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PREVIOUS FIVE DAYS' PICKS
Friday, February 15, 2019
New York Rangers vs. Buffalo Sabres (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -155 Buffalo Sabres Rating: 9*
Loss
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This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Friday Breakaway. On Tuesday, the Sabres defeated the Islanders and reached 63 points which surpassed their total from last season, allowing only 25 shots on goal. It was their third straight game allowing under 30 shots after giving up 105 shots in the first three games of the homestand. This is important considering the Rangers average just 27.4 spg on the road which is third lowest in the NHL. Buffalo is 17-8-4 at home and concludes a seven-game homestand tonight which makes it more important with eight of the next 11 games coming on the road. The Sabres are 21-7 in their last 28 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Rangers are coming off a loss at Winnipeg which snapped a two-game road winning streak and they check in with a 9-15-2 record on the road and those nine road wins are third fewest in the league. New York is 7-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 9* (74) Buffalo Sabres
Thursday, February 14, 2019
Charlotte Hornets vs. Orlando Magic (NBA) - 7:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 3/-105 Charlotte Hornets Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte looks to conclude the first half with a split on this four-game roadtrip and move to within a game of Brooklyn for sixth place in the Eastern Conference. The Hornets have struggled on the road this season but the majority of their losses have come against the NBA elite and overall, they are just 5-20 against teams ranked within the top 16 and those five wins are tied for fourth fewest in the league. They are 22-9 against every other teams and they have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Orlando has won and covered four straight games including the last three on the road but this is a team we cannot buy into yet as it has played down to the opposition as the Magic are just 13-14 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Orlando is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 home games off an upset win as an underdog. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off an upset win as a road underdog, playing a losing team. This situation is 67-33 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Charlotte Hornets
Calgary Flames vs. Florida Panthers (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -135 Calgary Flames Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES as part of our NHL Thursday Hat Trick. Following its third straight loss, Calgary has fallen into second place in the Pacific Division, one point behind San Jose, and third place overall in the Western Conference. The Flames are now 17-11-1 on the road and turn to David Rittich in goal who is 11-5-1 with a 2.15 GAA in 17 road games. The Flames are 11-2 in their last 13 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Florida has lost two straight games to open this homestand and it has been a struggle all season as it is one of six teams in the Eastern Conference with a scoring differential of -23 or worse. The Panthers are 0-4 in their last four games in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season when the money line is -100 to -150 that are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more, after a loss by three goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 27-5 (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (51) Calgary Flames
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights (NHL) - 10:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -122 Vegas Golden Knights Rating: 9*
Loss
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This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS as part of our NHL Thursday Hat Trick. Toronto is off to a 2-1 start to open its six-game roadtrip and this is the biggest challenge so far as it has been favored in the three previous games. The Maple Leafs are a solid 18-7-2 on the road and they are in the rare role of an underdog and going back, they are 32-65 in their last 97 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Vegas is struggling with two straight losses and it has dropped six of its last eight games including four straight losses at home. The Golden Knights are still 16-8-3 at home and are in a good spot where they are 43-18 in their last 61 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game while going 11-3 in their last 14 games against teams outscoring opponents by 0.65or more gpg. Here, we play on favorites against the money line off a loss by two goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 215-111 (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (68) Vegas Golden Knights
Washington Capitals vs. San Jose Sharks (NHL) - 10:35 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 142 Washington Capitals Rating: 9*
Win
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This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS as part of our NHL Thursday Hat Trick. Following a seven-game losing streak, Washington closed its six-game homestand with a 4-1-1 record but was unable to continue the momentum as it got shut out at Columbus on Tuesday 3-0. The Capitals remain in second place in the Metropolitan Division, three points behind the Islanders and two points ahead of the Blue Jackets. Washington is 21-8 in its last 29 games after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Sharks have taken over first place in the Pacific Division and are tied with Winnipeg for first place in the Western Conference following their sixth straight win on Monday. They have one of the best home records in the NHL at 18-4-4but that is being taken into consideration with this line and it is too big of an adjustment against a quality team. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging 2.85 or more gpg, after getting shutout in their previous game. This situation is 79-41 (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (69) Washington Capitals
