After Week 5 the top five in our NFL Betting Power Rankings stay the same — the bottom two were on bye weeks while the top three are still blowing up spreads like Ray Lewis.
On the come-up is our early-season favorites for underdog money makers: The Buffalo Bills and Oakland Raiders.
Check our Week 5 NFL Betting Power Rankings below. Remember, we rank squads for consistency against the spread (ATS) and total (OU) not win/loss record.
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1. Detroit Lions 4-0-1 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 1)
If you’re a baby boomer in Detroit pop some champagne, the Lions are 5-0 straight up (SU) for the first time since 1956. Also its 4-0-1 record ATS is no fluke, this is a similar start to last season, where they covered five of their first six.
2. Green Bay Packers 4-1 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 2)
Aaron Rodgers is wearing that championship belt well, and the defense finally stepped up and kept an opponent, Chicago, under 17 points. Unfortunately their swagger has caught the eye of oddsmakers. A monster spread (currently -14.5) at home versus St. Louis awaits.
3. New England Patriots 4-1 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 3)
The Patriot love has died down a bit the last two weeks. Cash in before things get loud again.
4. Baltimore Ravens 3-1 ATS, 4-0 OU (Last Week: 4)
We hope the bye week helped the Ravens realize that they don’t need Joe Flacco to throw it like Tom Brady to win games. Flacco had just 163 passing yards and one INT in their most decisive cover (vs. the New York Jets) this year.
5. Washington Redskins 3-1 ATS, 1-3 OU (Last Week: 5)
It’s up in the air who will start at running back, but we don’t see it affecting the Redskins as a wager going forward. Washington is looking like a bonafide Mike Shanahan team in his second year as coach; good news for bettors.
6. Buffalo Bills 3-2 ATS, 5-0 OU (Last Week: 7)
After feeling themselves a bit too much versus Cincinnati in Week 4 the Bills refocused and reestablished themselves as a bankable squad versus Philadelphia.
7. Oakland Raiders 4-1 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 10)
Sad that owner Al Davis passed after finally putting together a competitive team. “Just Cover Baby” will be our Raiders slogan going forward.
8. New Orleans Saints 3-2 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 6)
What irked us about the Saints was on display: Timely defense doesn’t mean good defense. The results will be a team that will likely end up in the middle of our rankings if things don’t change.
9. Carolina Panthers 4-1 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 13)
Who would’ve thought the replacement for Peyton Manning was Cam Newton? Oddsmakers certainly didn’t, we’re on the fourth cover in a row.
10. Houston Texans 3-2 ATS, 1-4 OU (Last Week: 9)
It’s a struggle every year, every week, to peg the Houston Texans. They are not bad but never great, and you’d be hard pressed not to find them in the top 15 of every rankings google can find. Got it! Jennifer Aniston, the Texans are Jennifer Aniston.
11. San Francisco 49ers 4-1 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 17)
Still watching our heads for their plummet back to Earth, but we have to admit we’ve pegged the 49ers wrong thus far. The defense finally has time to breath and has reached its elite potential with Alex Smith and the offense playing mistake-free football.
12. Cincinnati Bengals 4-1 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 20)
Although much credit is due for rookie QB Andy Dalton, the Bengals defense is why they’re such a surprising bet. Cincy ranks first in total yards allowed.
13. Atlanta Falcons 1-4 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 11)
Matt Ryan looks like an elite QB, talks like an elite QB, even throws like an elite QB, but four seasons in still doesn’t play like one. The Falcons were a better team when they didn’t trust him as much.
14. Chicago Bears 1-4 ATS, 2-3 OU (Last Week: 8)
Jay Cutler looked better versus Detroit but we simply don’t believe this team can be a consistent wager unless he’s throwing it 25 times or less.
15. Tennessee Titans 2-3 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 14)
The upcoming bye week should be all about finding the running game and Chris Johnson. As displayed in Tennessee’s blowout to Pittsburgh, this team won’t go far without a running game.
16. Philadelphia Eagles 1-4 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 12)
Nightmares count as dreams right?
