This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. After a series opening win, Calgary has lost the last two games and after the best team in the Eastern Conference fell in epic fashion yesterday, the Flames do not want the same thing happening to them as the best team from the Western Conference. The Flames got blown out 6-2 in Game Three on Monday which puts them in must win mode tonight and on the season, Calgary is 12-3 revenging a loss of three or more goals. Additionally, the Flames are 15-7 in their last 22 games when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game. Colorado should be feeling the pressure and while it has been solid at home throughout the season, the Avalanche are 12-27 in their last 39 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less that are revenging two straight losses where opponent scored three or more goals, good team, with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 on the season. This situation is 28-5 (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (49) Calgary Flames

This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. After a red hot 13-2 start to the season, the Mariners have cooled off with five straight losses and they look to salvage the final game of this homestand before hitting the road for a six-game trek. Cleveland has won two straight games after getting swept in Kansas City and it has been a shaky start for the favorites to win the American League Central. Erik Swanson will be making his first career start today in place of injured Wade LeBlanc. Swanson, who came to Seattle as part of the James Paxton trade with the New York Yankees, threw two innings of relief in his debut Thursday in Kansas City. He allowed two earned runs on three hits, while walking two and striking out four and while that stat line is not great, he got his opening jitters out of the way. Carlos Carrasco will be making his fourth start of the season and after a solid outing against Toronto in his second start, he was lit up for six runs on six hits in just two-thirds of an inning last time out against the Royals. He allowed nine runs in 8.2 innings against the Mariners in two starts last season. 10* (918) Seattle Mariners

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with the Clippers on Monday as it was coming off a blowout loss against Golden St. in Game One and we will be backing the Pistons in a similar situation tonight. Detroit lost by 35 points on Sunday in a game it never led and trailed by an many as 43 points and the situation here is similar to that of the Clippers in that they are getting the same amount of points in Game Two. The defensive intensity was bad on Sunday as the Pistons were not getting back on defense, which made for some easy baskets so they have to shore that up tonight. They fell behind 20-4 because of that lack of intensity and after returning home and watching the film, head coach Dwane Casey said many adjustments will be made. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on two days of rest while the Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points that are outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 106-57 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Oklahoma City finds itself in a hole after Game One as it led only once and fell behind by 14 points after one quarter and was unable to make a late rally. The Thunder shot 39.8 percent as a team and were only 5 for 33 from the three-point line which is surprising against a Portland defense that is ranked a below average No. 17 in defensive efficiency. Despite their issues, the Thunder were down just 93-92 with 2:44 remaining in regulation so any average shooting night can even this series heading back to Oklahoma City. One of the main problems was Paul George who after averaging 38 ppg and hitting 45.9 percent from long range on nearly 10 attempts against the Blazers during the regular season, he scored just 26 points, including going 4-15 from behind the arc. The Oklahoma City defense resulted in the Blazers making 12-20 shots (60 percent) overall and 7-10 three-pointers (70 percent) from the floor in the first quarter which was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after three straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 35-9 (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (535) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. The road team has had the edge in the first three games of this series but we expect the first home win of this series to take place Tuesday night. The Blues are still up 2-1 and with Game Four on home ice, they look to extend their current 10-3 run to take control . Winnipeg has had the upper hand in St. Louis as it is 3-0-0 at Enterprise Center this season, including two regular-seasons wins, and has outscored St. Louis 19-8 but that is keeping this number down with the Blues solid at home despite that. They went 24-15-2 during the regular season and more recent, they have won 14 of their last 17 games here. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-7 in their last eight games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites against the money line off a loss by two goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 240-129 (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (42) St. Louis Blues

This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Astros have won nine straight games including a three-game sweep in Seattle over the weekend and they have taken over the lead in the American League West over Seattle which has cooled off after a huge start to the season. Oakland had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Texas on Sunday which came on the heels of a four-game losing streak to open its nine-game roadtrip. Oakland has won five of its last six home games as it has been dominant with its pitching, allowing just 12 runs during that six-game stretch. The A's send Marco Estrada to the hill as he has been solid at home with a 1.59 ERA in two starts but the Oakland bullpen has let him down as he has failed to pick up a win as the A's are 0-2 in those games. Colin McHugh counters for the Astros and he has been in great form through four starts, allowing three runs or less in each. He has gone 9-1 with a 2.73 ERA in 18 games, including 12 starts, against the A's in his career. But most of that success has come at home as he's just 2-1 with a 4.98 ERA in six appearances, four as a starter, in Oakland. 10* (976) Oakland A's

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Golden St. is clearly the top team in the NBA and it went into playoff mode on Saturday by putting away the Clippers by 17 points in a game it trailed by just three points at one time. The Warriors are now favored by the same amount in Game Two which is a little surprising based on the bounce angle where bettors take the opposing team from the Game One cover but the dominance of Golden St. balances that out with the spread. It is tough in this league to put together back-to-back performances like that, even with the Warriors as last postseason after dominating Game One wins over New Orleans and Houston, they struggled in Game Two. Los Angeles held its own for a while as the game was tied at 51 before Golden St. pulled away so it can certainly hang and needs to as even a small loss can give the Clippers some hope and momentum heading back home. The Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Clippers are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games after allowing 105 points or more five straight games this season. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 131-77 (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (523) Los Angeles Clippers

