is the Rainbow Warriors have a passing offense that is nearly unstoppable on the year. The passing offense of the Warriors has been able to get a total of 308 yards a game and that is ranked 15th in the nation.
The Rainbow Warriors are on home field and they have a passing offense that is nearly unstoppable and they are facing a passing defense that is far from being good on the year. I like Hawaii to win this one by 14 or more late Saturday night!
West Virginia vs. Oklahoma State (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-106 West Virginia Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Heisman Trophy candidate Will Grier has maintained a torrid pace for the Mountaineers. The senior quarterback has thrown for 300 yards in all but one game, a 100-yard passing performance in West Virginia's only loss, at Iowa State.
Grier, who ranks fourth nationally with a 329-yard average, is even on an uptick, according to his coach.
"He is coming off his best performance yet. He played lights out and controlled the whole game," Holgorsen said of his QB's effort against TCU, a 47-10 home win that did not push the Mountaineers higher in the College Football Playoff standings. W Virgina should have their way with OKL ST whose defense is very poor. They are allowing 38 PPG their last 7 games and Will Grier should be able to pick them apart and move W Virginia to 9-1 on the year.
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Unlike last year's top-heavy race, the 143rd Kentucky Derby is wide open. Classic Empire, Always Dreaming, McCraken, Irish War Cry, Gunnevera, Irap and Thunder Snow are just some of the horses mentioned as potential winners. Before you wager, you'll want to know who Tony Karpinski likes as a Sports & Horses Expert and who pegged the WINNER in 6 of the last 8 races.
With his knowledge and contacts ... read more
Fantasy Football is crawling into your veins again - with expectations of raising the digital championship title above your head, in your living room. In a league where the QB is the reigning champion - things are a bit different in the world of fantasy football. WRs seem to be the top cheese that every drafter wants to go in the direction of.
The draft strategies we hear about, the zero ... read more
Free Picks
Houston Texans vs. Washington Redskins (NFL) - Nov 18, 2018 1:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: -3.0/100 Houston Texans Pick Title: Free Play NFL
Houston has won 6 straight games and coming off their BYE week.
The Redskins gave up 500 yards on defense last week and the Bucs managed to score just 3 points.
The Bucs could not be worse in countless careless turnovers and the Texans are one of the most disciplined teams in the league. Houston has an elite defense, and have the better team here. Houston team that knows how to rush the passer and they have the best run defense in the entire league. Washington's offense struggles as Houston wins an easy one.
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TonyK rates his picks 4* 5*, and TOP RATED 10*'s selections in all the major sports. The Original Iceman Hockey is rated as a 3,4, and 5*'s. For example if $1000 is your top play you put that on my 10*'s, $500 on my 5*'s and $400 on my 4*'s.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Money Management
Only 2 to 3% of the people who wager on sports are actual long term winners. For the most part it's not because the losers are bad handicappers, or using poor handicapping sources. It's because they have no concept of what a bankroll is, any respect for it, or how to use it.
There are 3 components to successful sports investing:
(1) Handicapping the games proficiently using historically proven methods.
(2) "Shopping for Lines" to get the best value(Extremely Important).
(3) Employing a disciplined money management system and NOT risking your entire bankroll on a game or in a week.
*** One of the toughest things to do in life is to follow instructions. Everyone looks for a shortcut. But if you are able to achieve the patience and discipline to follow these rules you will be more financially successful than you ever imagined.
# 1 - Define your bankroll. This is a sum which, if you were to lose the entire amount, would not alter your current chosen lifestyle. Use a separate bankroll for each sport (for example, College & NBA Basketball use separate bankrolls.) Don't be embarrassed if this amount is small. with discipline it will grow large!
# 2 - Wager a constant predetermined percentage of your bankroll on each game in the handicapping period. For example, I have regular picks for 1 unit and TOP picks for 2 units.
#3 - Never wager more than 10 games in a day or at a given time. I usually have 2 reports on weekends during the football season and some weekends in college basketball and actually break it down and look at it as 2 days.
These are basic guidelines.
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There you have it.
By having the discipline to follow these directions you'll find yourself multiplying your wealth in winning seasons and saving losses in tough times. My only advice is to shop for the best numbers. What you save is what you earn. As always Good Luck and BE A WINNER!
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