Rice vs. Florida International (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/-110 Florida International Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS as part of our CBB Thursday Trifecta. Florida International is coming off a pair of road losses to fall two games under .500 in the conference and it is part of 10 teams within three games of second place showing how open C-USA is. This is just the second two-game losing streak of the season for the Golden Panthers as they are 8-2 following a loss including a 4-1 record at home. Additionally, Florida International is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games off two consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals. Rice is coming off an upset win at home against Marshall and the Owls check in at 2-9 on the road, one win over Texas Rio Grande Valley from the WAC and the other against 6-18 Charlotte. The Owls have won consecutive games only once this season and going back, they are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* (606) Florida International Golden Panthers
Arizona vs. Utah (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 4.5/-110 Arizona Rating: 9*
Loss
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This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS as part of our CBB Thursday Trifecta. Arizona has dropped five straight games after opening up 5-1 in the Pac 12. Three of those losses have come on the road while another came against conference leader Washington but a horrible loss against Washington St. on Saturday where it shot just 31.1 percent should have its attention. The Wildcats are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games. Utah is coming off a road sweep at USC and UCLA but the Utes are just 7-4 at home. They are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 as an underdog or pickem off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, playing a winning team. This situation is 68-30 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (639) Arizona Wildcats
BYU vs. San Diego (NCAAB) - 10:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -3/-113 San Diego Rating: 9*
Loss
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This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS as part of our CBB Thursday Trifecta. A game and a half separates third and eighth place in the West Coast Conference and San Diego is stuck right in the middle at 5-5. It has been a disappointing season for the Toreros which came in with a legitimate shot at contending but their road play has been inconsistent and they are coming off a three-game roadtrip. San Diego is 11-1 at home and going back, it is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a loss. BYU is riding a three-game winning streak but two of those wins came against the two worst teams in the conference. The Cougars are once again strong at home and weak on the road and this is not a good spot as BYU is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Additionally, BYU is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. 9* (642) San Diego Toreros
Wednesday, February 13, 2019
Providence vs. Villanova (NCAAB) - 6:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -11/-104 Villanova Rating: 9*
Win
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This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Villanova had its 11-game winning streak snapped on Saturday as it lost at Marquette by a point. The Wildcats lost on both other occasions this season following a loss in their previous game but those were early in the season and this is a different team now that still leads the Big East By a half-game. Villanova is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games after playing a road game while going 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games following a straight up loss. Providence snapped a three-game losing streak with a 14-point upset win against St. John's but the Friars have yet to win this season on the road following a road victory. They are catching Villanova at the wrong time and going back, Providence is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games after playing a road game. 9* (782) Villanova Wildcats
Creighton vs. Xavier (NCAAB) - 8:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-108 Xavier Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Xavier has missed the postseason only once in the last 21 years and it is looking like it will be twice in 22 years as the Musketeers have dropped six straight games. Despite playing a team in a similar situation, they are getting points at home which is a big overadjustment. Xavier caught two pints at home recently against 21-4 Marquette and is now getting nearly that against a team 7.5 games worse. Creighton is coming off a pair of close losses against Seton Hall and Villanova with both of those coming on the road and this marks its third straight road game, the first time this has occurred this season. Here, we play on home teams after failing to cover the spread in six or more consecutive games. This situation is 88-52 ATS (62.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (824) Xavier Musketeers
Mississippi vs. Auburn (NCAAB) - 8:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -8/-112 Auburn Rating: 9*
Loss