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. We played against Milwaukee yesterday in Los Angeles as the Brewers had a two-game winning streak snapped but it remains in first place in the National League Central by a half-game over the Cardinals. The Brewers return home where they are 5-2 and hosting the Cardinals for a second time in the early part of the season. The Milwaukee starting pitching has been a liability thus far but we think it turns around against a struggling Cardinals offense. St. Louis has won six of its last seven games to move to within a half-game of the Brewers and remain a half-game ahead of the Pirates. Going back, the Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss. Freddy Peralta looks to snap out of his early season funk as he was shelled by the Angels last time out, allowing seven runs in just 3.1 innings. That came after a gem against the Reds where he tossed eight scoreless innings and allowed just two hits while striking out 11 and walking none. That shows what he is capable of after a great first half last season. Dakota Hudson has a 2.79 ERA in his first two starts but he has a WHIP of 2.07 which is a better indication of how he is really pitching. He allowed four runs on seven hits, including three home runs, in just 4.1 innings in his first start against the Brewers. 10* (906) Milwaukee Brewers

This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. While Tampa Bay was in essentially do or die mode last night and failed to get it done, Carolina is in the same position tonight with the edge of being on home ice. The Hurricanes lost the first game of this series despite outshooting the Capitals 29-17 and then dropped Game Two in overtime but a change in venue is big here. For the first time since 2009, the Hurricanes will have a playoff game at home, one that should create both a bit of nostalgia and a frenzied atmosphere for Game Three. The Hurricanes are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Washington has now defeated Carolina in all six meetings this season but four of those were at home and the two road wins were both by one with one of those coming in a shootout. Washington is 5-10 after a home game where both teams score three or more goals this season while going 6-13 in their last 19 playoff games as underdogs of +110 to +150. First, we play on home teams after allowing four goals or more in a loss to a division rival going up against an opponent after a home game where both teams scored three or more goals. This situation is 32-11 (74.4 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against underdogs off a win by one goal over a division rival going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 78-27 (74.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (32) Carolina Hurricanes

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Tampa Bay is coming off a pair of historic losses as it fell at home as favorites of -250 and -310 to dig itself into an early 2-0 hole after coming off one of the best regular seasons ever. The Lightning needed Game Two but now they really need Game Three and a big reason why Tampa Bay and its stars have been so ineffective to this point is because of the physicality that Columbus has brought on a consistent basis which the Lightning have to match tonight. This is not unchartered territory for the Blue Jackets as last year they went up 2-0 in the first round against Washington on the road before the Capitals won four straight and rolled to a Stanley Cup championship. Tampa Bay is 11-0 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game this season while Columbus is 2-8 in home games after scoring three goals or more in two straight games this season. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 that are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg in the second half of the season, after a loss by three goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 28-6 (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (23) Tampa Bay Lightning

This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Utah is expected to be another tough out in the playoffs as its defense should be able to go toe-to-toe with the Rockets. The Jazz have ranked in the top three in defensive efficiency each of the last three seasons and they were one of two teams that allowed fewer than 10 three-pointers per game this season. The Jazz and Rockets ranked fourth and fifth, respectively, in point differential per 100 possessions. They were the league's two best teams in that regard after the All-Star break. Utah cannot be discounted on offense however is it scored 6.0 more points per 100 possessions after the All-Star break (114.4, fourth in the league) than they did before the break (108.4, 19th). That was the league's biggest post-break, OffRtg improvement. Utah is 21-9 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season while the Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg against allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 110 points or more three straight games. This situation is 152-96 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) Utah Jazz

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Despite six straight losses to fall to 8-8 on the season, the Dodgers still lead the National League in scoring differential at +16. The offense has been held in check during this skid as Los Angeles is averaging just 3.0 rpg after averaging 10.5 rpg through its first eight games. Th e power is still there as the Dodgers have homered in 28 straight home games, dating to Aug. 21, which is second-most in MLB history. The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine games after losing the first two games of a series. The Brewers sit atop the National League Central Division by a game and a half over the Cardinals yet they have been kind of the opposite of Los Angeles as they are five games over .500 but are at 0 in scoring differential. Jhoulys Chacin is coming off his first quality start of the season but it was not a great outing as he allowed two home runs, the second time he has done that in three starts. Ross Stripling is coming off his worst start of the season which came on the road after posting a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his first two starts which both came at home. 10* (962) Los Angeles Dodgers

This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Nashville got on the board early as it took a 1-0 lead into the second period but Dallas scored the next three goals and held on for the opening 3-2 victory to grab home ice. The Predators join the Lightning, Jets, Penguins and Bruins among teams forced to take stock of things after one unforeseen playoff result. They have lost five of their last six postseason games on home ice, an act that is tough to sell when the stakes are so high for a team that was confident the right pieces were in place for a long run. This is clearly a must win for Nashville considering teams that win the first two games of a best-of-seven series have a series record of 318-50 (.864) and are 72-20 when they come on the road (.783). The Predators should respond with appropriate desperation for Game Two at home, and if that produces the desired result then it will be the Stars seeking answers as the series heads to Dallas. The Stars are 17-37 in their last 54 games as road underdogs of +150 or less while going 2-9 in their last 11 games off a win by one goal over a division rival. Meanwhile, the Predators are 5-1 in their last six games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game and here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss of one goal or less, off a home loss. This situation is 211-107 (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (64) Nashville Predators

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This is a statement game for Denver as it is getting crushed by the media despite finishing second in the Western Conference, just three games behind Golden St. The Nuggets finished 34-7 at home which was the best home record in the NBA and they get a good matchup in the first round against the Spurs whose 16-25 road record is the second worst of the 16 playoff teams, one win better than Detroit. The home and road defensive splits for the Spurs are not pretty. They gave up 106.7 points per 100 possessions, which was the 10th ranked home mark in the entire league and would have been good for 6th across the entire season. Their performance on the road, however, was another story. For some reason, they were unable to bring the focus and desire they showed at home on the road, allowing 114.3 points per 100 possessions. That 7.6 drop-off made them the 25th ranked defense on the road. In the first two games they played, Denver was without the services of Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, and Will Barton, three players that make up their current starting lineup. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 81-46 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets