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Monday Morning Coffee - January 14, 2008

By: John Ryan     Date: Jan 15, 2008
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Monday Morning Coffee

My NFL playoff plays have netted a profit, but I lost my first ever 15* AFC Game of the Year on the Patriots. Sure, I can complain about the lack of a challenge on JAX’s first TD, a missed field goal and numerous other excuses. Yes, that play hurt, but it brings up the important point about my research and wagering methodology. In order to gain the most from my work, you simply must make a daily commitment to get all of the plays in each sport. My recent records and the fact that I have been doing this for 14 years stands as conclusive evidence that I know how to make money. For example, I am now 15-4 ATS on Sunday Night Football 5* MONSTER plays the past 3 seasons. I nailed down another solid bowl season and in the midst of it I have run off a 12-3-1 ATS with 7* Monster plays. I won my first 10* Bowl Game with UCLA as well as my 10* Monster Bowl Total with OVER Southern Cal/Illinois. NHL has been just “sickly good” hitting 65% of my plays and making 5112 units in profits. 83% of these plays have been dogs too. Speaking of dogs I have now had 25 LIVE NBA Major DOGS not just cover but also win SU. College Hoops are hot too and I have ripped off a 7-2 ATS mark with 5* Monster winners including my Big West Game of the Month and MWC Game of the Month both winning. I also won my 7* SEC Game of the Month. Seems like a broken record each week, but if you make a commitment to my all of plays in each sport you will have a high probability of making substantial returns – and best of all is that you only pay then you win!

Here is an excerpt from the NE report. AiS shows an 86% probability that New England is will win this game by 16 or more points. AiS shows a 90% probability that they will gain a minimum of 6+ yards per play. This puts NE into extremely strong roles. Note that when they gain 6+ YPP in a game they are 8-1 ATS this season, 13-4 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 32-12 ATS since 1992. Moreover, the AiS shows a 90% probability that JAX defense will not effective at containing NE offense. New has a 90% probability of gaining 400+ yards in this game. This puts them into a 10-2 ATS run this year, 16-3 ATS run the past 3 seasons, and 36-13 ATS run since 1992. NE did gain 403 yards in total offense and all of the projections were spot on, but that does not always guarantee success ATS.

In this game against San Diego, the Patriots have a 91% probability of gaining over 400+ total yards in offense, which puts the aforementioned angles into play once again. I know it is nothing short of a foregone conclusion, but NE is going to run the slate and they just might keep winning far into next season as well. They have the 5th pick in the draft and that pick will only make them stronger on defense. Here is a supporting system that has gone 88-49 ATS since 1983. Play against road teams off a upset win as an underdog and with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. Take New England as a 3* graded MAJOR play.


 


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