Two-man shows are the rule in the wide-open South region.
Talk about a wild-card region. The top seed hails from a
mid-major conference and can't hit free throws. No. 2 lost its
best player after last season and the third seed has dropped
three of its last five. Oh, and let's assume Texas Arlington has
drawbacks too. Inside Story The Memphis Attack. True, the No. 1 Memphis Tigers
(33-1) are members of Conference USA, not the toughest pack in
the land. But that's not to say coach John Calipari's squad
played an easy schedule. The Tigers – who lost one game all
season, to Tennessee - beat a handful of NCAA tournament teams,
including Connecticut, Georgetown, Oklahoma, USC, Arizona and
Gonzaga. While Memphis did better than hold its own against
traditional powerhouses, it absolutely destroyed its C-USA
brethren. The Tigers finished their conference slate with five
straight victories by 17, 38, 19, 16 and 26 points. However –
and this is for the bettors – the Tigers covered the spread in
just two of those five games, testament to the respect they
receive from oddsmakers. In fact, Memphis is just 4-10 against
the number in its last 14, even though 13 were outright
victories. The Tigers are led offensively by junior Chris
Douglas-Roberts and freshman Derrick Rose, two of the best
guards in the nation who combined to average over 31 points per
game. Doing the hard work is forward Joey Dorsey, a
6-foot-9-inch, 265-pound forward who was good for 9.6 rebounds
and 1.9 blocks per game. Stacked as the team may be, if there's one area where Memphis
comes up short, it's free-throw shooting. The Tigers are hitting
just 59.6 percent of their freebies with Rose leading the way at
a modest 69.6 percent. On the low end – the really low
end - Dorsey is converting at just 39.3 percent from the charity
stripe. Memphis also isn't the only side in the South region with a
killer duo. No. 2 Texas has D.J. Augustin and A.J. Abrams, two
guards who combined for 35.9 points per game this season. Indeed, Kevin Durant might have left for the NBA, but that
didn't stop the Longhorns from winning their first 11 games
without him. Granted, after that, there were some hiccups. The
'Horns (28-6) had two losses to non-tourney teams in the new
year – a 97-84 defeat at Missouri on Jan. 12 and an 83-80 loss
at Texas Tech on March 1 – and of all the top 10 teams in the
ESPN/USA Today poll released on March 18, only Texas has
dropped six games. In other words, an early exit is not out of
the question for the Longhorns. And neither is a Final Four
appearance. No. 3 Stanford has a couple guys who play well together, too.
It probably helps that they're twins. Brook and Robin Lopez are
a couple of 7-footers who can dominate at both ends of the
court. Brook is the team's leading scorer – he averaged 19.9
points per game versus his brother's 10.0 – but Robin came on as
the season progressed, reaching double digits in points in eight
of his last 10 games. The Cardinal did drop three of its last five, two to UCLA and
the other to USC, but there's little need to panic. In the last
two weeks, Stanford also beat tourney teams Washington State
(twice) and Arizona. Bracket Buster St. Mary's. Watch out for No. 10 Saint Mary's,
who we profiled as a possible Cinderella in late February.
The Gaels are plenty rested considering they haven't played
since March 9 when they lost to eventual West Coast Conference
tournament winner San Diego. If they can get past struggling
Miami in the first round, the erratic Longhorns await and so too
does a potential upset. Best Bet Temple +6.5 over Michigan State: The Owls have won
seven straight and loom as one of those dastardly No. 12 seeds
for the No. 5 Spartans. X-Factor Tradition. Specifically, the No. 11 Kentucky
Wildcats, one of the most storied schools in college basketball
history. New coach Billy Gillespie got off to a dismal start in
Lexington, dropping nine of his first 16, including a shocking
defeat to Gardner-Webb. But the 'Cats turned it around big time
and won 11 of their last 14 to snatch a tourney bid. SEC
Freshman of the Year Patrick Patterson is out for the season,
and that hurts, but senior guards Ramel Bradley and Joe Crawford
are more than capable of sparking an upset of Marquette and
possibly others. Simply put, when you play for Kentucky, you
expect to win. Watch These Guys For Memphis: the aforementioned Derrick Rose. He's
only a freshman but that hasn't stopped him from being a leader
on the court. Teammates often speak of his ability to pick the
team up when it's down, one of the many reasons Rose is likely
to be playing in the NBA next year. For Mississippi State: Jarvis Varnado. This guy is a
shot-blocking machine. On three separate occasions this season,
he racked up 10 swats in a single game. Headed to the Sweet 16 Memphis, Stanford, Pittsburgh and – what the hell – Saint
Mary's.
Odds to win the South region
Team (Seed)
Odds
Memphis (1)
5/4
Texas (2)
3/1
Stanford (3)
7/2
Pittsburgh (4)
8/1
Michigan State (5)
12/1
Marquette (6)
12/1
Miami (7)
22/1
Mississippi State (8)
28/1
Oregon (9)
28/1
Saint Mary's (10)
22/1
Kentucky (11)
35/1
Temple (12)
80/1
Oral Roberts (13)
100/1
Cornell (14)
200/1
Austin Peay (15)
300/1
Texas Arlington (16)
300/1
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NCAA Tournament Preview: South Region
March Madness 2008
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