17. New York Jets 1-4 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 15)
Without the defense playing elite football the gaping holes on offense are starting to show. This team needs to crush Miami (-7 favorites at home). Because when a team is built predominately on bravado and swagger none fall harder when humbled.
18. Dallas Cowboys 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 OU (Last Week: 18)
When Tony Romo comes back from his bye keeps things in perspective: he’s good, not elite, and needs help — whether it’s the wideouts, O-line, running game or defense — to be effective. Brady, Rodgers and Brees can make up for their teams’ shortcomingsm he can’t. Beware if your bets are put squarely on his shoulders.
19. Pittsburgh Steelers 2-3 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 22)
Like its franchise QB, the Steelers always play better when they’re a wounded animal. If oddsmakers continue to sell them short because of injuries it might be a good time to pounce.
20. San Diego Chargers 2-3 ATS, 2-3 OU (Last Week: 23)
Right on cue here come the Chargers. Two ATS wins in a row and a bye week to heal up.
21. Arizona Cardinals 2-3 ATS, 2-3 OU (Last Week: 21)
Really expected more from Kevin Kolb at this point, but he’s not the only issue. The D has given up 24.2 points per game this year.
22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2-3 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 16)
When you wait till the 4th quarter like the Bucs have this year eventually you’re going to get embarrassed.
23. New York Giants 3-2 ATS, 3-1-1 OU (Last Week: 19)
Put the game in Eli Manning’s hands like the Giants did versus Seattle and you’re going to have head scratching moments that cost you money and Suicide Leagues.
24. Minnesota Vikings 2-2-1 ATS, 2-3 OU (Last Week: 24)
Donovan McNabb is done, but Adrian Peterson certainly is not. Give him the rock, the Vikings have a shot.
25. Miami Dolphins 0-3-1 ATS, 1-3 OU (Last Week: 25)
The bye week is the best the Dolphins have looked this season.
26. Kansas City Chiefs 3-2 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 28)
Their last two covers versus Minnesota and Indianapolis are hardly anything to cheer about. However, without Jamaal Charles Kansas City has proven it can still run the ball (ranking 7th overall), which was a big part of their betting vitality last year.
27. Seattle Seahawks 3-2 ATS, 3-2 OU (Last Week: 29)
Pete Carroll has managed to make us eat our words when it comes to him “sucking for Luck.” Still would bet against them nine times out of 10 however.
28. Denver Broncos 1-4 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 31)
For the football gods so loved the world that they gave their one and only son, Tim Tebow. Whoever believes in him shall not perish but have tons of cash. Too far? Perhaps. And believe us when we say we’re not on the Tebow bandwagon. However, his energy and scrambling ability will help this team surprise teams and oddsmakers when listed as underdogs.
29. Indianapolis Colts 2-3 ATS, 4-1 OU (Last Week: 27)
It’s concerning that the Colts are playing hard on both sides and still coming up short. We’re just hoping they don’t win the “Suck for Luck” sweepstakes. Every team should go through what the 49ers and Dolphins have gone through when their hall-of-fame QB is gone.
30. Jacksonville Jaguars 1-4 ATS, 1-4 OU (Last Week: 26)
Despite four losses ATS in a row there’s light at the end of this tunnel. Rookie QB Blaine Gabbert is looking better than Luke McCown and could pull this team out of its slump if he manages the game.
31. Cleveland Browns 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 OU (Last Week: 31)
We know QB Colt McCoy could play better but this squad can’t run the ball (rank 27) or stop the run (rank 25), the recipe for losses ATS.
32. St. Louis Rams 0-4 ATS, 2-1-1 OU (Last Week: 32)
Here’s hoping with Steven Jackson back to nearly 100 percent Sam Bradford and the offense can reach its potential. We didn’t expect greatness, but as an NFC West contender and as a wager the Rams are underachieving.In fact, they’re practically interchangeable. You can argue the most impressive team out of the three the last two weeks has been the Green Bay Packers, considering Detroit, currently number one on our rankings, has trailed at halftime in its last three games before covering the spread. Also, it appears New England has rebounded from its ugly loss at Buffalo in Week 3.
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