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This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. Auburn was ranked in the top ten in the AP Poll for seven straight weeks to start the season but is has been up and down since then and it is currently unranked despite having one of the best rosters in the SEC. A two-point loss to Kentucky started a three-game losing streak before winning the next three games but the Tigers could not keep it rolling, oozing at LSU on Saturday. They are back home where they are 12-1 and going back, are 10-2 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 12 points. Mississippi is coming off a pair of wins following a four-game losing skid but those victories came against Georgia and Texas A&M, a combined 4-18 in the SEC. the Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 9* (822) Auburn Tigers
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers (NBA) - 7:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -3.5/-105 Milwaukee Bucks Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. You have to give Indiana a ton of credit as after losing its first four games following the loss of Victor Oladipo, it has won five straight games. The level of competition as been suspect however as all five of those wins came against teams with losing records and overall, the Pacers have played the easiest schedule in the NBA. Their 10 wins against the top 16 are by far the fewest among all teams that possess a winning record. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Milwaukee possesses the best record in the NBA and it is not due to a soft schedule as its 11 wins against the top ten are tied for most in the league while its five losses against top ten teams are the fewest. The Bucks possess the second best road record in the NBA at 19-9 as they have won six straight on the highway. Milwaukee is 12-4 ATS this season revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points while going 7-1 ATS in its last eight games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (503) Milwaukee Bucks
Tuesday, February 12, 2019
Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -4.5/-110 New Orleans Pelicans Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The return of Anthony Davis was positive for New Orleans as it defeated Minnesota last Friday but the momentum could not be contained as the Pelicans lost at Memphis the next night with Davis taking just eight shots and scoring a mere 14 points. They are back home where they are 16-10 and the Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Orlando has won three straight games including the last two on the road and going back further, the Magic have won five of their last six games. They have won just seven of 23 games as road underdogs and this spot is not ideal as the Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while going 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against the Western Conference. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) New Orleans Pelicans
Butler vs. St. Johns (NCAAB) - 8:30 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -3.5/-108 St. Johns Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the ST. JOHN'S RED STORM as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. St. John's pulled off a big upset one week ago as it defeated Marquette on the road by a point but could not sustain that momentum as it lost on Saturday at home against Providence by 14 points. The Red Storm were without second leading scorer Mustapha Heron who was out with a knee injury but he is back tonight as St. John's will be out for some revenge following a nine-point loss at Butler last month. Going bac, the Red Storm are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games off a home loss. The Bulldogs are coming off a pair of wins which snapped a three-game slide but they have not won three straight games since their first three games of the season. Butler is 0-6 ATS after two or more consecutive wins this season while going 9-18 ATS in its last 27 road games when playing against a team with a winning record. 10* (628) St. John's Red Storm
Alabama vs. Mississippi State (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-108 Mississippi State Rating: 9*
Win
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This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. Mississippi St. is off to a disappointing start in the SEC as it is 5-6 following a pair of four-point losses last week against LSU and Kentucky, both of which are 9-1. Overall, four of the six losses have been by four points while another came by five points in overtime at South Carolina. The Bulldogs are 10-3 at home and going back, they are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after playing a game as an underdog. Alabama checks in with a 6-4 conference record thanks to a pair of wins last week but those came against Georgia and Vanderbilt which are a combined 1-19 in the SEC. The Crimson Tide have just three road wins, one non-conference victory at Stephen F. Austin and the other two coming at Missouri and Vanderbilt which are 2-18 combined. Alabama is 20-36 ATS in its last 56 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. 9* (632) Mississippi St. Bulldogs
Duke vs. Louisville (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 8.5/-110 Louisville Rating: 9*
Win
