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Mike Handzelek's Week 10 CFB Analysis/Review


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Nov 6, 2019
   
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Saturday, November 02, 2019 Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -115 Buffalo Rating: 8* MAC Daddy Game Of The Week (WIN) What really stands out for me has to be the opportunistic defense put on the field by Brian Borland. He & HC Lance Leipold (coached Wisconsin-Whitewater to 6 Division III championships) have employed aggressive schemes that returned an output of 11 turnovers the past 3 weeks. The Bulls are riding a 3-game SU winning streak but more importantly 14-6 ATS record coming off an ATS win. Since the public continues to under-value them, we'll gladly take advantage of it. Let's go to Rynearson Stadium in Ypsalanti, Michigan to play the visiting BUFFALO BULLS as my MAC daddy Game Of The Week! Colorado vs. UCLA (NCAAF) - 9:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6.5/-104 Colorado Rating: 8* Mike's Saturday Night Bailout Play (LOSS) Has HC Chip Kelly & his Bruins (3-5 SU) looked better this season than their 3-9 SU debacle last season? Yes, but not much more. I've projected a 4-8 SU finish with their next win versus nearby Cal in their season concluder. They now take on a 3-5 SU Colorado squad that's been in every game (got edged by U.S.C. 35-31 last week) except versus 2 high-powered offenses like Oregon & Washington State. The Bruins have done well when their QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson was right. Guess what? He comes into this with a lower left leg injury. My bottom line says the Buffs have continually been under-valued in this series. They've won the past 5 of 6 ATS as well as 4 of 5 ATS @ this venue. In fact, the worse scenario the past 3 seasons (Colorado 2-1 SU) has been a 4-point loss right here. Let's go to the Rose Bowl in Pasadena to play the COLORADO BUFFALOES as my Saturday Night Bailout Play! Oregon State vs. Arizona (NCAAF) - 4:30 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 5.5/-110 Oregon State Rating: 8* Mike's PAC 12 Sleeper Play (WIN) Arizona's 4-4 SU & is a dumpster fire on defense giving up around 44 PPG over their last 3. In fact, they'll be in transition here after the firing of their DC Marcel Yates was fired this week. I'm not a BIG believer in HC Kevin Sumlin whose biggest coaching highlight had to be 2 favorite bowl wins -- a 2011 (30-14 @ - 6 1/2) win over Penn State while @ Houston AND a 2012 (41-13 @ -3) win over Oklahoma. What has he done in Arizona? He's put up less than mediocre numbers going 9-11 SU with his lone signature win being a 44-15 home win versus Oregon last season. Their last 2 home games were a 51-27 blowout loss to Washington & a 20-17 nailbiter win with U.C.L.A. They now take on an upstart Beavers' team that are doing well @ 3-4 SU under 2nd-year HC Jonathan Smith (who QB'd OSU from 1998-2001). My bottom line says the Boys from Corvallis have shown up BIG on the road! Nobody's paying attention to them yet they're a perfect 3-0 ATS with wins @ U.C.L.A.(48-31) & @ California (21-17). Their lone SU road loss was a 3-point 31-28 loss @ Hawaii in Week 2. OSU QB Josh Luton isn't too shabby turning in a nifty 16/1 TD/INT ratio. Get ready! We'll call for them one more time as we go to Arizona Stadium in Tucson to play the OREGON STATE BEAVERS (BUYING TO + 7 1/2) as my PAC-12 Sleeper Play! Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame (NCAAF) - 2:30 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 17/-105 Virginia Tech Rating: 8* Mike's CFB Letdowner Play (WIN) Any hopes of getting to a bowl playoff or major bowl looks like they're gone now for an ailing Fighting Irish squad. I question their motivation here in terms of obtaining a blowout. The key here is the fact that Notre Dame is coming off a game with LESS than 100 rushing yards. In this given situation, Indiana's Finest come back to go a no-show like 3-10-1 ATS the last 14. These Gobblers are coming off the bye @ 6-2 & have a 2 QB system that's gives HC Justin Fuente (4th year since coming from Memphis) & OB Brad Cornelsen some versatility on the attack. The scheduling crew has given ND opponents 4 games in a row versus an opponent off the bye with the first here. Let's go to Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend to play the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (buying to +20) as my CFB Letdowner Play! Boston College vs. Syracuse (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 3/-110 Boston College Rating: 8* Mike's ACC Bowl-Bounder (WIN) There wasn't much optimism for Boston College who returned just 3 defensive starters. However, 14-year NFL assistant Bill Sheridan has turn things around quickly with wins over 6-2 SU Virginia Tech & N.C. State to go 4-4 SU. They now take on an injury-riddled Orange squad that has habitually under-achieved to this point @ 3-5 SU. HC Steve Addazio will have his team in revenge mode after a bitter 42-21 loss to the Cuse' @ Alumni Stadium last season. Heading into this one, the roadie has won 3 straight SU. It's tough to say as a Syracuse & Dino Babers' fan, but they look like a team that'll finish about 4-8 SU with the personnel at hand. Let's go the Carrier Dome in New York to play the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES as my ACC Bowl-Bounder! Georgia vs. Florida (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6.5/-110 Florida Rating: 9* Mike's SEC Rivalry Showdowner (WIN) The Bulldogs' win over Notre Dame doesn't look too impressive after Michigan ran straight through them last week. This game represents the toughest roadie to date (only played @ Vanderbilt & Tennessee thus far) & presents some matchup problems for the Junkyard Dawgs. The Gators welcome back DL Jabari Zuniga, LB Jonathan Greenard & WR Kadarius Toney. If Georgia QB Jake Fromm threw 4 INT's versus the South Carolina "D", what do you think happens here versus a defense that's returned 8 starters? Even though this game will be played @ Jacksonville's TIAA Bank Field (home to NFL's JAX Jaguars), I feel the advantage is with Dan Mullen over a team that lost to Texas 28-21 in a neutral site bowler last season. Let's go Florida to play the FLORIDA GATORS (BUYING TO + 8 1/2) as my SEC Rivalry Showdowner! Mike Handzelek's 2019 CFB Week 10 Record: 5-1 for 83% Mike Handzelek's CFB Record (Past 3 Weeks) 14-3 for 82% Mike Handzelek's 2019-20 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 24-15 for 62% Tied For 3rd Place in Winning Percentage @ www.VegasTopDogs.com Review my articles @ VTD week by week for accurate spreads & records
 


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