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Articles by Erik Scheponik |
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Erik Scheponik's NCAA Tourney Preview |
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Erik Scheponik Mar 20, 2008 |
Okay, so now its my turn to play Dick Vitale and Jay Bilas real quick. I really can’t fathom South Alabama making this tournament. Sure they have the nice win over Mississippi St., but shouldn’t they have at least made the finals of a conference tournament played on their home court? Especially when that conference is the lowly Sun Belt (RPI 15). I definitely would have given that spot to I ...
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West Bracket (Phoenix Region) Breakdown |
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Erik Scheponik Mar 19, 2008 |
Analysis for top half of the bracket is by Erik Scheponik (ESI) and Matty Baiungo (Matty B Sports). Analysis on bottom half, and future rounds is entirely Erik Scheponik's (ESI). Enjoy and realize that line movement and further analysis can change/strenghten our opinion by game day.
UCLA (1) vs. Mississippi Valley St. (16)
Ben Howland has taken the Bruins to back- ...
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Bracket Buster Scorecard |
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Erik Scheponik Feb 27, 2008 |
Another Bracket Buster Weekend has come and gone, and handicappers should use what they learned this weekend as an aid for the postseason handicapping that lies just around the corner. Of course, as is the case with handicapping any other basketball game, the key is not just in charting the results, but interpreting why those results happened from a situational and fundamental point of view. ...
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Peaking at the Right Time |
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Erik Scheponik Feb 23, 2008 |
To quote Lou Brown from the movie Major League “It’s all starting to come together” for the 3 NCAA and 1 NBA teams that Erik has circled to make some major noise down the stretch and into the postseason.
Louisville- Sometimes you can take coach’s interviews as mere coachspeak and other times there’s something to be learned. All you had to do is watch Rick Piti ...
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3 Major Conference Sleeper/Value Teams |
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Erik Scheponik Aug 24, 2007 |
Northwestern- (Big 10) This team went through some growing pains last season after the tragic loss of HC Randy Walker, and some bad luck with the injury bug. However, I believe that new HC Pat Fitzgerald made the best of a bad situation in his first year at the helm at only 34 years of age. I think Fitzgerald has the makings of a very good head coach, and improvement was apparent o ...
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The NFL: A Game of Mistakes |
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Erik Scheponik Aug 18, 2007 |
Last season in the NFL, teams that committed less (forced more) turnovers than their opponent logged an impressive 173-38 (82%)record on the field (SU), going 166-40-4 (81%) against the pointspread (ATS). Very impressive yes, but only slightly above the norm. In 2005, the numbers were 124-44 (74%) SU, and a 131-33 mark (80%) against the pointspread (ATS). In '04 these turnover winners logged ...
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Detroit/Cleveland Series Play w/analysis |
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Erik Scheponik May 21, 2007 |
Cleveland at Detroit
Play CLEVELAND +285 or better
From a value standpoint there is only one way to bet this series as the Pistons were just -180 against Chicago, and now are laying nearly double that against a team that is better than the Bulls. Last year's series went a hard fought 7 games, and although if I had to make a play at even money, or a cold prediction, it would ...
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Game 1 Box Score Analysis |
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Erik Scheponik Apr 23, 2007 |
A few anomalies jump off the page when analyzing Game 1 NBA boxscores, giving us a better idea of why the results occured as well as predicting what will or needs to happen the rest of the series, for the Game 1 losers to bounce back. The key is deciding whether or not a Regression back to the Mean will take place.
New Jersey/Toronto: New Jersey pulled the upset despite a combin ...
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NBA Eastern Conference Opening Round Preview |
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Erik Scheponik Apr 21, 2007 |
Miami at Chicago- Rematch from last year's opening round series won by Miami in 6. The Heat are almost impossible to handicap from a statistical sense because Shaq and Wade have only played 18 games together THE ENTIRE SEASON! The rest of the key pieces are back in place from last year's championship run, and Eddie Jones has also been added and is playing well at both e ...
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Final 4 Preview: Florida vs. UCLA |
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Erik Scheponik Mar 30, 2007 |
Florida vs. UCLA: The Rematch
The Bruins have finally gotten their wish and that is a chance at redemption against these Florida Gators, the team that outclassed them 73-57 in last year's NCAA championship. Both teams have handled the BULL'S EYE placed on their backs in very tough conferences this season. The Pac 10's other Elite 8 contestant (only conference with more than 1 ...
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Big Dance Preview: East Rutherford Region |
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Erik Scheponik Mar 15, 2007 |
Going to Atlanta- I could be wrong, but I don't rate the North Carolina Tar Heels as one of the top 6 teams that can win this tournament. Now that's not saying I don't think they are one most talented because I do, and in all honesty...They are probably #7 on my list. I'm just not sure that the Tar Heels can win a knock down, drag-out, low scoring slugfest that a Georgetown or ...
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Big Dance Preview: St. Louis Region |
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Erik Scheponik Mar 14, 2007 |
BIG DANCE PREVIEW: St. Louis Region
Atlanta Bound- I'm going to go with the chalk here and pick Florida as I really think that this is the weakest bracket at least in terms of the top seeds. The Gators seem to have regained their edge after 3 straight double digit road losses in February, and statistically this team is almost a mirror of last year: truly dominant ...
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