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Mike Handzelek's College Bowls Game Of The Year Analysis/Review/Final Notes


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Jan 14, 2020
   
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Monday, January 13, 2020 Clemson vs. LSU (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -5/-108 LSU Rating: 10* Mike's Strongest CFB Playoff Game Of The Year (WIN) NOTE: Even though this is a GOY like Houston (found new ways to lose) in the NFL Playoffs, this is only a single play (12* & 15*'s are double-plays). Forget the Heisman jinx, forget the exhaustion theory (L.S.U. scored 63 points in the semi-final) & forget the last meeting in 2012 when Clemson edged the Bayou Bengals 25-24 as 5 1/2-point dogs. Yes, the value SEEMS like it's on the Purple & Orange. However, the Purple & Gold are coming in excited as they feel they're the underdogs on a mission to knock off the defending champs. HC Dabo Swinney isn't playing Alabama in which they've become very familiar. You see, QB Jalen Hurts & the Oklahoma "D" also had TONS of time to prepare against DC Dave Aranda's attacking 3-4 scheme & QB Joe Burrow (with an incredible 55/6 TD/INT ratio), the NFL's top pick in the upcoming draft. What happened? Burrow (no, he's not related to film star MCCauley Culkin) used a bevy of receivers to pass for 532 yards/a record 7 TD's (694 overall yards) & controlled the clock running 74 plays with NO turnovers in a lopsided 63-28 triumph. The ACC Tigers played Ohio State in their semi-final & got out-gained 516 to 417. Unfortunately, the Buckeyes lost the turnover war 2 to 0 & the eventually game by 6 (29-23). I STILL feel South Carolina's best are LUCKY to be here! North Carolina had them on the ropes @ Chapel Hill but HC Mack Brown got cute & went for 2 instead of forcing OT & lost 21-20. In the regular season, L.S.U. was taking down SEC foes like Florida, Alabama, Auburn & Texas A&M, the toughest game for the ACC Tigers was Texas A&M @ home. My bottom line says you CAN'T dismiss the fact that the SEC Tigers have to travel a measly 80 miles to this game from Baton Rouge. Numbers show the dog is a perfect 5-0 ATS all-time in College Football Playoff Championship games & the SEC stands 2-3 SU in them. Guess what? L.S.U. is a different animal that Clemson hasn't seen. I trust OC Steve Ensminger (10th year coaching @ L.S.U. & also coached @ Clemson 1 year) to devise a game plan that can neutralize what area Brent Venables 3-4 is trying to attack & spread them out to find success. Yes, the early adrenalin could push Dabo's charges in the lead. However, after the dust clears, L.S.U. flexes their muscles into the JUGGERNAUT they are (scored 49 in the 1st half in the semi-final & rested their starters) & has super-fresh legs for more late firepower (probably in half #2) to outlast the defending champs. Trevor Lawrence loses his 1st game here fellas! Why? He'll face a defense (not too many talk about) that's legitimately faced the much tougher schedule. Let's get ready for our crescendo as we go to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome to grab HC Ed Orgeron & his L.S.U. Tigers (buying to - 2 1/2) as my 10* Strongest CFB Playoff Game Of The Year! Final Notes: It was nice to finish the NFL & CFB GOY's @ 3-1 after the L.S.U. win last night. I couldn't understand that the mushes & some sharps were convinced the "value" was with Clemson & that Trevor Lawrence hasn't lost @ 25-0. What's value going up against a juggernaut that could have won by MORE than the 17-point gap @ the end. What about a coaching advantage? HC's Ed Orgeron & Dabo Swinney aren't playing! L.S.U. QB, Heisman Trophy winner & Offensive MVP for this game - Joe Burrow was dazzling to say the least as he finished the BEST season for a college QB (eclipsed Hawaii's Colt Brennan in 2006 who had 58 TD passes & 63 total TD's accounted for) throwing for a record-shattering 60 TD's & had 65 TD's accounted for. Burrow's 9 hookups for a surreal 221 yards & 2 TD's to Biletnikoff Award winner Ja'Marr Chase became unstoppable after Clemson's early adrenalin rush. "This is what I wanted to do since the time I was 5 years old, is to hoist this trophy," summed up Burrow. His offense ran 79 plays, out-gained Clemson 631 to 396 & enjoyed a + 9 1/2 minute advantage in time of possession. The game's defensive MVP & linebacker Patrick Queen (6 tackles with 2 1/2 tackles for losses & a 1/2 a sack) added, "We just locked & have been dialed in all season. We just wanted to come out & prove to everybody that we're nothing to be played with." L.S.U.'s attacking 3-4 scheme frustrated Lawrence most of the game as he went just 18 for 37 through the air & converted just 1 of 11 3rd-down conversions. Those stats prove the game was MORE lopsided than the score. The score looked closer 2 the end due to 11 L.S.U. penalties along with Clemson Kicker B.T. Potter making a 52-yard FG, the longest in CFP finals history. In closing, the L.S.U. offense in their final 3 meaningful games (Georgia, Oklahoma & Clemson) averaged over 47 PPG & deserve the crown. They beat SEVEN Top-10 teams on their way! Burrow was said by many reporters to be better than L.S. U.'s all-time leading passer in Tommy Hodson (threw for 9,115 yards from 1986 to 89'). That may be true but I feel the purest L.S.U. passer was Bert "The Ruston Rifle" Jones (passed for 3,225 yards & compiled a 12-2-1 record in 1971-72') who even received accolades from a young Bill Belichick while he watched him when employed by the Baltimore Colts & HC Ted Marchibroda in the mid-70's. The jury will be out in 100 days when Burrow enters the NFL Draft & should be destined to go to Cincinnati unless there's a blockbuster trade with a team in more dire need. Thanks to all my followers & subscribers for a decent season in CFB. Mike Handzelek's 2019-20 College Football Final Bowl Record: 12-7 for 63% (9-1 the last 10) Mike Handzelek's 2019-20 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 50-38 for 57% (Tied for 3rd among all Vegas cappers)
 


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