A look at the five best and worst
bets in the NBA. This opening was supposed to be about
Jason Kidd and his trade from the New Jersey Nets to the Dallas
Mavericks. But since Devean George decided to power trip on the Mavs,
everything's on hold until the deal is done... if it even gets
done at this point. "I've got to do what's best for me," George said late
Wednesday. "My agent wants me to wait until he can talk to me
and explain what the risks are... instead of just jumping the
gun." The deal was supposed to be Kidd, Malik Allen and Antoine
Wright to the Mavericks for George, Devin Harris, Jerry
Stackhouse, DeSagana Diop and Maurice Ager, but George's
no-trade clause, which he has exercised, has held things up. If the deal still goes through, expect the Mavs to improve
against the spread and total and possibly even pop into
the top five on our power rankings at some point during the
season. As for the Nets, expect them to look like a Div. II team
that struggles to cover every night. Here are the five best and worst bets ATS before the NBA
All-Star break: BEST BETS 5.
Orlando Magic 33-20 ATS (Last 10: 4-5-1) They still have one of the best ATS records in the NBA, but
they've been out to lunch in their final games before the break.
They've struggled in their last 10, and it's been because of
their unwillingness to play any defense. When the Magic have
allowed opponents to score over 100 points, they are 3-15 ATS on
the season. They remain a solid bet to start the second half,
but they're hanging by a thread. 4.
Denver Nuggets 27-25 ATS (Last 10: 7-3) I didn't expect to put the Nuggets in our top five at all
this season. With a duo that dominates the ball like Carmelo
Anthony and Allen Iverson, the Denver role players don't seem to
contribute consistently, which in turn has made Denver
inconsistent. But with J.R. Smith and Linas Kleiza filling up
the boxscore on a regular basis (9.9 and 11.9 points
respectively), they've been rolling. 3.
New Orleans Hornets 31-19-1 ATS (Last 10: 5-5) They've cooled down a bit in the last 10, but it's because
they were too hot in January, going 12-1 ATS. They still have
the talent and the personnel to go on another huge run in the
second half. But buyer beware, they start their second half
against Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Washington, Phoenix and
Utah. 2.
Utah Jazz 28-25 ATS (Last 10: 7-3) The Utah Jazz were too talented to go 4-12 ATS in December,
and that's been apparent with a 14-6 record ever since. The
return of the dominance they showed in the 2006-07 season is
because of their improved defense. They've allowed over 100
points in only five of their last 20. 1.
Los Angeles Lakers 32-18-1 ATS (Last 10: 9-1) It's amazing to watch the Lakers operate today. Kobe Bryant
actually passes, and he passes a lot (he averages 5.3 assists
per game). And with capable starters like Derek Fisher, Lamar
Odom and of course, Pau Gasol making their shots, the Lakers'
offensive attack is efficient and dominant. What's most shocking
about their play lately is that they've done it while playing
nine of 10 on the road. If the Kidd trade goes through, what has
been the best trade of this wild first half will be debatable,
but presently, it's not even close. BAD BETS 5.
Charlotte Bobcats 21-31-1 ATS (Last 10: 2-7-1) There's something about the logo, colors and personnel of the
Charlotte Bobcats that make them almost invisible on my
basketball radar. At this point, I doubt people in Charlotte
would care much if the team suddenly disappeared. Their
struggles offensively and defensively seem to stem from their
inability to rebound outside of forward Emeka Okafor, who
averages 11.1 rebounds per game. They rank 18th in offensive
rebounds and 26th in defensive rebounds. 4.
Golden State Warriors 22-30 ATS (Last 10: 2-8) They score a lot, shoot threes from anywhere, make bad shots
look good and toe the line between order and chaos. The frantic
style makes the Warriors the most exciting team in the NBA to
watch, but as a wager, they're horrible. They're content with
playing absolutely no defense regardless of who they face (they
rank 30th in points allowed, 107.5 per game), which keeps any
opponent in the game. They've gone 3-10 ATS in their last 13
games versus teams below .500. 3. Memphis
Grizzlies 24-27-1 ATS (Last 10: 4-6) Second-year forward Rudy Gay is the only consistent scorer on
the Grizzlies, and even his averages are below 20 points per
game (19.8). With Damon Stoudamire, Stromile Swift and Pau Gasol
all traded away, and possibly more trades to come, it's no
longer a question of if this team will keep playing bad... it's
how bad will it get. 2.
New Jersey Nets 23-30 ATS (Last 10: 4-6) The Nets are probably half hoping that George nixes their
trade with the Mavericks to give them an excuse to keep Kidd on
the roster, because without him on Wednesday, Feb. 13 versus the
Toronto Raptors, they looked horrible. They were down in that
contest by double digits from midway in the first quarter until
the final buzzer. If they're going to play that badly, they
might as well get rid of Richard Jefferson and Vince Carter as
well. 1.
Miami Heat 18-32 ATS (Last 10: 4-6) I'm actually optimistic about the Heat’s new roster. Although
trading Shaquille O'Neal for a perimeter forward like Shawn
Marion puts them further away from an NBA championship than
ever, their newfound speed on offense should translate into wins
SU and ATS in the second half. As of right now, however, they're
still the worst bet in the NBA.
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