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Mike Handzelek's Final 4 Analysis/Review


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Apr 11, 2019
   
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Monday, April 08, 2019 Texas Tech vs. Virgina (NCAAB) - 9:20 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 1.5/-106 Texas Tech Rating: 8* Mike's CBB National Champ Everlaster (LOSS) These 2 have their legitimate reasons why they could be labeled as the team of destiny. However, I feel the dog will have its day!Yes, these 2 have their similarities. They are both in the top 5 in the country in the category of pace-adjusted defense. Even though (34-3) Virginia is out to prove losing to a #16 was a fluke, (31-6) Texas Tech was a hair from making it to the Final 4. They've also faced the much tougher road. As live dogs, they've taken down #2 seed Michigan, #1 seed Gonzaga & #2 seed Michigan State. The key here for the Red Raiders is to play close or even for the first before turning on the gas in second 20 minutes. Why is this relevant? HC Chris Beard knows how to make adjustments in the locker room! The Bobby Knight & Jud Heathcoate disciple has past the test against the past 3 higher seeds by outscoring them 39-28, 40-32 & 38-30 in the 2nd stanza. His 8-man rotation seems to be the right chemistry in getting effective switches & double-teams throughout the game. The word I got was that key cog & St. John's transfer Tariq Owens is a go & should contribute enough for Texas Tech to keep it close. The "Everlaster" tag I gave the Red Raiders is certainly warranted since they've weathered adversity & still have won each game in March Madness by an average of 14 PPG. My bottom line says the unsung hero & floor leader Matt Mooney (a transfer from South Dakota) will be the X-Factor that should keep them in it to win it! Oh I definitely have Virginia to win it all for 50% of my brackets. But seeing how well the Black N' Red have weathered each storm tells me to play the side & the line at where I have had it since the semi-finals ended. What the Cavaliers have proved to me is their lack of ability to hold a late 10-point lead in the waning moments of a game. Ok' let's move back to U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota to play the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS (buying to a crucial +5) as my CBB National Champ Everlaster! Saturday, April 06, 2019 Auburn vs. Virgina (NCAAB) - 6:10 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -6/-110 Virgina Rating: 8* Mike's CBB Public Missed Perception Play (LOSS) I'm very grateful to the Auburn Tigers who gritted out an outright "Game Of The Year W" for us last weekend versus Kentucky. However, they'll face an entirely different animal in the Virginia Cavaliers. Even though Auburn's excitement is @ a feverish pitch going to their 1st ever Final 4, don't forget it's been 35 years since Terry Holland Cavaliers' (led by Othell Wilson, Olden Polynice & Rick Carlisle) lost 49-47 in OT to Houston (with Akeem Olajuwon-African-born like Diakite) in the semi-finals @ Seattle's Kingdome. HC Tony Bennett's squad is equally excited to run the table to grab their 1st NCAA Tournament Championship in 3 Final 4 tries. Virginia did win the NIT in 1980 & 1992. If anyone can change Auburn's up-tempo style of play, the Cavaliers (18-2 SU away from East Lansing) fit the bill with their methodical & deliberate game that features a defense with size inside. They've out-rebounded opponents by 8 RPG using Conakry, Guinea product & 6'9" redshirt junior star forward Mamadi Diakite (hit a 10-footer to force OT versus Purdue) & 6'10" reserve Jack Salt using a "Pack Line" defense that was actually drawn up by Dick Bennett (Tony's dad) who had a successful NCAA coaching career from (1985-2006) @ Wisconsin-Green Bay, Wisconsin U. & Washington State. Tony was actually a volunteer manager for his dad on Wisconsin's 2000 March Madness run. My bottom line says Auburn's brilliant guard play by Bryce Brown & Jared Harper can be equaled by Virginia's trio of Kyle Guy, Ty Jerome & De'Andre Hunter. This team is on a MISSION! The only way to really get that bad taste out of their mouths from being the 1st ever #1 seed to lose to a #16 (lost to UMBC last year) is to win it all. I'm afraid the public is on the wrong side here as the Tigers were not only 2 free throws away from being eliminated in the 1st round by New Mexico State but ALSO will be without their key top rebounder in 6'8" sophomore Chuma Okeke who was lost to an ACL injury in the Sweet 16. Some key numbers support us as Final 4 favorites of 5 or more have covered @ an 11-5-1 clip over the past 20 seasons. The ACC has done even better covering 6 out of their last 8 Final 4 appearances. The ONLY way to go points directly @ Bennett & Co. who have yielded a super-solid 55.4 PPG (1st in the nation), hold their opponents to a Antarctic-like 28.7% from 3-point range & commit the fewest turnovers per game @ 9. Even though Purdue DID knock down a red-hot 14 treys, it still couldn't knock off the Cavaliers who was far from their "A" game. HC Bruce Pearl should get some respect but his team runs out of gas in the end. Let's go to U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN to play the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS (buying to -3) as my CBB Public Missed Perception Play! Mike Handzelek's 2019 March Madness Overall Record: 6-5 for 55% Mike Handzelek's 2018-19 CBB Overall Record: 9-6 for 60% PlayOff GOY Winner
 


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