Bonus Play – NCAA Saturday

(2 unit play) LIBERTY +17 (at William & Mary) – 7:00 pm ET

Normally, I would not release an I-AA game as very few sportsbooks post a line on these games, but this situation is just too good to pass up. If you are trying to find a sportsbook that posts I-AA lines, I would recommend Ultimate-Odds.com.

The oddsmakers are forced to inflate this line due to William & Mary’s impressive 63-13 win last week versus a terrible VMI team and the fact Liberty has not played a Division I program this season. However, these two teams are very equal in terms of talent and Liberty actually has more athletes and Division I-A transfers, including Pitt transfer RB Rashad Jennings who had 189 yards in last year’s head-to-head meeting.

Liberty barely lost 14-13 in last year’s game, but should have won outright as the Flames missed three field goals and an extra point. In fact, Liberty held a 386-265 total yard edge (5.5-5.0 yppl) and a dominating 315-170 rushing advantage (5.7-4.7 ypr). The Flames actually opened as a 5-point favorite in last year’s game, outplayed William & Mary, and now return 18 starters this season, yet for some reason they are now a 17-point underdog?

This line is ridiculous, especially considering William & Mary’s fastest WR and RB are both out with injuries. Liberty has an excellent chance to win this game outright and getting +17 points is truly a gift!

Play LIBERTY (+) as a 2 unit Best Bet.

NOTE: I realize some of you do not have access to I-AA lines, however many of you do and this game is just too good to pass up. Ultimate-Odds.com currently has Liberty +17 and I would recommend playing this game early as the line is likely to drop.

Steve Merril
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