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Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 8 Analysis/Review


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Oct 23, 2019
   
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Saturday, October 19, 2019 Army vs. Georgia State (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 4.5/-105 Georgia State Rating: 8* Mike's CFB Momentum Grabber (WIN) This game is a little alarming. Here's an Army team who usually controls the line of scrimmage who comes in off 2 games (Tulane & Western Kentucky) where THEY were controlled in the trenches. HC Shawn Elliott has his Panthers playing some inspired football after coming off back-to-back wins against Arkansas State & Coastal Carolina. Georgia State looks motivated to make it to their 2nd FBS bowl game since stepping up their competition just 6 seasons ago. As long as QB Dan Ellington plays a fundamental game. I'm looking for GSU to continue to play up their competition. My bottom line says DC Nate Fuqua KNOWS the option since he spent 3 years as Wofford's DC (14' thru 16') defending it. Let's trek to Georgia State Stadium in Atlanta to play the GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS as my 8* CFB Momentum Grabber! NC State vs. Boston College (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 3/-105 Boston College Rating: 8* Mike's CFB Earlybird (WIN) These 2 are hard to separate. That's why taking a team with a great ground game that chew up the clock is better than essential. This game is circled for BC since it hits right before 5 consecutive heavy hitters that start next week @ Clemson. Let's go to Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill to play the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES (buying to + 4 1/2) as my 8* CFB Earlybird! Nevada vs. Utah State (NCAAF) - 10:15 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 21/-110 Nevada Rating: 8* Mike's Over-Priced Favorite Play (LOSS) The last 2 hookups in this series have produced winners by 1 & 4-point margins. The mushes will be all OVER the Aggies here since witnessing their recent 12-5-1 spread dominance since last season. The Wolfpack come in @ 4-2 SU but more importantly even in the loss column with leader San Diego State in the Mountain West (West Division). What really intrigues me about this matchup lies in the performance of Utah State QB Jordan Love. he was brilliant last season guiding the Aggies to an 11-2 finish while throwing for 3,567 yards with a nifty 32/6 TD/INT ratio. However, things haven't been all that peachy after his first 5 starts this year. Love has looked a little mundane thus far & has turned in an unimpressive 6/8 TD/INT ratio that included within games against Stony Brook & Colorado State. Forget the high-altitude advantage since Reno is compatible to this venue. Let's go to Maverik Stadium in Logan to play the NEVADA WOLFPACK (play @ + 21 1/2) as my 8* Over-Priced Favorite Play! Oregon State vs. California (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 11/-105 Oregon State Rating: 10* Mike's 10* Strongest CFB Game On The Board (WIN) HC Justin Wilcox looks for back-to-back wining campaigns in his 3rd year @ Cal. He guided his troops to a 4-0 SU record this season before back-to-back losses to Arizona State & Oregon. I question the full focus of his Golden Bears for this matchup that comes after leaving a lot on the field in a 17-7 road loss in Oregon AND having to travel to Utah next week. This sandwich is advantageous to our cause since every game since Week 1's 27-13 opening week win over UC Davis has been decided by 10 or less. In this familiar double-digit chalk role earlier, California failed to cover @ home being -15 versus UC Davis as well as against North Texas with a narrow 23-17 home win as 14-point favorites. My bottom line says the stats don't lie as Cal has been out-gained in their last 5 games this season! There's also a matter of revenge for an embarrassing 49-7 loss @ Reser Stadium in Corvallis. There's also a matter of a consistent streak brewing in all Golden Bears' games this season. In all 6 contests, the away team & the underdog has covered the spread in all 6! For OSU, the dam may be leaking (2-4 SU) but it won't be a bust. Yep, let's fly to the west coast to the Matrix Turf @ Cal Memorial Stadium in Berkeley to play the OREGON STATE BEAVERS as my 10* Strongest CFB Game On The Board! Indiana vs. Maryland (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -6.5/-110 Indiana Rating: 9* Mike's Highly-Motivated Roadie (WIN) HC Tom Allen came into his 3rd season @ the helm of the Hoosiers with a lot of confidence that his troops can make it BACK to a bowl for the first time since Allen's coaching debut (a 26-24 loss to Utah in the 2016 Foster Farms Bowl). This is especially true of his starting QB Michael Penix Jr.. The redshirt freshman comes into this with a very nice 9/3 TD/INT ratio & as he leads Indiana into Maryland looking for their 5th win against just 2 losses versus 2 reputable Big 10 powerhouses in Ohio State & Michigan State. We're banking IU's favorite status is warranted up against a Terrapins' squad that's been inconsistent since jetting out to 2 lopsided wins. Let's make waves as we go to Maryland Stadium in College Park to play the INDIANA HOOSIERS (buying to - 5 1/2) as 9* Highly-Motivated Roadie!!! Texas A&M vs. Mississippi (NCAAF) - 7:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 6/-110 Mississippi Rating: 9* Mike's CFB Saturday Night Bailout Play (WIN) Until Texas A&M plays convincingly on the road, we'll be more than happy to grab some points! In both of their roadies this season, the 3-3 SU Aggies lost to Clemson (24-10) but more importantly were out-gained by Arkansas as 23-point favorites in a very narrow 31-27 victory. The schedule spot shows HC Jimbo Fisher & Co. are in an Alabama-Mississippi State revenge sandwich this week & are taking on an Ole Miss squad (3-4 SU) that's won decisively @ home their last time out in a 31-6 win versus Vanderbilt. In an earlier loss to #1 Alabama, the Rebels rushed for a season-high 279 yards & 31 points. This fails in comparison to Texas A&M who only mustered 125 rushing yards versus the Crimson Tide last Saturday. Remember, Mississippi has mostly all of their defense (10) back this season 7 is only giving up an average of 20 PPG @ home this season. We're jetting to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford to play the home-standing MISSISSIPPI REBELS (buying to + 7 1/2) as my 9* CFB Saturday Night Bailout Play! Mike Handzelek's 2019 CFB Week 8 Record: 5-1 for 83% Mike Handzelek's 2019-20 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 15-13 for 54%
 


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