The Spurs and Lakers meet again in the Western Conference
finals. We give our keys to the series. It's been a tough
road to San Antonio vs. Los Angeles in the Western Conference
finals. There have been a lot of tough matchups, a lot of tough games
and a lot of future Hall of Famers sent packing. But things
ended up as expected. The Lakers and Spurs had the best combination of talent,
experience and superstardom to make it this far and should make
for an epic Western final. You may think the series will come down to which NBA
superstar shines brighter in seven games, but there are plenty
of other players, matchups, strategies and philosophies that’ll
put one of these West Coast teams into the NBA finals. Key Laker: Pau Gasol No one in the league is capable of stopping Kobe Bryant from
getting his, but unlike most squads, the Spurs can make the
"Black Mamba's" bite a little less venomous. That means that the Lakers' role players have to be ready to
contribute, and Gasol needs to do it better than the rest. He's a poor man's Tim Duncan: a player capable of commanding
a double team, defending the opposing bigs while dropping a
double-double. His current average in the playoffs is 20.0
points, 8.6 rebounds and 4.5 assists, while Duncan's are 19.3
points 13.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists. If Gasol can keep up his
playoff average, he will cancel out the Spurs' best player. Key Spur: Manu Ginobili Tough but flimsy, always off-balance but always on point,
Ginobili can be the toughest Spur to guard when he's hot. He's
adept and aggressive at slashing to the basket but always looks
like he tripped on his own feet while doing it. The style always
helps him get the first step on defenders and it draws a lot of
whistles from the zebras. In San Antonio's playoff losses, Ginobili averaged 15.5
points per game, and in their wins, 24.8. They'll need four big
games from him to beat the Lakers in a best-of-seven. Key Matchup: Derek Fisher vs. Tony Parker Who's the highest scoring Spur in the playoffs? Here's a
hint: It's not Duncan. Parker is leading the team by putting up 23.7 points per
game, and amazingly, most of his points come in the paint. His
blinding speed constantly puts defenders on their heels and sets
up the other Spurs for easy buckets. His likely defender on the Lakers will be Fisher. A good
perimeter defender who can nail a high percentage of his shots
(59 percent from 3-point land in the playoffs), Fisher will be
key to making the Spurs pay when they swarm the big three
(Bryant, Gasol and forward Lamar Odom). Whichever player is more effective in this series will make
his team's offensive execution infinitely easier. Key Laker Strategy: Play Duncan One-On-One New Orleans Hornets coach Byron Scott made one crucial
mistake during the conference semifinals against the Spurs: He
realized too late that Duncan should be guarded one-on-one. Tyson Chandler, a long and athletic center with tremendous
shot-blocking ability, looked comfortable when matched up
one-on-one versus Duncan in the second half of their Hornets vs.
Spurs Game 7 collision. His defense of Duncan nearly led to a
Hornets comeback and victory. The Lakers would be smart to play Duncan the same way. The Spurs seemed to live and die on their 3-point shot for
most of the series versus the Hornets, and it was because Duncan
would wait for the Hornets' double team and then swing the ball
to the open man. What New Orleans didn't realize is that for the first time in
his career, it appears Duncan is no longer dominating players
like he used to. He only averaged 15.3 points versus the Hornets
and should be counted on to drop 35 and 15 like he used to. Although not as good as Chandler on defense, Gasol’s length
should be able to handle Duncan one-on-one which in turn will
prevent San Antonio's daggers from downtown. Key Spur Strategy: Change Kobe Bryant's Philosophy Bryant has found that "Michael Jordan" zone. That place where
you can drop 40 but still get all your teammates involved on
offense. Bryant won the MVP award this year and has his Lakers
in the conference finals because of his willingness to pick his
spots and pass it to a shooter when double teamed. The new Bryant will kill the Spurs in this series unless they
can change him back to the 40-shot, ball-hogging No. 8 of
yesteryear. To do it, they'll need to make things harder for his
teammates. Bryant's trust in his teammates to make open shots hangs by
dental floss. All it'll take is a rough start by a couple of
Lakers to make Bryant go one-on-five. The Lakers will have
trouble winning a game if he has the put-the-team-on-my-back
philosophy in effect. Key Philosophy: Control the Tempo The Lakers like it fast and explosive while the Spurs like it
slow and efficient, so the team that's able to play at their
tempo should control the series. The Lakers' offense isn't always going 100 miles per hour
like the Golden State Warriors. But when they are at their best,
they're likely to score fairly early in the shot clock to keep
teams on their heels and exploit defensive mismatches. With a
lot of length on offense (three out of five starters are 6 feet
10 inches or more), they attack defenses before help can arrive.
And when all else fails, Bryant will bail them out. The Spurs, on the other hand, would like to keep the score in
the 70s if they could. They'll use the whole shot clock to find
the right shot, and they usually do. How else can you explain a
team that ranks 14th in field goal percentage (45.7 percent) yet
ranks just 28th in scoring (averaging 95.4 per game). With that analysis, allow me to conclude with the obvious: If
the game's in the 80s, expect a Spurs win; if it's in the 100s,
Lakers all the way. *****
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