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TonyK and 3G-Sports Vegas Handicapper
Tony Karpinski is the leading sports handicapper in the world. During his professional 22 year run, Tony continues his consistent returns to his clients by stressing two major principles to sports gambling: research and discipline. He analyzes matchups with emphasizes game-specific detail, trends and current odds. He is currently an expert handicapper and the director of operations at VegasTopDogs.com. At VegasTopDogs you will have exclusive access to the selections of one of the top sports gamblers in the world.
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Handicapping sporting events successfully requires a huge time commitment
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YESTERDAY'S PICKS
Monday, October 15, 2018
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 7:39 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -164 Los Angeles Dodgers Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Walker Buehler tied a season high by allowing five runs to the Braves in NLDS Game 3, but the damage was in one bad inning, when he walked three batters and allowed a grand slam to Ronald Acuna Jr. He is a very good young pitcher and the Brewers haven't seen much of him.
He gave up one run in seven frames against the Crew on July 31st. I really like the Dodgers at home here in game 3 on Monday night.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers (NFL) - 8:15 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -8.5/-107 Green Bay Packers Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Primetime favorites are on a 6-2 ATS run. Green Bay is averaging 40 ppg at home and struggling on the road. This is a big MNF for the Packers and I expect a big effort as their next 2 games are on the road at LA and then NE.
SF is poor on the road and I cant see them doing much here.
The Green Bay Packers are 9-0 straight up and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games as a betting favorite at home -- and when playing at Lambeau, versus teams with a sub-.500 mark, the Pack are 28-7-1 straight up, the last 36 times this situation has presented itself.
The Niners are 0-11 straight up in its last 11 games as an underdog of nine-plus points.
The 49ers don't have the depth to overcome their injuries and I expect this to be a blowout by halftime and then you can turn to the MLB Playoff game instead.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Montreal Canadiens (NHL) - 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 6.0/-118 Under Rating: 5* 5*
Loss
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Montreal has overachieved tremendously to start the season. They have two wins - both against Pittsburgh ( a Stanley Cup contender) and only one regulation loss. Now they get their best player back between the pipes - with rest - in a healthy Carey Price. The Habs win games by being aggressive and forechecking and being relentlessly fast. Meanwhile Detroit is one of the lowest scoring teams in the league averaging just 2.2 goals which is good for 25th. They also don't generate a lot of shots, at just 28.4 which puts them in 23rd overall. The Wings were just smacked by Boston 8-2 in their last game, so a defensive bounce-back will be a demand from the coach, so we like that as well.
The UNDER has hit in 14 of Montreal's last 19 games vs the Atlantic.
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Unlike last year's top-heavy race, the 143rd Kentucky Derby is wide open. Classic Empire, Always Dreaming, McCraken, Irish War Cry, Gunnevera, Irap and Thunder Snow are just some of the horses mentioned as potential winners. Before you wager, you'll want to know who Tony Karpinski likes as a Sports & Horses Expert and who pegged the WINNER in 6 of the last 8 races.
With his knowledge and contacts ... read more
Fantasy Football is crawling into your veins again - with expectations of raising the digital championship title above your head, in your living room. In a league where the QB is the reigning champion - things are a bit different in the world of fantasy football. WRs seem to be the top cheese that every drafter wants to go in the direction of.
The draft strategies we hear about, the zero ... read more
Free Picks
North Carolina vs. Syracuse (NCAAF) - Oct 20, 2018 12:20 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -9.5/-115 Syracuse Pick Title: FREE BURIAL
The Tar Heels have struggled a lot on the season so far. The Tar Heels have been able to really pick up some learning lessons in the losses on the year, but with only a single win the Tar Heels do not have a lot to build upon on the season. The Orange are coming into this game 2 games over the five hundred mark on the year and that is going to be something the Orange will be able to build upon on the year.
North Carolina Tar Heels Preview
The Tar Heels offense has managed to get a total of 217 yards a game in the passing attack, but the rushing attack has been able to grind out 190 yards a game. The downside is the offense is not scoring as the Tar Heels offense is only scoring at a clip of 20 points a game.
Defensively the Tar Heels defense is giving up 185 yards a game in the air and 198 yards a game on the ground. The defense is not even able to stop the opponents have scored at a rate of 34 points a game on the year.
Syracuse Orange Preview
Offensively the Orange are not really ranked towards the top of the NCAA in any major category, but the offense for the Orange has been able to get a total of 237 yards a game in the air and when it comes to rushing the ball the Orange have been able to get a total of 227 yards. This has led to the offense getting a total of 43 points per game.
Defensively the Orange have been able to keep the opponents down to 222 yards a game in the air. The rushing attack of the opponents has been getting up to 180 yards a game. The best part for the Orange is the defense has only given up 25 points a game.
The Orange are not an overwhelming force on the ball, but when facing a weak offensive and defensive team like the Tar Heels it will make the Orange look like Alabama. The Tar Heels will not be able to slow down the offense of the Orange and the Orange will put in a lot of points in the game, but the defense of the Orange will take down the Tar Heels offense as the Orange bring home a win here at home with their uptempo pace. 42-20.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Release Times
Posting times are normally Monday-Friday at 1pm ET unless early games in MLB and weekends no later than 11am ET.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Rating System
TonyK rates his picks 4* 5*, and TOP RATED 10*'s selections in all the major sports. The Original Iceman Hockey is rated as a 3,4, and 5*'s. For example if $1000 is your top play you put that on my 10*'s, $500 on my 5*'s and $400 on my 4*'s.
(TonyK) 3G-Sports Money Management
Only 2 to 3% of the people who wager on sports are actual long term winners. For the most part it's not because the losers are bad handicappers, or using poor handicapping sources. It's because they have no concept of what a bankroll is, any respect for it, or how to use it.
There are 3 components to successful sports investing:
(1) Handicapping the games proficiently using historically proven methods.
(2) "Shopping for Lines" to get the best value(Extremely Important).
(3) Employing a disciplined money management system and NOT risking your entire bankroll on a game or in a week.
*** One of the toughest things to do in life is to follow instructions. Everyone looks for a shortcut. But if you are able to achieve the patience and discipline to follow these rules you will be more financially successful than you ever imagined.
# 1 - Define your bankroll. This is a sum which, if you were to lose the entire amount, would not alter your current chosen lifestyle. Use a separate bankroll for each sport (for example, College & NBA Basketball use separate bankrolls.) Don't be embarrassed if this amount is small. with discipline it will grow large!
# 2 - Wager a constant predetermined percentage of your bankroll on each game in the handicapping period. For example, I have regular picks for 1 unit and TOP picks for 2 units.
#3 - Never wager more than 10 games in a day or at a given time. I usually have 2 reports on weekends during the football season and some weekends in college basketball and actually break it down and look at it as 2 days.
These are basic guidelines.
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There you have it.
By having the discipline to follow these directions you'll find yourself multiplying your wealth in winning seasons and saving losses in tough times. My only advice is to shop for the best numbers. What you save is what you earn. As always Good Luck and BE A WINNER!
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