Last week’s System of the Week qualified a play on the Michigan State Spartans in their game against the Michigan Wolverines and our system won again as the Spartans defeated the Wolverines 28 to 14 as a 1-point favorite. With that win, the system’s record improved to 19-0 both straight up and against the spread.
This week we once again examine college home teams but with a different set of parameters. Last week our system focused on defensive home teams this week our search uncovered a powerful system that plays on home teams that just defeated an unbeaten opponent.
SYSTEM: From Game 6 on, play ON a conference home team off a home favorite SU win against an undefeated opponent vs. an opponent off a SU win. The system has a record of 11-0 ATS covering the spread by 19.4 points per game since 1993.
After knocking off an unbeaten team as a home favorite, teams back at home have used that momentum against opponents who are also coming off a victory. Even though the team they defeated was unbeaten at the time, they were favored against them and expected to win so there is no letdown after that victory. They become terminal velocity where the spread is concerned.
The system has qualified an underdog on two occasions the first time came back in Week 6 of the 1993 season. California was playing host to Washington and they were a 3.5-point home underdog losing the game 23 to 24 but covering the spread.
The second active date where the system qualified an underdog is this week as the system qualifies the Michigan State Spartans +8.5 points against the Wisconsin Badgers. The other nine qualifying contests were all favorites and each one-won and covered the spread. The fact that the system has only had two underdogs does not diminish the power of the system it just increases its ability to qualify quality situations.
Wisconsin leaves Madison for their first true road game of the season having played all but one of their games at home with one coming at a neutral site when they played Northern Illinois at Soldier Field. Saturday’s trip to East Lansing will be the Badgers first true test of the 2011 campaign.
The Badgers schedule has not been a who’s who of top teams having defeated a Nebraska team that does not look nearly as strong as once believed and all the rest considered padding to their non-conference schedule. The same cannot be said for the Spartans having already faced Notre Dame, Ohio State and last week’s victim Michigan.
With all of the system parameters met, this week’s Cajun Sports NCAA Football System of the Week qualifies the Michigan State Spartans plus the points over the Wisconsin Badgers. The Spartans were our Play ON team last week and with that victory, they qualified in this week’s system. PLAY ON: Michigan State Spartans (+)
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