The first and second quarter of
the 2007-08 NBA season is just about over. To get you ready for
the second half we outline some of the teams to watch.
This could be the most exciting first half of the NBA since the
Lakers were gunning for their third NBA title. The San Antonio Spurs don't look like they're in control of
their championship destiny, leaving the door wide open for teams
like the L.A. Lakers, Detroit Pistons, Boston Celtics, Phoenix
Suns and New Orleans Hornets to stake their claim as the next
contender. However, the second half could change all that. Teams have
been known to hit bottom like Britney Spears after the All-Star
break, and with only five games separating the first and eighth
team in the West, any team could be a top seed and any team
could drop out of the playoff picture completely. To help you make the right choices when betting on the NBA in
the second half, we've outlined some good and bad bets to keep
an eye on. BEST SECOND-HALF BET ATS: Who would've thought that an injury to Andrew Bynum would
help the Lakers get even better? The indefinite knee injury of Bynum spawned a trade between
L.A. and Memphis that will go down as one the best since the
Miami Heat swapped their roster to acquire Shaquille O'Neal
(sorry, Phoenix): All-Star caliber forward Pau Gasol from
Memphis for the undisputed flop Kwame Brown, guard Javaris
Crittenton, guard Aaron McKie, a couple of draft picks and the
draft rights to center Marc Gasol (Pau's brother). With a player as versatile as Pau Gasol (averages 18.9
points, 8.6 rebounds and 3.1 assists in career) becoming the
Lakers' second-best scorer, passer, rebounder and defender, L.A.
has looked effortless on offense (106.9 points per game, ranking
third in the NBA), and it's translated into a 5-1 record ATS
since his arrival. As long as the Lakers stay healthy the
remainder of the year, they should be unstoppable ATS. Runner Up:
Utah Jazz After struggling out the gate with injuries, they're 100
percent now. The Jazz have won nine of their last 12 ATS and
look poised for a second half that lives up to their Western
Conference appearance last year. WORST SECOND-HALF BET ATS: As quickly as it came, it feels like the magic is gone from
Portland. They looked unstoppable in December, going 14-2 ATS with
their best player, guard Brandon Roy (19.6 points, 4.5 rebounds,
5.8 assists), garnering MVP buzz. But since then, the air has
been slowly coming out of Portland's tires. "We're not sneaking up on teams like we did early in the
season," Roy said after a 95-83 loss to Houston on Feb. 11. "We
have to find a way to grind things out and get some wins." They're not sneaking up on oddsmakers either. They've gone
7-12 ATS and have gone 1-9 in their last 10. Unless NBA legend
Bill Walton laces 'em up and dominates in the post and on the
boards for the Blazers (they rank 27th in rebounds and have
failed to score 100 points in eight of their last 10 games),
their ATS record will nosedive in the second half. Runner Up:
Dallas Mavericks Mavericks head coach Avery Johnson will tell you that Dirk
Nowitzki is having one of his best seasons ever. But
statistically, he's having his worst since 2000-01 (averaging
22.2 points and 8.6 rebounds this year). That's translated to a
20-28 ATS record overall, worst among Western Conference
contenders. Unless owner Mark Cuban pulls off a miracle and
brings in Nets guard Jason Kidd to spark the offense, they
should remain a disappointing wager all year. BEST SECOND-HALF BET STRAIGHT UP: While everyone talks about the championship swagger in
Boston, L.A., San Antonio and Phoenix, the Detroit Pistons have
been the most consistent winners in the NBA this year. Without
one star that dominates the ball on offense and a style that
reminds us of basketball from the mid-'90s (ranked second in
defense at 89.8 points allowed), they're an easy team to ignore.
But no one should sleep on the second-best record in the NBA
(37-13). What should help them maintain their greatness as a SU bet is
that they dominate opponents without blowing them out. They've
beaten opponents by an average of eight points, and that keeps
oddsmakers from making them double-digit favorites (they've only
been favored by 10 or more in eight of the last 40 games), which
in turn, prevents them from posting bloated moneylines. Runner Up:
Boston Celtics Although it's hard to tell how their second half will go with
Kevin Garnett nursing an abdominal strain, who can doubt a team
that is 39-9 SU on the year? WORST SECOND-HALF BET STRAIGHT UP: Grizzlies fans still have something to look forward to with a
young star like Rudy Gay on the roster along with two
first-round picks in this year's draft. But as for the 2007-08
season, it's a write off. They traded away starting forward Pau Gasol for picks and
expiring contracts, traded away F/C Stromile Swift for backup
center Jason Collins and bought out the contract of Damon
Stoudamire. They are determined to burn this roster up for a
newer, more talented squad to rise from the ashes, so they
shouldn't be disappointed in the second half. Runner Up:
Seattle SuperSonics They hold the second-longest losing streak this year at 14.
Unless they make some moves to bring rookie Kevin Durant some
veteran talent, another couple of losing streaks are in their
future. BEST SECOND-HALF FUTURE: Do you know how many losses the Spurs had last year at the
halfway point of their championship season? Twenty. And this
year, with one game remaining until the break? Seventeen. That
should tell you how quickly and easily the Spurs can turn their
aging ship around when they start to smell playoffs. The Spurs took off in last year's second half, winning 41 of
the last 49 games to capture the world title. However, right now
you can find them in the
Bodog Sportsbook behind the Celtics, Lakers and Suns to win
the NBA Championship. Get them at
5-1 before oddsmakers catch on. Runner Up:
Detroit Pistons With all the trades and roster changes the other contenders
are making, the Pistons may be the second-best "team" in the
NBA. You can currently get them at
5-1 to win the NBA Championship. WORST SECOND-HALF FUTURE: For the record, I don't hate the O'Neal trade. It had to be
done. However, counting on an injured center that's aging at an
accelerated rate to bring you a championship this year
is asking too much. Especially since I still don't feel like the
Suns will play any defense. Yet, you'll find them up there with some of the best of the
best at
4-1 to win the NBA Championship. That's 4-1 for a team that
has only one player who actually has a ring. That's too steep a
price in my eyes. Runner Up:
Boston Celtics The Celtics looked good earlier this year... defensively.
Even with Garnett healthy, they looked too disorganized on
offense to warrant a
1-1 bet to win it all.
The Heat had 15 fast-break points on Feb. 10 with newly
acquired forward Shawn Marion in the lineup - the most
they've had in their last 10. This will be a run-and-gun
team in the second half, a complete 360 from the
half-court used when Shaq was in the middle. It should
surprise teams and oddsmakers. Keep an eye on them.
Caron Butler and Antonio Daniels, two players that
sparked the 23-13 ATS record in their first 36 games,
have been nursing injuries since late January. The
result has been a 1-9 record in their last 10. The Wiz
should explode in the second half once they return.
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