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Monday morning Coffee February 19, 2008

By: John Ryan     Date: Feb 19, 2008
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Monday Morning Coffee

I have been on quite a consistent roll in NCAA Hoops sporting a 36-14-1 ATS record for 68% ATS with my 5* Monster releases. I am also 4-1 ATS with 10* Conference Games of the Year. In the NHL the season record is now at +5399 units made, which translates into more than $18,500 wagering just $100 per * unit play. 84% of these plays have been 3* MAJORS and 82% of the total plays have been dogs. NBA continues to grind out profits hitting 70% ATS over the past week. Point as always is to get all of my cards on a daily basis to maximize total rates of return and you truly cannot go wrong knowing that you only pay when you win.

I am now going to take a look at a marquee NBA game this week between the Lakers and Suns. I like the Lakers in this game and my Ai Simulator calculates the line to be Lakers installed as 5 point dog. Phoenix is and has always been an up tempo style team and they rank 2nd in scoring at 109.9 PPG with Golden State now in the lead at 109.9 PPG. Phoneix ranks 5th in the league in shot attempts with 84.1 SPG and again Golden State is 1st shooting 88.6 shot per game. FG% lead goes to Phoenix with a remarkable 49.34%, but here is where the Lakers are a surprise in my opinion as they rank 3rd overall at 47.73%. The Lakers have a vastly better defense allowing a shooting percentage of just 44.40% which ranks 5th overall in the league. Phoenix is 12th , in terms of shooting percentage allowed, but they allow 104 PPG ranking 26th in the league. It will be the Lakers ability to apply a suffocating style of defense at different times during this game that will get them a much needed road win. Note that the Lakers are 14-3 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season.


 


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