Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL
preseason is a great opportunity to start and
build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular
season. Many handicappers have the opinion that
the preseason games should be left alone and not
bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your
homework the preseason games offer the betting
public a tremendous chance to make a ton of
money.
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track
record of wanting to win and some just don’t
care and are just preparing for the regular
season. You can find many games this preseason
where you can get a definite edge. Below I have
put together a list of all 32 teams with a
breakdown of things to look for this preseason
that will give you that winning advantage.
A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 7 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.
Here are the 7 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:
Arizona - Ken Whisenhunt
Atlanta - Bobby Petrino
Dallas - Wade Phillips
Miami - Cam Cameron
Oakland - Lane Kiffin
Pittsburgh - Mike Tomlin
San Diego - Norv Turner
NFC North
Chicago – In Lovie Smith’s three seasons as Chicago head coach the Bears are just a .500 team against the spread. However a trend has definitely developed in the preseason in the 13 games the Bears have played, nine of them have stayed 'under' the total. A possible 'under' play this preseason is on August 30th when the Bears play Cleveland on the road. The Browns have seen the 'under' go 4-0 in their last preseason game of the year the past 4 years which 3 of these were against the Bears.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Rex Grossman, Brian Griese, Kyle Orton, Chris Leak.
Detroit
– Last year I told you that that the Lions head
coach Marinelli has been the defensive line and
assistant head coach for Tampa Bay the past 10
years. He helped put together the awesome
Buccaneers defensive units of the past. With him
emphasizing defense and toughness, playing
Detroit 'under' this preseason might be the way
to go. Well the Lions saw the under go 3-1 in
their preseason games last year. I see no reason
why this trend won’t continue this preseason
making the under a strong play for this year.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Jon Kitna, Dan Orlovsky, and Drew Stanton
Green Bay – In his first year as head coach of the Packers Mike McCarthy showed no signs of being interested in winning preseason games as Green Bay went 1-3 against the spread last year. The Packers have also been blown out in their last 2 dress rehearsal game being outscored 75-20. With a very poor quarterback rotation in place for this year look for the Green Bay preseason woes to continue this year.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Brett Favre, Aaron Rogers, Ingle Martin, Paul Thompson
Minnesota – Brad Childress in his first year as the Vikings head coach played it very conservative in the preseason as Minnesota saw 3 of their 4 games go under the total. With a very poor quarterback rotation in place for this year look for this trend of low scoring preseason games to continue again this year.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Tarvaris Jackson, Brooks Bollinger, Drew Henson, Tyler Thigpen
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