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Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 3 Analysis/Review/Notes

By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Sep 18, 2019
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Saturday, September 14, 2019 Arizona State vs. Michigan State (NCAAF) - 4:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -15/-110 Michigan State Rating: 8* Mike's CFB Earlybird Dependable (LOSS) What? You're giving around 2 TD's to a Herm Edwards-coached team? Well, in the pro ranks this pick would have been another story. However, there's more than a little payback @ stake after Sparty blew a double-digit lead in the desert last year when they were nipped 16-13 after a 28-yard FG @ the buzzer. Expect HC Mark Dantonio to have State MORE then revved up for this affair. Having their double-edged sword back from last season is a big help. Consider starting QB Brian Lewerke (back for his 4th season) & WR Darrell Stewart Jr, are back for their senior seasons & are massive contributors to an offense clicking off @ 39.5 PPG. My bottom line says that Michigan State will more than an intimidating place to play for true Frosh QB Jayden Daniels making his first road start. Look for DE Kenny Willekes (tied for 3rd in the country in sacks) to be in the back field on several occasions pressuring the rookie QB into some premature throws. In addition, this win for Mark Dantonio (in his 13th year here after coaching 3 @ Cincinnati) will be savored since it will be his 110th @ MSU, a mark that will surpass the previous record-holder & CFB HOF HC Duffy Daugherty. In the numbers supports us as well as the Spartans are a dependable 6-2 SU & ATS when installed as a revengeful foe against an undefeated team. The dagger for us has to be DC Mike Tressel's 4-3 alignment that's been responsible for holding opposing offenses to (minus 6 YPG) thus far. As we make our way out to Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, we'll gladly buy the 1 1/2 down to (-13 1/2) & play the MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS as my 8* CFB Earlybird Dependable! Texas Tech vs. Arizona (NCAAF) - 10:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 1/-105 Arizona Rating: 8* Mike's CFB Saturday Night Bailout Play (WIN) The Air Raid of Texas Tech isn't like the Run N' Shoot of Hawaii that Arizona lost to 2 weeks prior. 2nd-year HC Kevin Sumlin had his 5-7 transition year & is now poised @ making a post-season bid for the 1st time since he appeared on the Texas A&M (51-26 there) sidelines. You have to like what you see so far from the Cats' defense. Even though they struggled against the Rainbow Warriors on the road, they've been very opportunistic. Through 2 games, they've out-scored their opponents 42-14 off turnovers. The Wildcats have an excellent 1-2 punch on the ground with RB's J.J. Taylor & & Gary Brightwell. Coming into this fracas, they're averaging 304.5 YPG on the ground. Numbers support us on natural turf as Texas Tech has lost 6 of 8 ATS on grass while Arizona have been successful on 5 of their last 6 return trips to the window on bets in that same category. Let this be the initiation of 1st-year HC Matt Wells getting his 1st defeat as we go to Arizona Stadium in Tucson to play the ARIZONA WILDCATS as my 8* CFB Saturday Night Bailout! NOTES: We ended CFB strong as Arizona breezed for us Saturday night. However, Herm Edwards & his upstart Arizona State Sun Devils stayed perfect @ 3-0 with a 10-7 come-from-behind thriller in East Lansing. When we look @ the stats (431 to 189 total yards), it clearly looked like Michigan State got the cover for us. With 1 turnover for the game, the Spartans still managed to blow golden opportunities @ pulling away from ASU as the game progressed. The key to the Sun Devils had to be an error-free & decent game-managed game from the rookie & freshman QB Jayden Daniels. Spartans' HC Mark Dantonio looks again to break Duffy Daugherty's all-time win record @ MSU when they travel to Northwestern this Saturday. Look for a DEEP Saturday card up Friday night. Mike Handzelek's 2019-20 CFB Overall Record: 4-4 for 50%

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