Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL
preseason is a great opportunity to start and
build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular
season. Many handicappers have the opinion that
the preseason games should be left alone and not
bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your
homework the preseason games offer the betting
public a tremendous chance to make a ton of
money.
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track
record of wanting to win and some just don’t
care and are just preparing for the regular
season. You can find many games this preseason
where you can get a definite edge. Below I have
put together a list of all 32 teams with a
breakdown of things to look for this preseason
that will give you that winning advantage.
A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 7 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.
Here are the 7 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:
Arizona - Ken Whisenhunt
Atlanta - Bobby Petrino
Dallas - Wade Phillips
Miami - Cam Cameron
Oakland - Lane Kiffin
Pittsburgh - Mike Tomlin
San Diego - Norv Turner
AFC East
Buffalo – The Bills lost 3 of their 4 preseson games last year under new head coach Dick Jauron. This follows a trend that in Jauron’s last two preseasons when he was head coach of the Chicago Bears back in 2002 and 2003, he went 2-6 ATS. Buffalo also hired Marv Levy last year as its vice president of football operations. Remember Levy coached all those great Buffalo teams that went to the Super Bowl. But Levy never cared about winning in the preseason. Under this new leadership will have to make the Bills a definite fade again this preseason.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: J.P. Losman, Craig Nall, Trent Edwards.
Miami –
Cam Cameron
takes over as the Dolphins new head coach. Over
the last 5 years
Cameron has been the offensive coordinator of
the potent Chargers offense. However with all
the uncertainties the Dolphins have on both
sides of the ball coming into this year their
definitely a team to stay away from this
preseason. The one thing I did find that sticks
out is that Miami is a perfect 0-6 against the
spread in the first preseason game the last 6
years.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Trent Green, Cleo Lemon, John Beck
New England – Coming into last years
preseason the 'under' was an impressive 13-3 in
the Patriots last 16 preseason games spanning
the previous four years. However last year Bill
Belichick opened things up offensively with the
Patriots scoring 23, 30, 41, and 23 points in
their 4 preseason games. Knowing that the odds
makers will continue to post low totals on all
of New England’s preseason games, I would look
to take advantage of this and play the over off
of last years results.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Tom Brady, Matt Cassel, Matt Gutierrez
New York Jets – In his first year as head coach of the Jets Eric Mangini showed no willingness to win preseason games as the Jets lost 3 of their 4 games. Their only win came against a Joe Gibbs Washington team that has lost 7 of their last 8 preseason games. Even though we have only one year to look at, I would say this short term trend will continue this preseason.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Chad Pennington, Kellen Clemens, Marques Tuiasosopo
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