This week’s database research focused on schools playing in their final regular season games. Each college team has different motivating factors this time of year as some are fighting for their conference title, bowl invitations and a few for a national championship. Here we examine college teams playing their final home game of the season.

Team schedules are a gold mine when researching situations in an effort to beat the point spread. We wanted to know how teams fared in their final home game if they had been playing games on the road for an extended period. Would they be motivated to end the regular season on a high note or would the fact that they had been away for so long leave them physically, emotionally and mentally drained.

SYSTEM: In its Final Home Game, play AGAINST a team (not an underdog of 30+ points) off a Saturday road/neutral site contest in its last game and three road/neutral site games before that. Playing against these home teams has produced a record of 13-0 ATS since 1980 covering the spread by 13.8 points per game.

Our System has only been active thirteen times since 1980. We have to go back to November 29, 2008 for the last active date. That week Georgia was active in the system as an 8-point favorite over Georgia Tech and they lost straight up 45 to 42 giving our system its thirteenth victory. You have to go back to 2004 for the next time the system was active and Georgia who was active in the system once again as a 15-point favorite versus Georgia Tech. Georgia won the game 19 to 13 but failed to cover the spread.

The system is active this week as the Cincinnati Bearcats qualify in their game versus the Connecticut Huskies on Saturday. Cincinnati is coming off four road games and one neutral site game sandwiched in-between those contests when they faced West Virginia at Paul Brown Stadium back on November 12. Connecticut is coming off a home victory over Rutgers last week and that was the final game of a three-game home stand for the Huskies.

With all the system parameters met, this week’s Cajun Sports NCAA Football System of the Week qualifies a play AGAINST the Cincinnati Bearcats on Saturday. We want to play ON the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES plus the points over the Bearcats.

Cajun Sports is coming off their 6* Pac 12 Game of the Year winner with USC -17 over UCLA defeating the Bruins 50 to 0. They also won their 6* SEC Platinum Play of the Year with Arkansas -14 over Tennessee defeating the Vols 49 to 7. Cajun Sports is 5-1 ATS with their 6* selections this season make sure you do not miss another big play.