Tuesday Morning Coffee November 18th, 2008 Buffalo at Bowling Green 6:00 EST 11/21/08 My Ai Simulator has a 3* graded play on Bowling Green. Based on the AiS, Bowling Green, has a 74% probability of winning this game by 4 or more points. Supporting this grade play is a15-year system sporting a 39-9 ATS mark since 1992 and is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season and has gone a perfect 10-0 ATS over the past 3 seasons. Play against road dogs off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival and is now facing an opponent off a blowout win of 21 or more points over a conference rival. Let’s take a look at this system a bit closer. We find Buffalo off of 4 straight wins and their last 5 games have gone over the posted total. Their last win was at Akron where they won 43-40 and were installed as 2.5 point dogs. Bowling Green comes into this game winners of two straight and 3 straight ATS. They won their last game 28-3 on the road at Ohio University. Since having 5 turnovers in the second game of the year a 42-17 loss to Minnesota and 3 turnovers in their third game losing at Boise State 20-7, Bowling Green has had 2 turnovers or less in their last 7 games. The breakdown is two games of 2 turnovers, 3 games with just 1 turnover and 2 games with zero turnovers. Buffalo has forced 22 turnovers through 10 games and many of their wins are because of the forced turnovers. So, Bowling Green’s biggest attribute is that they do not turn the ball over and in so doing Buffalo will have to earn every point they get. Bowling Green is also a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992. Bowling Green will have difficulty getting consistent yards through the air and the AiS shows a 90% probability that they will not gain more than 6.5 net passing yards. Note that Bowling Green is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992. Ryan is having another highly successful fall campaign in all sports. In CFB he has posted a 60% ATS mark in all selections, including member picks too, and hit his lone 15* Top-25 Titan play just this past Saturday with Auburn nearly defeating Georgia in SU fashion. In the NHL he is having a great start sporting a 23-14 mark and having made more than 65 units in profits wagering $1 per 3,5, and 7* unit plays. The best fact is that 86% of these plays have been dogs and he is 5-2 with 7* releases. In the College hardwood Ryan is off to an 8-5 ATS start with a 7* push. NBA, more of the same with a 13-6 ATS mark. Even Canadian FB is on a 3-1 ATS run. So, join Ryan, a 15-year veteran money maker, and get the information you need to win.
 

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