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Mike Handzelek's NFL Week 17 With Game Of Year Analysis/Review/Notes


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Jan 1, 2020
   
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Sunday, December 29, 2019 Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (NFL) - 4:25 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -275 Los Angeles Rams Rating: 10* Mike's 12* NFL Regular Season Game Of The Year (DOUBLE WIN) Don't under-estimate how brutal their war with Seattle was for Arizona. Their 27-13 upset win last week was the Cards' Super Bowl. Making matters worse is the fact Arizona QB Kyler Murray is hobbled with hamstring issues. Murray is 2nd in rushing with 541 yards & good for 6.0 YPR. Things would only get worse of backup QB Brett Hundley whose 9/13 TD/INT ratio is atrocious. On the flip side of the coin, we find QB Jared Goff (threw for 424 yards in the 1st meeting versus the Birds) who will still be motivated in sending off L.A. with a winning SU record despite being eliminated from the playoffs (became the 2nd team in 10 years to lose a Super bowl & not make the playoffs the following year). Don't bank on the Rams laying an egg like @ Dallas (44-21) 2 weeks ago OR getting edged by San Francisco (34-31) last week. L.A. should respond now that the pressure is off. Since the value on the Rams are diminished since they beat the Cardinals @ their venue 34-7 (out-gained them 549 to 198) just 4 weeks ago AND are 5-0 ATS the last 5 of this series, we'll concentrate on putting a higher content of this play on the ML instead of on the number. My bottom line says last week's film clearly shows 42-year vet & DC Wade Phillips how to stop Arizona's new formations they used on the Seahawks instead of their basic 10 personnel. 4th-year veteran out of Alabama RB Kenyan Drake WON'T be running wild like he did @ Seattle. I HIGHLY doubt L.A. sends off their fans with a loss in their last game @ this venue before they move to their 5-billion dollar stadium in Inglewood. Numbers don't lie as Arizona's defense yield a very high 45.4% 3rd-down conversion rate as well as close to a 5-minute deficit in time of possession. L.A. has also won convincingly in their last divisional home game with a 28-12 triumph over the Seahawks. Let's go west coast as we'll invade the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (for the last time in the NFL) to play the LOS ANGELES RAMS as my One & Only 12* NFL Regular Season Game Of The Year! Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Pick: Point Spread 1/-110 Atlanta Falcons Rating: 9* Mike's Late Steamer Next Season Momentum Builder (WIN) Ok, so we have a 7-8 SU Buccaneers' squad that's trying to close the season out @ home (where they're 2-4 SU & lost to the Giants) that's going up against a 6-9 SU Atlanta team that's 5-2 SU since their bye week including a perfect 3-0 SU on the road with wins over New Orleans, Carolina AND San Francisco. Owner & Chairman Arthur Blank is a smooth business by letting HC Dan Quinn know he'll be back again for next season. I guess the move by Quinn to take himself OFF calling the defense by giving the direction to his staff has paid more than BIG dividends for himself & his team. Yes, Tampa Bay QB Jameis Winston is certainly special as he'll eclipse the coveted 5,000 passing yards mark in this game (needs 92 yards). However, my bottom line says he's also hard to trust as he'll probably become the 1st QB in the 30/30 club IF he throws at least 2 INT's. It's hard NOT to go with a team whose QB (Matt Ryan) has thrown twice as less INT's than his opposition heading in. I look for WR Julio Jones to be eager to show why he's a tad better than Chris Godwin who currently is 17 yards better in receiving yards. Even though the Bucs bet the Falcons by 13 in Atlanta in Week 11, I'll take the team with the revenge angle & the momentum. Let's go to Raymond James Stadium in Tampa to play the ATLANTA FALCONS (buying to + 3 1/2) as my Late Steamer Next Season Momentum Builder! Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -167 Chicago Bears Rating: 8* Mike's NFL Ugly Pig Game Of The Week (WIN) The Vikings went all out versus Green Bay last week & lost to our dismay. Their total 1st downs (7) for the game represented the lowest since 1971! It looks pretty evident that they'll be locked in @ the NFC's 6th-seed with the right to travel to New Orleans for the Wild Card Playoff Round. Chicago, even with Mitchell Trubisky, should play hard to end their season on an up note @ 8-8. Mushes will be quick to point out the Bears' offense has quit on Trubisky. However, the reality of it says they ran into a buzz saw of a defense as KC's DC Steve Spagnuolo has his team #1 in points allowed (9.9) since