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NHL Favorites to Fade - January 7, 2016


By: Mike Lundin
Date: Jan 7, 2016
   
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There's no shame in being a "square" and back mostly favorites, after all, any way of turning a profit is a good way, and favorites are perfect to use in parlays to turn a quick buck. Due to the high price, you'll need to pick your spots very carefully though.

Here Mike Lundin is taking a look at a couple of favorites from Thursday's NHL card that he would advise you NOT to use in your parlays or singles. Remember, a unit not lost is worth just as much as a unit won in your bankroll.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Los Angeles Kings (-220) The Kings are sitting top of the Pacific Division, but they're off a 4-1 loss at Colorado as they saw a five-game winning streak come to an end. They're 6-13 in their last 19 games following a loss of three or more goals and 0-4 in their last four after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. The Maple Leafs are off three consecutive wins and won 4-0 at Anaheim last night. Fatigue may become an issue, but this still looks like an unreasonable price on the Kings.

Detroit Red Wings vs. San Jose Sharks (-135) The Sharks have the league's worst home record at 5-11-0 while the Red Wings are a solid 9-5-2 on the road and San Jose has opened a five-game homestand with a 1-2 record, losing to both Winnipeg and Colorado. The Red Wings meanwhile have opened a six-game trek with back-to-back wins at Buffalo and New Jersey, and backing the Sharks does not look all that appealing to me here.

Note that: Just because we're fading the favorite does NOT mean that we're automatically tailing the dog. Sometimes the juice the sports books charge takes away the value on either side.


 

  Mike Lundin
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