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Mike Handzelek's CFB Week 14 Analysis/Review/Notes


By: Point Shaver Handzelek
Date: Dec 4, 2018
   
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Saturday, December 01, 2018 Memphis vs. Central Florida (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 3.0/-104 Memphis Rating: 9* Mike's 9* CFB Public Missed Perception Play (LOSS) Wow! UCF hasn't lost a game since a game since a 48-31 loss to South Florida back in 2016. That was then & this is now! What's now is they'll be in action without the services of brilliant triple-threat QB McKenzie Milton (he accounted for 80 TD's the past 2 seasons-most in the nation). Milton was lost for the season to a severe right knee injury in UCF's last game on November 23rd -The War on Interstate-4 (a 38-10 drubbing of South Florida that stretched their nations-best winning streak to 24). I feel the bubble will burst this week as freshman QB Darriel Mack is forced into duty that now faces straight into triple-revenge as the Knights beat the Tigers 40-13 early last year, 62-55 in 2OT for the AAC Title & 31-30 in Week 7 this season. On the flip side of the coin, HC Mike Norvell has a 2-headed monster that has been building up a head of steam with RB's Darrell Henderson (second in the country in rushing yards with 1,699-an AAC single-season rushing record) & Patrick Taylor, Jr. (needs 106 yards to give Memphis 2 backs with 1,000 in a season). The difference here is the Tigers are scoring 44.8 PPG the past 14 with a healthy QB in Brady White & the Knights who have averaged 43.6 this year are thrusting a freshman QB (completing just 49% of his passes) into making his 2nd career start in a championship game. My bottom line says these 2 are hard to separate which is evident by their team power ratings (Memphis @ 75.76--Central Florida @ 76.16) less than a half-point apart. Remember, the Tigers are 6th in scoring offense while UCF was 8th but BEFORE Milton went down. The public is CLEARLY on the wrong side. Let's trek down to the AAC Championship @ Brighthouse Network Stadium in Orlando to play the MEMPHIS TIGERS (buying to a key + 4 1/2--75% ATS & 25% ML) as my 9* CFB Public Missed Perception Play! NOTES: Wow! Did anybody tell HC Mike Norvell of Memphis that you still have to make adjustments in the 2nd half despite a 38-21 lead? It was a tough loss for us especially since the Tigers gave a gift fumble recovery in the end zone away in the 2nd quarter. I'm still befuddled on how a team can rush for 401 yards & still lose outright. My bottom line was when the Memphis "D" couldn't make things uncomfortable for green freshman QB Darriel Mack. At any rate, let's move on to start gauging the bowls. We'll pass for the Army-Navy game & concentrate on the 1st bowls starting December 15th. Mike Handzelek's 2018-19 CFB Overall Seasonal Record: 24-12 for 67% --still the #1 capper on VegastopDogs in CFB winning percentage.
 

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