For Sunday we of course have our MLB Sunday Night Game of the Week Top Play. The Atlanta Braves are in the City of Brotherly Love playing a weekend set against the host Phillies with the third and final game set for Sunday night. The Braves have won the two previous games by the scores of 3 to 1 and 9 to 0 as they look for the sweep tonight. The Phillies are hoping their starter Andrew Painter can have a strong outing against this hot Braves offense. The Braves have been one of the hottest teams in the league so far this season. The offense has been outstanding, as the Braves have the highest scoring offense and has the most hits in the majors along with the second-highest batting average overall. The Braves are hitting .278 this season, which is the second-best mark in the majors. They have scored the most runs to this point in the season along with the most hits. Atlanta has also hit the third-most home runs in the league, while striking out the fourth-fewest times. The Phillies rookie starter needs to find a way to slow the Braves offensive machine. Painter comes in with a 1-0 record (3.77 ERA) in his two starts he also has one relief appearance this season. In fourteen innings pitched he has given up sixteen hits and six runs all of which were earned. The Braves will send Grant Holmes to the hill with his 1-1 SU record and his ERA of 3.32 on the season. Holmes has a career ERA of 1.17 in four starts against the Phillies. This season his lone victory came away from the ATL so playing on the road doesn’t seem to be an issue for Holmes. In his most recent road start he got the win against the Angels; he tossed 6.2 innings allowing two earned runs in the Braves 8 to 2 victory. In his first road start this season it came in the desert versus Arizona he was not involved in the decision. In that game he tossed six innings of work and did not allow any runs in the Braves 2 to 0 win over the Diamondbacks. Over each team’s last five outings, we can see why the Braves have been successful and why the Phillies have struggled. A quick check of their batting averages over that five-game span we see the Braves have hit .335 while the Phillies are hitting just .227 over that span. Another area of concern for the Phillies is their bullpen which has an ERA of 5.60 at home this season. The TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.49 runs. Our next set of metrics look at the overall Starting Pitchers Power Ratings for tonight's contest. The Braves Grant Holmes comes into this game with an average of 106 and the Phillies Andrew Painter has an average of 103 with 100 as the MLB league average. The SPMatrix has Andrew Painter with an average of 5.56 compared to Grant Holmes who has an average of 5.75. Our BHOR Matrix (Bases, Hits, Outs, Runs) has a projected run advantage of 1.42 in favor of the Braves. The SIM Matrix has the Atlanta Braves with a 73.97 percent advantage against the Philadelphia Phillies in tonight’s contest. The Momentum Matrix has the Braves trending solidly in positive numbers across all five momentum categories with a run advantage of +1.23 over the Phillies. The Momentum Matrix has the Phillies trending in negative territory in four of the five momentum categories and the only one that doesn’t have negative numbers is neutral. The Phillies have a run differential in the matrix of -1.11 runs against the Braves tonight. Play ON MLB road underdogs in Game Three of a three-game series after having won the previous two games with a TPR advantage of more than 1.35 and a combined Momentum Matrix advantage of at least 1.85 along with a better season-to-date record than the opposing team, 187-108-7 SU (63%)(+$14,976) including 11-3-1 SU (79%) L15! We are going to back the red-hot Braves as an underdog on Sunday night as they get the call as our Sunday Night Game of the Week Top Play. PREDICTION: 8* ATLANTA BRAVES 4 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 3

For Sunday we return to Texas where the Portland Trailblazers are in town to face off against the host San Antonio Spurs on Sunday night. This game is about matchups and one team forcing their will upon the other. First of all, the Spurs and their fans will certainly be up for this game as they have made the playoffs for the first time since 2019, and they are a Number Two Seed due to their impressive play this season and especially down the stretch. The Spurs will start their run against a team they beat in two out of three matchups this season. These teams played a couple weeks ago on April 8, a game the Spurs won in San Antonio 112 to 101. The Trail Blazers are the ninth-fastest team in the NBA in terms of pace, but the Spurs were able to enforce their will upon the Blazers and slow that pace down. The Trail Blazers commit the highest amount of turnovers per game at 16.5 and tonight they will face one of the best defensive teams in the league. The Spurs defense ranks third in defensive efficiency. Portland is 42-40 overall this season and 19-23 on the road. The Trailblazers went 9-4 down the stretch and landed a spot in the play in round. They defeated Phoenix on the road to advance to the playoffs as the seventh seed. San Antonio is 61-21 this season including a terrific 30-8 at home. The Spurs went 10-2 down the stretch and ended up as the second seed. Portland is 7-7 on the road since the break averaging 109.6 points per 100 possessions with a -1.8 net rating. San Antonio is 13-2 at home since the break and posted 123.7 points per 100 possessions with a +10.9 net rating. Play AGAINST NBA teams playing on road in three plus Days Rest scenario because they are 5-16 SU and 6-15 ATS versus teams in the fourth Straight Home games over the last three seasons. Play AGAINST NBA road teams in the three plus days rest scenario versus teams playing in their third straight home game, 25-19 SU and 26-17-1 ATS the last three years. Play ON the Spurs when the opponent rest is more than two days and the team had less than a 106.9 pace in their last game, 12-2 ATS (86%)(+$980). Play ON NBA favorites of six or more points who have a better record who also covered in their last head-to-head meeting by more than a single basket, 182-124 ATS (60%)(+$4,560). Play ON NBA teams that have lost no more than twenty-eight games this season in Round One of the playoffs and facing a team that has lost more than thirty games this season, 107-52 ATS (67%)(+$4,980). Play ON NBA teams averaging a biggest lead of more than 16.28 on the season with at least five days of rest and when the team had less than a 102.7 pace in their last game, 10-0 ATS (+$1,000). The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 16.33 points. The MM projects a point differential of +5.46 against the current line range. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive defensive differential of 5.27 with a transitional average of 43.9. The SIM Matrix has the San Antonio Spurs with a 73.99 percent advantage against the spread in this contest. We will lay the digits with the Spurs as they roll past an overmatched Blazers team in Game One of the Playoffs! PREDICTION: 8* SAN ANTONIO SPURS 124 PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 108