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This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. Duke picked up its 21st win of the season on Saturday at Virginia to sweep the Cavaliers to take control of the ACC at 9-1. The Blue Devils are in a tough spot tonight as coming off a big road win and playing on the road in the next game is always a difficult situation. They have not lost on the road this season as they are 5-0 but they are laying a biggest than expected number here. Duke is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games after a game where they made 55 percent of their shots or better. Louisville is coming off a loss at Florida St. in overtime despite outshooting the Seminoles 48.1 percent to 37.7 percent. The Cardinals were outscored 27-13 at the free throw line while committing 23 turnovers to 8 for Florida St. They return home where they are 12-2 on the season. Louisville is 18-8 ATS in its last 26 games after one or more consecutive losses. 9* (638) Louisville Cardinals
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Minnesota Wild (NHL) - 8:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -160 Minnesota Wild Rating: 9*
Loss
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This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Trying to make it into the Eastern Conference playoff conversation, Philadelphia was on a 9-0-1 stretch but the run was temporarily halted on Monday night with a 4-1 home loss to the Penguins. The Flyers are back on the road where they are 11-13-3 and they will be sending Anthony Stolarz between the pipes after rookie sensation Carter Hart played last night. Stolarz has a 3.25 GAA on the road which makes this a good time for the struggling Minnesota offense to get back on track. The Flyers are 1-5 in their last six games following a loss of three or more goals while going 11-22 in their last 33 games against teams allowing 2.85 or more gpg. The Wild are 1-3-2 since the All-Star break and will try to avoid a third consecutive defeat at home. Minnesota, which went into the break a winner of three in a row is holding down the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference but not by much. The Wild are just four points ahead of Colorado and Chicago and two points ahead of Vancouver. Minnesota is 28-13 in their last 41 games revenging a road loss by two goals or more. 9* (36) Minnesota Wild
Monday, February 11, 2019
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -4/-115 Minnesota Timberwolves Rating: 10*
Win
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This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the injuries on the Minnesota side but the most significant one has been confirmed as Jeff Teague has been upgraded to probable after missing eight straight games and seeing just 17 minutes in his first game back on Friday. The Timberwolves are back home after losing all three games of their roadtrip to fall to 8-20 on the highway. Minnesota is 17-10 at home and needs to take care of business here in order to get back into the playoff hunt as it is five games behind the Clippers for the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. Los Angeles is coming off an improbable win over Boston on Saturday as it trailed by as many as 28 points but outscored the Celtics by 39 points the rest of the way. We can certainly see a letdown here after that and the Clippers have lost their last three games following a victory, the last two coming by at least 14 points. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 47-19 (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Minnesota Timberwolves
San Jose Sharks vs. Vancouver Canucks (NHL) - 10:05 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 140 Vancouver Canucks Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the VANCOUVER CANUCKS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. San Jose has won five straight games, the last three coming on the road, to remain one point behind Calgary in the Pacific Division. The Sharks have won four straight road games which puts them back to .500 on the season and despite the average record, they are significant road favorites here against a team with a lot on the line. San Jose is 5-17 in its last 22 road games after playing three consecutive road games. Vancouver snapped a three-game slide with a shootout win over Calgary on Saturday and it is now just two points behind Minnesota for the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. The Canucks are 5-2 in their last seven games as home underdogs and have two solid situations on their side. First, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging three or more gpg, after two straight wins by three goals or more. This situation is 34-10 (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams off a win by one goal over a division rival going up against an opponent off a road win by two goals or more. This situation is 57-35 (62 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (22) Vancouver Canucks
Virginia vs. North Carolina (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST
Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-109 North Carolina Rating: 10*
Loss
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This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Monday Star Attraction. North Carolina was coming off a monster effort against rival NC State as it put up 113 points but narrowly escaped at home on Saturday as it took overtime to secure its seventh straight victory. The Tar Heels are 11-1 at home and are home underdogs in some spots which is a rarity as they have not been a home underdog since 2015. Going back, North Carolina is 9-0 ATS in its last nine home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .800 or better. Additionally, the Tar Heels are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games after scoring 85 points or more. Virginia suffered its second loss of the season on Saturday, both coming against Duke and now it has to regroup just two days later while adding travel to it. Virginia is 13-30 ATS in its last 43 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1997. 10* (856) North Carolina Tar Heels
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