their bye week. My bottom line says the Purple People Eaters MUST have key personnel FRESH to have a small chance @ hanging with the Saints next week. How many times has QB Kirk Cousins defeated the Bears since coming to Minnesota? Let's try NONE as he's posted a perfect 0-3 SU record with unimpressive stats like an average of 209 passing YPG & 1 TD. That doesn't cut it especially in a game that means NOTHING to the Vikings. Without RB Dalvin Cook, the Minnesota offense becomes more predictable. Remember, the Vikes only averaged a putrid 15 PPG @ home versus their division when the games were meaningful! What do you think is going to happen here? Let's go to U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis to play the CHICAGO BEARS as my NFL Ugly Pig game Of The Week! Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants (NFL) - 4:25 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-110 New York Giants Rating: 9* Mike's Line Mover Grudge Match Play Of The Day (LOSS) The books are running SCARED as they've lowered this line in hopes to middle out! Not us! We saw the near-perfect numbers that Carson Wentzyl-vania put up versus the Cowboys last week (31 for 40 & good for 319 yards). With those stats, you figured Philadelphia put up 30 right? Try a measly 17 @ home versus a team that's offense couldn't stay on the field! On the flip side, do you think Giants' QB Danny "Dimes" Jones enjoyed the view from the bench a few weeks back watching Eli lead his team to a win? How did he respond coming back last week? He threw for 352 yards & 5 TD's in a thrilling 41-35 OT thriller versus Washington. The G-Men take on a whole new complexion when key cog & RB Saquon Barkley plays @ 100%. that was the case last week as he turned in a season-high 279 yards (rushing for 189 & receiving for another 90). My bottom line says the Giants will be as loose as they can be with a QB blistering with confidence who faces Philly for the FIRST time (Manning was in for the 23-17 loss). Yes, the Eagles should get points as DC James Bettcher will gamble with the blitz & lose on a few occasions. However, Philadelphia still has key injuries & left a lot on that field in their win over Dallas last week. Was thinking of playing this on the ML but the Birds being 19-3 SU in this series has me refraining. Look for rookie NT out of Clemson Dexter Lawrence to anchor the 3-4 defensive scheme for NY. Where we'll we be going? We'll go to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. to play the NEW YORK GIANTS (buying to + 7 1/2) in this heated rivalry as my 9* Line Mover Grudge Match Play Of The Day! Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 4:25 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -280 Tennessee Titans Rating: 8* Mike's NFL Headliner Moneyliner (WIN) Sure, it's risky taking any team @ this price. But we're talking about the hard-nosed ground & pound Tennessee Titans of HC Mike Vrabel here! When you go up against a club without main cog & QB Deshaun Watson, I feel you have NO CHANCE of winning when you're team that is resting BIG playmakers facing a team that's hungry coming off 2 competitive game losses. This is especially true if you're going up against that same team you just edged 2 weeks ago with your full arsenal. Can you really trust a HC in Bill O'Brien who just told reporters he had NO plans resting players then turns around & rests Watson & DeAndre Hopkins. Hey, don't forget QB Ryan Tannehill whose compiled a not-too-shabby 70.7% completions, a 20/6 TD/INT ratio & good for an NFL best 116.5 QBR! I remember 3 seasons ago when the Texans won their last Wild Card Round win (27-14 over Oakland) after resting a few players in a Week 17 loss (24-17) to Tennessee. Somehow I don't feel that scenario repeats versus a KC team they couldn't beat @ this venue 2 years ago (42-34) when Mahomes was still green & playing behind Alex Smith. I'm ready! Let's trek down to NRG Stadium in Houston to play the visiting TENNESSEE TITANS as my NFL Headliner Moneyliner! Mike Handzelek's 2019 NFL Week 17 Record: 5-1 for 83% (2-0 Reg. Seas. GOY) Mike Handzelek's 2019-20 NFL Overall Seasonal Record: 46-34 for a rising 58% Notes: It was nice to get another GOY winner on the Rams but the Eagles did it to us AGAIN & spoiled a perfect 6-0 weekend. It's just what the doctor ordered (5-1) as we head into the 4 Wild Card games this weekend. My Top 10 NFL Power Ratings are as follows: 1) Baltimore Ravens 2) San Francisco 49ers 3) New Orleans Saints 4) Kansas City Chiefs 5) Green Bay Packers 6) New England Patriots 7) Seattle Seahawks 8) Tennessee Titans 9) Minnesota Vikings 10) Buffalo Bills Always check articles from Weeks 1 thru 17 for accurate records @ www.VegasTopDogs.com
 


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