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Why you should always use flat bets


By: AC Dinero
Date: Jan 27, 2015
   
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Success with investing in sporting events is no different than any other investment. One needs to select the correct vehicle, in our case games, and manage their portfolio, in our case bankroll. Failure at either one will surely spell doom to any investment plan. This article covers the latter, managing our bankroll. Bankroll simply refers to money we set aside to invest in sporting events. It is no different than opening an E-Trade or Scott-trade account to invest in the stock market. Ideally, we would like to fully fund an account with a sports book. BetUS, Bodog, and Pinnacle are some of the more respected operations. Flat bets are a key component to any risk management plan, and along with straight bets, make up what is known as the “unit” system, which is a rating system for selecting games. This type of system forces you to stick to your plan, which helps avoid the pitfalls that happen during every season. Some of these are: • Reduce the temptation to think short term by eliminating betting too much per game on both winning and losing streaks • Cover up the lack of discipline • Eliminate betting on tilt, which uses emotions and not logic • Eliminate the “gamblers fallacy”, which believes previous results dictate future results. For example, you lost 5 games in a row. You can’t possibly lose the 6th, so you bet more The simple definition of a flat bet is wagering the same amount per unit on every wager. For example, you determine your wager per unit at the beginning of the season to be $100. $100 on Dallas is a flat bet. The amount per unit should be approximately 1% - 2% of your bank roll. If you had 2 units on a game, the flat bet would be $200, and so on. Multiple units on a game should comprise approximately 20% of your investments. In order to successfully make money wagering over the long term, flat bets must work in tandem with “straight” bets, which is a singular bet on one side of a game. $100 on Dallas -7 is a straight bet. The odds are usually 1.1:1. Many bettors lose because they bet teasers, parlays, and reverses. These are bad for two reasons: 1) you need to win more than 1 game to win the entire bet, and 2) the odds are worse compared to the probability of victory. If you employ these two key strategies in managing your bank roll, your chances of long term success increase dramatically. AC
 


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