There is only one game of the four NFL divisional round postseason matchups
this weekend that isn’t a rematch from the regular season and it’s Saturday
afternoon’s meeting between NFC South champion New Orleans (13-3) and West
champion San Francisco (13-3). The Saints are 4-point favorites on Bovada’s NFL
football lines, the only road favorite of the weekend (all four home teams won
and covered last week).
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The Saints had the NFL’s
top-ranked total and passing offense in the regular season (No. 2 in scoring)
and it showed last week in a 45-28 victory over Detroit, New Orleans’ ninth win
in a row. The Saints were down 7-0 after a quarter but then exploded.
Drew Brees threw for 466 total yards and three scores and New
Orleans broke the postseason mark for total yards with 626, beating the record
set 49 years ago. Brees hit on 33 of 43 passes while throwing for the most yards
in a regulation playoff game. He had three completions of at least 40
yards.
San Francisco was off last week thanks to winning a tiebreaker
(better conference record) over New Orleans. The Niners ranked fourth in the NFL
in total defense this year, first in rushing yards allowed by a wide margin and
second in points per game at 14.3. The Saints didn’t score less than 20 points
once this season, although all three losses came on the road. And New Orleans
has never won a road playoff game (0-4). San Francisco was 7-1 at home, with the
loss coming in overtime in Week 2 to Dallas.
The magic number in this
game likely is 20 points. New Orleans is just 8-8 in the past two seasons when
the opponent scores 20. The Saints allowed 20 or more points in six of their
eight road games this season. The Saints had a 3-3 record in those contests,
with two of the losses occurring against the Buccaneers and the Rams, teams that
won six games combined. The Niners scored 20 or more points in every home game
this season.
These two teams played last season, a 25-22 Saints win in
San Francisco (they also played this preseason, a 24-3 Saints home win). New
Orleans is 8-0 ATS in past eight as a favorite. Niners are 5-1 ATS in past six
as a home dog of between 3.5-10 points. The weather is supposed to be terrific
at kickoff, with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-60s.
BE THERE FOR EVERY VICTORY: Claim your free $100 bet at
Bovada!
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