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Philosophies on NFL Preseason Wagering


By: TJ Masterline
Date: Aug 17, 2015
   
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As of this morning, all 32 teams have now played at least one game in the preseason. Many of the trends that I’ve seen in years past will also be prevalent this year. I’ve often heard that no one bets on preseason games. I think all of you reading this do, and most of my degenerate friends do, so that myth can be laid to rest. One philosophy that I’ve found true though is that I believe that these games are not necessarily won or lost based on the team’s talent. I believe it has more to do with the team’s philosophy as to what they are trying to accomplish. For instance, John Harbaugh has not had a losing preseason since 2008, while Tom Coughlin did not have a winning preseason from 2007 until last year. Ken Whisenhunt, however, as a head coach has only had one winning preseason, in 2010, and he has had three seasons where he has lost four games in the preseason. The other trend that is in my wheelhouse is the fact that most games lines are small, typically under four points. That tells me a couple of things. In most cases I’m just trying to figure out the winning team and not worry about the points. Also, if I happen to like the dog, I’ve very likely to take the money lines. This worked out well this weekend with plays on Carolina and Denver, both winning outright as dogs. At the end of the day, we are all just stoked that football is back. In fact, there won’t be a weekend without football until Valentine’s weekend 2016. Someone was thinking ahead to keep us all out of hot water next year!
 


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